Prediction 3669

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 294.69 51.93 66.63 88.73 154.15 638.94 1437.79 2207.57 3245.09
2023-10-15 301.69 45.24 67.48 94.61 156.89 588.65 1253.15 2064.17 3179.04
2023-10-22 331.02 59.19 70.72 99.55 174.93 646.65 1414.33 2246.19 3359.53
2023-10-29 356.66 74.65 84.39 109.52 187.76 617.24 1161.41 1751.47 2625.62
2023-11-05 400.31 77.14 101.49 129.90 213.12 753.64 1408.55 2544.11 3759.40
2023-11-12 429.98 79.70 105.19 141.83 232.84 877.01 1779.06 3037.00 4840.62
2023-11-19 400.27 81.65 113.33 146.70 216.35 834.21 1592.73 2474.43 3294.38
2023-11-26 451.64 89.24 112.34 138.25 246.60 903.68 1706.10 2351.96 3530.96
2023-12-03 471.99 74.01 93.39 132.42 248.32 939.99 1991.12 3480.13 4467.07
2023-12-10 478.96 84.21 111.52 139.65 261.90 960.82 1899.27 3159.86 5085.71
2023-12-17 356.06 63.83 81.79 107.20 187.38 670.06 1480.32 2112.28 3505.10
2023-12-24 386.38 68.35 87.16 116.33 188.90 717.22 1466.37 2056.88 3047.63
2023-12-31 857.92 223.38 257.55 322.43 464.94 1663.69 2743.14 4320.22 5747.53
2024-01-07 1221.64 255.68 310.74 402.82 645.60 2133.25 3814.96 5453.78 8355.03
2024-01-14 1205.03 283.20 330.86 430.90 671.42 2243.85 4025.47 5584.07 8838.07
2024-01-21 1339.84 292.70 362.37 451.06 699.52 2363.46 4137.27 6649.21 11064.87
2024-01-28 1351.09 344.23 419.85 549.79 802.93 2337.50 3889.35 6170.06 8858.83
2024-02-04 1260.07 326.48 365.81 448.25 749.98 2251.28 3773.30 4973.49 6004.95
2024-02-11 1257.91 385.29 472.77 561.06 862.22 1978.81 3358.08 4924.08 6269.39
2024-02-18 1381.13 387.11 471.59 587.89 917.17 2078.07 3516.35 4517.35 5636.03
2024-02-25 1358.00 410.16 478.65 580.01 870.85 2293.60 3730.85 5421.30 6903.96
2024-03-03 1304.85 352.94 443.69 547.18 787.90 2220.26 4123.91 5605.61 8650.22
2024-03-10 1497.51 361.35 459.42 588.75 883.49 2557.22 4414.78 5558.50 7048.42
2024-03-17 1214.03 322.24 402.71 476.91 728.19 2083.15 3165.61 4563.61 7763.27
2024-03-24 1181.36 360.98 401.55 484.03 730.88 2041.64 3380.44 4632.87 6083.12
2024-03-31 1186.58 294.80 330.19 446.96 680.92 2096.34 3546.68 5100.98 6882.62
2024-04-07 1066.67 276.07 323.04 406.33 644.56 1730.42 2983.62 4371.20 5419.76
2024-04-14 1019.41 312.39 375.50 444.39 638.41 1709.50 2715.70 3806.66 5056.57
2024-04-21 830.33 213.18 240.05 293.47 494.93 1535.83 2701.09 3788.51 4748.40
2024-04-28 788.62 205.47 241.29 313.18 485.62 1511.39 2661.50 3407.08 4582.71
2024-05-05 695.14 204.64 232.03 283.24 424.17 1167.58 1892.27 2484.77 3618.91
2024-05-12 681.20 174.32 219.96 253.18 389.71 1272.08 2247.14 3254.50 3896.76
2024-05-19 565.64 129.56 155.90 198.41 304.88 926.97 1526.90 2292.41 3311.14
2024-05-26 557.41 131.64 157.84 217.51 340.27 1014.20 1860.41 2598.95 3884.55
2024-06-02 484.98 110.99 130.15 163.27 273.76 905.45 1629.90 2275.34 3835.80
2024-06-09 480.59 138.91 161.01 201.89 289.15 792.85 1467.62 2146.87 2906.76
2024-06-16 421.50 101.32 117.14 146.05 235.90 711.49 1184.73 1719.57 2175.07
2024-06-23 360.47 79.45 98.06 124.97 205.43 674.55 1395.45 2270.05 2777.99
2024-06-30 354.31 71.30 92.25 115.40 185.63 691.94 1348.91 2211.58 2669.50
2024-07-07 288.42 68.97 84.87 110.74 179.93 517.76 879.04 1409.06 1786.89
2024-07-14 278.59 58.71 82.97 105.11 159.14 540.70 952.24 1290.28 1919.41
2024-07-21 242.52 60.99 76.32 90.59 137.13 489.79 869.81 1211.05 1570.70
2024-07-28 316.43 63.98 78.09 96.35 167.18 608.21 1234.71 1925.85 2771.88
2024-08-04 310.76 51.97 72.00 105.80 175.82 637.18 1353.76 1899.33 2572.47
2024-08-11 320.91 55.20 66.48 89.31 155.60 716.66 1472.33 2518.16 3725.36
2024-08-18 333.10 63.59 73.33 90.12 164.89 687.39 1420.30 2034.02 3821.63
2024-08-25 232.95 50.43 60.12 77.20 129.81 483.96 923.91 1301.52 1699.28
2024-09-01 214.46 49.26 56.36 74.20 115.60 406.20 821.67 1324.95 1761.43
2024-09-08 208.79 46.20 54.31 73.68 114.34 437.88 800.02 1143.30 1543.07
2024-09-15 211.14 46.87 59.70 73.05 112.65 404.83 754.44 1074.72 1347.55
2024-09-22 177.97 54.46 60.08 77.38 114.53 322.85 498.83 719.66 1003.77
2024-09-29 189.11 39.91 48.92 65.38 102.80 338.79 725.96 965.84 1278.69
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