Prediction 3668

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 245.13 30.96 41.38 52.41 105.64 599.32 1278.70 1846.01 2642.73
2022-10-16 234.08 27.84 32.47 52.50 95.06 650.06 1604.92 2657.62 3602.30
2022-10-23 223.23 23.40 31.14 48.04 98.29 622.63 1408.99 2393.39 3646.71
2022-10-30 223.99 23.14 27.77 44.89 89.24 654.17 1520.88 2545.52 4175.30
2022-11-06 272.60 44.17 55.72 71.90 119.67 717.36 1494.50 2759.33 4114.29
2022-11-13 367.80 50.67 65.73 88.66 176.70 734.24 1450.27 2437.14 3774.11
2022-11-20 495.39 61.93 94.61 135.03 245.93 947.69 2112.40 2896.06 3619.13
2022-11-27 377.65 68.11 91.44 120.01 195.23 919.15 1787.45 2954.56 5314.62
2022-12-04 597.05 81.73 119.04 156.83 273.94 1258.63 2498.67 3648.31 4692.63
2022-12-11 532.69 75.29 115.77 150.95 254.24 1182.55 2416.67 4046.80 7910.67
2022-12-18 317.20 47.78 65.18 88.19 165.15 715.26 1506.11 2473.38 3724.86
2022-12-25 283.66 32.45 42.96 66.53 140.28 725.17 1516.84 2418.54 3687.44
2023-01-01 562.24 115.75 149.66 198.70 327.87 1049.14 2033.90 3040.93 4003.46
2023-01-08 776.10 139.92 175.17 234.97 427.09 1444.00 2611.09 4349.87 5765.63
2023-01-15 735.07 150.66 175.59 244.02 411.30 1515.84 3188.42 4584.83 6064.91
2023-01-22 824.27 186.10 204.93 275.16 494.71 1737.55 3647.02 4582.76 6800.30
2023-01-29 1080.33 189.98 266.98 353.72 570.57 2200.82 3941.07 5704.71 8227.01
2023-02-05 804.40 167.44 223.38 283.86 481.72 1574.37 3195.49 4232.50 6202.64
2023-02-12 1088.54 215.02 286.09 371.48 616.75 2141.80 4583.41 7674.11 13261.45
2023-02-19 884.24 178.21 211.34 261.35 455.47 1827.36 3576.86 5614.99 7996.15
2023-02-26 927.27 218.54 247.93 330.49 565.32 1851.75 4095.04 5881.25 8126.12
2023-03-05 1047.77 177.57 222.33 297.63 535.15 2078.22 3476.07 5273.00 7950.13
2023-03-12 932.43 213.21 244.37 316.17 511.74 1772.26 3459.32 5061.80 6473.92
2023-03-19 909.15 182.15 208.46 280.05 523.92 1619.76 2982.36 4586.31 6918.58
2023-03-26 736.61 177.48 218.70 278.52 438.48 1356.73 2587.45 3512.80 4711.64
2023-04-02 879.06 192.15 227.19 286.73 488.92 1589.92 3105.54 4305.38 5814.35
2023-04-09 770.48 157.42 197.76 244.70 426.03 1402.52 2507.36 3648.35 4357.85
2023-04-16 725.07 134.73 163.71 229.16 409.77 1352.65 2503.36 4063.62 6144.44
2023-04-23 739.74 179.04 210.46 277.90 425.74 1450.90 2510.17 3754.36 4768.43
2023-04-30 682.56 162.61 199.10 260.21 421.42 1151.05 1987.71 2706.82 3198.36
2023-05-07 620.16 147.09 171.43 220.06 347.72 1148.01 1942.09 2944.71 4448.92
2023-05-14 611.97 157.99 183.81 237.22 374.09 1128.90 2123.51 2814.36 3811.66
2023-05-21 502.14 115.70 142.61 181.59 290.93 947.63 1493.74 2153.02 2858.65
2023-05-28 540.16 111.93 156.42 194.81 310.13 1067.90 1720.16 2434.00 3476.90
2023-06-04 430.93 79.24 96.35 128.64 207.47 820.38 1486.77 2331.05 3020.23
2023-06-11 401.13 77.33 97.47 117.00 211.07 773.86 1387.05 2064.56 3045.01
2023-06-18 410.48 72.00 97.00 133.24 220.77 737.94 1358.41 1797.30 2640.62
2023-06-25 374.84 71.18 87.18 116.31 202.39 757.57 1232.03 1550.49 2173.61
2023-07-02 338.73 62.64 72.98 96.32 171.02 735.01 1428.98 1976.46 2633.78
2023-07-09 281.34 47.86 63.82 85.35 137.26 607.09 1128.87 1586.74 2586.90
2023-07-16 254.95 48.85 58.95 78.48 138.21 567.71 1146.34 1737.60 2535.38
2023-07-23 263.05 45.91 62.11 80.89 137.13 566.13 1052.95 1564.46 3000.76
2023-07-30 240.87 36.45 50.38 67.69 120.82 503.82 1067.07 1754.69 2588.30
2023-08-06 249.11 37.29 48.78 66.14 122.01 522.65 1116.31 1585.88 2593.14
2023-08-13 222.57 38.48 46.05 63.74 112.20 433.81 800.11 1230.92 1798.58
2023-08-20 266.05 44.77 57.58 86.76 137.76 502.42 1094.05 1548.31 2026.63
2023-08-27 309.10 32.54 47.68 67.27 131.65 685.72 1439.07 2418.86 3445.05
2023-09-03 182.20 28.28 35.41 49.01 91.03 410.63 774.06 1204.27 2048.47
2023-09-10 204.79 29.00 39.79 51.48 100.83 419.70 851.22 1403.67 1848.66
2023-09-17 258.29 33.31 42.93 65.97 112.52 536.88 1087.68 1731.11 2604.71
2023-09-24 269.73 37.75 52.41 77.24 130.59 564.55 932.06 1408.19 1975.09
2023-10-01 218.92 34.07 45.19 63.77 108.31 449.57 747.10 1064.96 1875.93
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