Prediction 3670

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AM


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 69.03 11.14 13.98 20.97 35.59 147.87 314.24 523.97 1105.20
2024-10-13 76.79 17.57 20.16 24.55 42.02 176.35 395.34 742.76 992.00
2024-10-20 81.43 14.13 18.58 26.33 45.48 189.39 452.89 799.46 1255.84
2024-10-27 65.75 13.77 18.48 24.21 37.27 129.05 271.36 477.56 779.40
2024-11-03 82.10 19.81 23.06 28.71 47.62 163.97 347.69 552.68 886.68
2024-11-10 98.30 17.65 23.33 30.87 53.26 192.96 450.06 861.02 1483.43
2024-11-17 109.47 20.81 25.20 32.86 54.93 208.97 450.07 744.87 996.71
2024-11-24 119.43 27.21 31.88 42.83 68.83 238.18 550.63 922.84 1319.22
2024-12-01 124.03 26.25 32.90 45.93 68.50 237.50 482.79 678.57 1053.39
2024-12-08 142.37 26.46 34.24 45.57 76.43 283.91 676.04 1237.87 1810.67
2024-12-15 90.87 14.13 19.67 25.99 45.63 204.88 397.91 661.91 957.77
2024-12-22 72.19 15.60 18.39 24.06 41.25 156.51 317.32 543.02 878.03
2024-12-29 251.01 59.74 66.27 78.90 136.04 524.58 1123.65 2150.41 3208.13
2025-01-05 267.01 64.71 74.43 100.67 159.55 510.72 1087.25 1765.89 2376.38
2025-01-12 335.24 80.82 104.55 128.97 196.75 601.98 1140.57 1759.46 2425.32
2025-01-19 347.70 80.93 99.90 138.77 222.55 707.60 1453.33 1927.73 2608.34
2025-01-26 363.23 97.87 118.11 146.66 228.44 679.78 1433.18 2412.33 4058.93
2025-02-02 482.42 111.42 136.34 168.02 274.33 991.01 2224.17 3150.07 4237.68
2025-02-09 507.47 110.67 136.48 181.50 297.20 1028.93 2268.93 4378.60 7373.31
2025-02-16 624.28 111.45 140.17 190.91 318.38 1303.44 2508.94 4023.24 5903.62
2025-02-23 586.09 156.42 185.81 229.23 361.74 1173.34 3048.96 5612.38 8117.35
2025-03-02 668.19 132.27 164.77 217.43 359.87 1364.14 2764.73 4816.99 7882.98
2025-03-09 589.36 146.11 173.10 235.23 343.21 1220.93 2168.55 3046.36 4808.16
2025-03-16 561.81 113.87 145.71 191.88 306.36 1164.95 2828.70 5144.22 7254.09
2025-03-23 396.52 87.56 105.36 139.18 212.26 809.99 1893.60 3557.30 5050.91
2025-03-30 414.96 99.13 117.79 136.28 222.51 821.87 1883.87 2745.06 5559.38
2025-04-06 383.36 94.80 109.48 137.50 209.01 870.21 1754.64 3253.51 5956.19
2025-04-13 359.88 96.68 111.08 139.95 219.91 732.91 1528.79 2949.42 5483.09
2025-04-20 290.07 76.64 92.15 109.64 165.72 578.19 1201.76 2427.36 4250.97
2025-04-27 329.95 67.96 92.91 118.23 179.83 680.02 1337.68 2301.43 5661.39
2025-05-04 276.41 65.34 75.56 94.33 157.59 603.67 1424.88 2464.29 3781.69
2025-05-11 233.09 58.56 71.05 86.91 130.89 521.04 1069.18 1944.88 2923.75
2025-05-18 182.34 35.59 45.39 63.35 103.91 378.64 840.35 1289.73 2076.17
2025-05-25 161.48 35.74 42.39 57.70 92.76 338.23 786.33 1656.88 2623.95
2025-06-01 121.45 26.36 33.84 43.44 69.36 276.73 728.19 1176.20 1887.99
2025-06-08 131.03 33.26 39.82 51.10 78.30 258.26 656.74 1189.44 1583.21
2025-06-15 113.39 23.56 30.06 42.75 66.24 244.89 525.35 995.25 1571.53
2025-06-22 113.68 26.37 34.95 41.80 63.13 209.79 469.12 1020.39 1983.98
2025-06-29 100.48 25.10 30.16 36.97 53.17 183.79 366.65 615.59 989.80
2025-07-06 92.44 20.07 26.17 33.00 56.97 205.12 561.70 1273.75 2311.36
2025-07-13 99.83 22.04 28.33 37.46 57.95 227.94 621.93 1313.49 2440.31
2025-07-20 81.62 17.82 23.39 29.04 46.57 169.11 355.51 555.59 688.77
2025-07-27 81.82 19.66 23.14 28.50 44.44 174.42 379.80 677.69 985.23
2025-08-03 99.39 18.13 22.16 28.35 47.41 215.42 644.34 1078.93 2235.62
2025-08-10 91.40 14.94 20.31 25.67 45.48 179.82 509.71 975.82 1741.68
2025-08-17 71.44 15.37 19.29 26.73 40.85 139.77 324.92 554.80 877.72
2025-08-24 76.20 13.91 17.57 23.75 41.75 163.38 395.39 796.85 1309.00
2025-08-31 68.24 11.48 14.07 20.34 34.84 153.44 430.16 740.59 1492.53
2025-09-07 71.60 14.57 17.45 22.62 36.86 166.96 637.04 1279.13 1787.37
2025-09-14 61.20 11.25 15.31 19.00 31.02 134.17 288.04 457.97 893.32
2025-09-21 66.95 11.87 15.67 20.12 36.66 143.28 434.24 678.04 1533.08
2025-09-28 57.99 12.42 16.14 20.79 33.81 151.30 428.63 869.50 2014.33
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