Prediction 3670
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AM
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 69.03 | 11.14 | 13.98 | 20.97 | 35.59 | 147.87 | 314.24 | 523.97 | 1105.20 |
2024-10-13 | 76.79 | 17.57 | 20.16 | 24.55 | 42.02 | 176.35 | 395.34 | 742.76 | 992.00 |
2024-10-20 | 81.43 | 14.13 | 18.58 | 26.33 | 45.48 | 189.39 | 452.89 | 799.46 | 1255.84 |
2024-10-27 | 65.75 | 13.77 | 18.48 | 24.21 | 37.27 | 129.05 | 271.36 | 477.56 | 779.40 |
2024-11-03 | 82.10 | 19.81 | 23.06 | 28.71 | 47.62 | 163.97 | 347.69 | 552.68 | 886.68 |
2024-11-10 | 98.30 | 17.65 | 23.33 | 30.87 | 53.26 | 192.96 | 450.06 | 861.02 | 1483.43 |
2024-11-17 | 109.47 | 20.81 | 25.20 | 32.86 | 54.93 | 208.97 | 450.07 | 744.87 | 996.71 |
2024-11-24 | 119.43 | 27.21 | 31.88 | 42.83 | 68.83 | 238.18 | 550.63 | 922.84 | 1319.22 |
2024-12-01 | 124.03 | 26.25 | 32.90 | 45.93 | 68.50 | 237.50 | 482.79 | 678.57 | 1053.39 |
2024-12-08 | 142.37 | 26.46 | 34.24 | 45.57 | 76.43 | 283.91 | 676.04 | 1237.87 | 1810.67 |
2024-12-15 | 90.87 | 14.13 | 19.67 | 25.99 | 45.63 | 204.88 | 397.91 | 661.91 | 957.77 |
2024-12-22 | 72.19 | 15.60 | 18.39 | 24.06 | 41.25 | 156.51 | 317.32 | 543.02 | 878.03 |
2024-12-29 | 251.01 | 59.74 | 66.27 | 78.90 | 136.04 | 524.58 | 1123.65 | 2150.41 | 3208.13 |
2025-01-05 | 267.01 | 64.71 | 74.43 | 100.67 | 159.55 | 510.72 | 1087.25 | 1765.89 | 2376.38 |
2025-01-12 | 335.24 | 80.82 | 104.55 | 128.97 | 196.75 | 601.98 | 1140.57 | 1759.46 | 2425.32 |
2025-01-19 | 347.70 | 80.93 | 99.90 | 138.77 | 222.55 | 707.60 | 1453.33 | 1927.73 | 2608.34 |
2025-01-26 | 363.23 | 97.87 | 118.11 | 146.66 | 228.44 | 679.78 | 1433.18 | 2412.33 | 4058.93 |
2025-02-02 | 482.42 | 111.42 | 136.34 | 168.02 | 274.33 | 991.01 | 2224.17 | 3150.07 | 4237.68 |
2025-02-09 | 507.47 | 110.67 | 136.48 | 181.50 | 297.20 | 1028.93 | 2268.93 | 4378.60 | 7373.31 |
2025-02-16 | 624.28 | 111.45 | 140.17 | 190.91 | 318.38 | 1303.44 | 2508.94 | 4023.24 | 5903.62 |
2025-02-23 | 586.09 | 156.42 | 185.81 | 229.23 | 361.74 | 1173.34 | 3048.96 | 5612.38 | 8117.35 |
2025-03-02 | 668.19 | 132.27 | 164.77 | 217.43 | 359.87 | 1364.14 | 2764.73 | 4816.99 | 7882.98 |
2025-03-09 | 589.36 | 146.11 | 173.10 | 235.23 | 343.21 | 1220.93 | 2168.55 | 3046.36 | 4808.16 |
2025-03-16 | 561.81 | 113.87 | 145.71 | 191.88 | 306.36 | 1164.95 | 2828.70 | 5144.22 | 7254.09 |
2025-03-23 | 396.52 | 87.56 | 105.36 | 139.18 | 212.26 | 809.99 | 1893.60 | 3557.30 | 5050.91 |
2025-03-30 | 414.96 | 99.13 | 117.79 | 136.28 | 222.51 | 821.87 | 1883.87 | 2745.06 | 5559.38 |
2025-04-06 | 383.36 | 94.80 | 109.48 | 137.50 | 209.01 | 870.21 | 1754.64 | 3253.51 | 5956.19 |
2025-04-13 | 359.88 | 96.68 | 111.08 | 139.95 | 219.91 | 732.91 | 1528.79 | 2949.42 | 5483.09 |
2025-04-20 | 290.07 | 76.64 | 92.15 | 109.64 | 165.72 | 578.19 | 1201.76 | 2427.36 | 4250.97 |
2025-04-27 | 329.95 | 67.96 | 92.91 | 118.23 | 179.83 | 680.02 | 1337.68 | 2301.43 | 5661.39 |
2025-05-04 | 276.41 | 65.34 | 75.56 | 94.33 | 157.59 | 603.67 | 1424.88 | 2464.29 | 3781.69 |
2025-05-11 | 233.09 | 58.56 | 71.05 | 86.91 | 130.89 | 521.04 | 1069.18 | 1944.88 | 2923.75 |
2025-05-18 | 182.34 | 35.59 | 45.39 | 63.35 | 103.91 | 378.64 | 840.35 | 1289.73 | 2076.17 |
2025-05-25 | 161.48 | 35.74 | 42.39 | 57.70 | 92.76 | 338.23 | 786.33 | 1656.88 | 2623.95 |
2025-06-01 | 121.45 | 26.36 | 33.84 | 43.44 | 69.36 | 276.73 | 728.19 | 1176.20 | 1887.99 |
2025-06-08 | 131.03 | 33.26 | 39.82 | 51.10 | 78.30 | 258.26 | 656.74 | 1189.44 | 1583.21 |
2025-06-15 | 113.39 | 23.56 | 30.06 | 42.75 | 66.24 | 244.89 | 525.35 | 995.25 | 1571.53 |
2025-06-22 | 113.68 | 26.37 | 34.95 | 41.80 | 63.13 | 209.79 | 469.12 | 1020.39 | 1983.98 |
2025-06-29 | 100.48 | 25.10 | 30.16 | 36.97 | 53.17 | 183.79 | 366.65 | 615.59 | 989.80 |
2025-07-06 | 92.44 | 20.07 | 26.17 | 33.00 | 56.97 | 205.12 | 561.70 | 1273.75 | 2311.36 |
2025-07-13 | 99.83 | 22.04 | 28.33 | 37.46 | 57.95 | 227.94 | 621.93 | 1313.49 | 2440.31 |
2025-07-20 | 81.62 | 17.82 | 23.39 | 29.04 | 46.57 | 169.11 | 355.51 | 555.59 | 688.77 |
2025-07-27 | 81.82 | 19.66 | 23.14 | 28.50 | 44.44 | 174.42 | 379.80 | 677.69 | 985.23 |
2025-08-03 | 99.39 | 18.13 | 22.16 | 28.35 | 47.41 | 215.42 | 644.34 | 1078.93 | 2235.62 |
2025-08-10 | 91.40 | 14.94 | 20.31 | 25.67 | 45.48 | 179.82 | 509.71 | 975.82 | 1741.68 |
2025-08-17 | 71.44 | 15.37 | 19.29 | 26.73 | 40.85 | 139.77 | 324.92 | 554.80 | 877.72 |
2025-08-24 | 76.20 | 13.91 | 17.57 | 23.75 | 41.75 | 163.38 | 395.39 | 796.85 | 1309.00 |
2025-08-31 | 68.24 | 11.48 | 14.07 | 20.34 | 34.84 | 153.44 | 430.16 | 740.59 | 1492.53 |
2025-09-07 | 71.60 | 14.57 | 17.45 | 22.62 | 36.86 | 166.96 | 637.04 | 1279.13 | 1787.37 |
2025-09-14 | 61.20 | 11.25 | 15.31 | 19.00 | 31.02 | 134.17 | 288.04 | 457.97 | 893.32 |
2025-09-21 | 66.95 | 11.87 | 15.67 | 20.12 | 36.66 | 143.28 | 434.24 | 678.04 | 1533.08 |
2025-09-28 | 57.99 | 12.42 | 16.14 | 20.79 | 33.81 | 151.30 | 428.63 | 869.50 | 2014.33 |