Prediction 367
| Modelo | Model 1 - Weekly and yearly (iid) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for unseen data from the period of 2024-06-16 to 2025-10-05 in the state CE.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-16 | 1202.76 | - | 1180.70 | - | - | - | - | 1225.11 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 1236.50 | - | 1214.02 | - | - | - | - | 1259.29 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 916.98 | - | 898.63 | - | - | - | - | 935.62 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 1003.87 | - | 984.37 | - | - | - | - | 1023.65 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 718.13 | - | 702.47 | - | - | - | - | 734.05 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 698.96 | - | 683.56 | - | - | - | - | 714.61 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 618.80 | - | 604.54 | - | - | - | - | 633.30 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 576.93 | - | 563.28 | - | - | - | - | 590.83 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 574.87 | - | 561.25 | - | - | - | - | 588.73 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 432.81 | - | 421.34 | - | - | - | - | 444.50 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 361.83 | - | 351.52 | - | - | - | - | 372.37 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 358.23 | - | 347.98 | - | - | - | - | 368.71 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 306.93 | - | 297.56 | - | - | - | - | 316.52 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 331.37 | - | 321.57 | - | - | - | - | 341.38 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 290.98 | - | 281.89 | - | - | - | - | 300.28 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 260.06 | - | 251.54 | - | - | - | - | 268.79 | - |
| 2024-10-06 | 256.96 | - | 248.50 | - | - | - | - | 265.64 | - |
| 2024-10-13 | 224.49 | - | 216.66 | - | - | - | - | 232.54 | - |
| 2024-10-20 | 180.72 | - | 173.77 | - | - | - | - | 187.86 | - |
| 2024-10-27 | 223.18 | - | 215.37 | - | - | - | - | 231.21 | - |
| 2024-11-03 | 215.99 | - | 208.32 | - | - | - | - | 223.87 | - |
| 2024-11-10 | 250.00 | - | 241.67 | - | - | - | - | 258.54 | - |
| 2024-11-17 | 252.70 | - | 244.32 | - | - | - | - | 261.30 | - |
| 2024-11-24 | 234.86 | - | 226.82 | - | - | - | - | 243.11 | - |
| 2024-12-01 | 260.98 | - | 252.44 | - | - | - | - | 269.74 | - |
| 2024-12-08 | 225.35 | - | 217.49 | - | - | - | - | 233.41 | - |
| 2024-12-15 | 190.72 | - | 183.57 | - | - | - | - | 198.08 | - |
| 2024-12-22 | 175.04 | - | 168.46 | - | - | - | - | 181.81 | - |
| 2024-12-29 | 412.34 | - | 115.46 | - | - | - | - | 1071.76 | - |
| 2025-01-05 | 447.45 | - | 125.29 | - | - | - | - | 1162.99 | - |
| 2025-01-12 | 508.70 | - | 142.45 | - | - | - | - | 1322.16 | - |
| 2025-01-19 | 636.07 | - | 178.13 | - | - | - | - | 1653.13 | - |
| 2025-01-26 | 728.36 | - | 203.98 | - | - | - | - | 1892.96 | - |
| 2025-02-02 | 850.69 | - | 238.25 | - | - | - | - | 2210.86 | - |
| 2025-02-09 | 1032.85 | - | 289.27 | - | - | - | - | 2684.22 | - |
| 2025-02-16 | 913.40 | - | 255.81 | - | - | - | - | 2373.82 | - |
| 2025-02-23 | 1410.42 | - | 395.04 | - | - | - | - | 3665.39 | - |
| 2025-03-02 | 1519.16 | - | 425.50 | - | - | - | - | 3947.98 | - |
| 2025-03-09 | 1355.60 | - | 379.68 | - | - | - | - | 3522.93 | - |
| 2025-03-16 | 1555.66 | - | 435.72 | - | - | - | - | 4042.81 | - |
| 2025-03-23 | 1736.65 | - | 486.42 | - | - | - | - | 4513.13 | - |
| 2025-03-30 | 2259.89 | - | 632.99 | - | - | - | - | 5872.85 | - |
| 2025-04-06 | 2563.99 | - | 718.17 | - | - | - | - | 6663.09 | - |
| 2025-04-13 | 2228.18 | - | 624.10 | - | - | - | - | 5790.44 | - |
| 2025-04-20 | 2365.05 | - | 662.44 | - | - | - | - | 6146.13 | - |
| 2025-04-27 | 2744.82 | - | 768.82 | - | - | - | - | 7133.01 | - |
| 2025-05-04 | 2547.93 | - | 713.67 | - | - | - | - | 6621.37 | - |
| 2025-05-11 | 2364.40 | - | 662.26 | - | - | - | - | 6144.43 | - |
| 2025-05-18 | 2503.87 | - | 701.33 | - | - | - | - | 6506.86 | - |
| 2025-05-25 | 1953.90 | - | 547.27 | - | - | - | - | 5077.70 | - |
| 2025-06-01 | 1824.41 | - | 511.00 | - | - | - | - | 4741.21 | - |
| 2025-06-08 | 1831.07 | - | 512.87 | - | - | - | - | 4758.51 | - |
| 2025-06-15 | 1439.66 | - | 403.22 | - | - | - | - | 3741.40 | - |
| 2025-06-22 | 1480.06 | - | 414.54 | - | - | - | - | 3846.37 | - |
| 2025-06-29 | 1097.60 | - | 307.41 | - | - | - | - | 2852.51 | - |
| 2025-07-06 | 1201.60 | - | 336.54 | - | - | - | - | 3122.76 | - |
| 2025-07-13 | 859.59 | - | 240.74 | - | - | - | - | 2233.99 | - |
| 2025-07-20 | 836.63 | - | 234.31 | - | - | - | - | 2174.34 | - |
| 2025-07-27 | 740.68 | - | 207.43 | - | - | - | - | 1925.01 | - |
| 2025-08-03 | 690.57 | - | 193.39 | - | - | - | - | 1794.78 | - |
| 2025-08-10 | 688.10 | - | 192.70 | - | - | - | - | 1788.36 | - |
| 2025-08-17 | 518.06 | - | 145.07 | - | - | - | - | 1346.48 | - |
| 2025-08-24 | 433.10 | - | 121.27 | - | - | - | - | 1125.71 | - |
| 2025-08-31 | 428.79 | - | 120.06 | - | - | - | - | 1114.51 | - |
| 2025-09-07 | 367.38 | - | 102.86 | - | - | - | - | 954.93 | - |
| 2025-09-14 | 396.64 | - | 111.06 | - | - | - | - | 1030.96 | - |
| 2025-09-21 | 348.29 | - | 97.51 | - | - | - | - | 905.33 | - |
| 2025-09-28 | 311.28 | - | 87.15 | - | - | - | - | 809.14 | - |
| 2025-10-05 | 307.58 | - | 86.11 | - | - | - | - | 799.52 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
