Prediction 3671

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 5.14 0.46 0.63 1.05 2.27 11.98 28.42 43.00 76.62
2022-10-16 6.34 0.68 0.81 1.17 2.60 14.43 32.00 46.92 72.62
2022-10-23 6.36 0.44 0.70 1.14 2.56 16.82 49.43 78.02 139.95
2022-10-30 6.18 0.43 0.73 1.11 2.50 16.77 37.08 57.07 94.37
2022-11-06 9.20 0.69 0.90 1.30 3.31 25.23 54.81 99.69 162.81
2022-11-13 12.04 0.78 1.10 2.03 4.41 30.71 80.69 146.65 316.37
2022-11-20 14.26 0.92 1.31 2.28 5.14 35.19 94.27 187.99 249.31
2022-11-27 19.03 1.33 1.75 3.35 7.63 51.62 140.47 239.25 387.00
2022-12-04 24.64 1.38 1.80 2.89 8.84 60.10 149.03 249.74 428.80
2022-12-11 21.48 1.55 2.87 3.89 8.46 58.08 165.46 305.30 434.42
2022-12-18 15.48 0.98 1.49 2.35 6.40 38.69 90.70 151.56 185.41
2022-12-25 8.18 0.65 0.94 1.30 2.87 24.70 72.15 118.49 233.48
2023-01-01 29.63 3.25 4.45 7.02 13.13 61.44 143.48 243.35 322.95
2023-01-08 34.80 4.12 5.57 7.95 15.48 78.78 159.67 261.45 366.81
2023-01-15 38.78 4.38 6.73 8.35 18.34 93.84 200.46 335.74 539.67
2023-01-22 36.30 4.29 6.46 9.20 18.13 72.55 176.54 278.08 424.94
2023-01-29 43.39 5.62 7.11 10.94 19.87 109.89 209.29 284.46 451.75
2023-02-05 50.99 6.65 8.48 14.79 26.69 103.47 182.29 254.75 342.70
2023-02-12 59.55 5.02 8.18 12.28 25.19 129.34 295.97 453.42 707.71
2023-02-19 44.39 5.16 7.04 9.79 21.46 104.80 224.42 379.88 568.82
2023-02-26 59.84 6.85 8.86 14.81 25.58 148.61 311.04 508.88 714.30
2023-03-05 45.87 6.20 8.11 11.53 21.25 102.20 205.46 281.88 380.19
2023-03-12 57.01 5.63 7.43 12.24 22.70 136.62 261.98 473.79 641.33
2023-03-19 47.73 4.80 7.69 11.81 22.57 104.05 218.87 424.35 843.01
2023-03-26 38.65 3.47 6.26 9.23 16.87 95.39 189.32 300.48 471.90
2023-04-02 39.59 2.87 4.33 6.67 16.28 89.79 184.64 310.54 482.05
2023-04-09 35.84 3.80 5.59 8.13 16.53 84.85 172.72 272.07 388.54
2023-04-16 36.64 3.75 5.29 8.62 16.16 80.73 198.89 289.15 423.30
2023-04-23 39.87 3.10 4.57 7.11 15.14 94.06 193.27 327.00 476.66
2023-04-30 42.34 5.03 6.59 9.57 17.99 86.38 170.50 258.52 333.04
2023-05-07 41.11 3.27 5.23 9.13 18.93 85.17 173.75 289.04 422.90
2023-05-14 32.90 2.84 4.67 7.01 15.07 65.81 134.56 198.40 334.70
2023-05-21 25.72 3.07 4.09 6.43 11.65 59.80 143.11 226.40 330.07
2023-05-28 23.13 2.25 3.56 5.85 11.34 55.07 135.05 213.46 307.50
2023-06-04 17.03 1.71 2.50 3.52 6.58 38.98 86.69 151.75 277.33
2023-06-11 18.93 2.42 3.23 4.67 8.19 38.25 79.65 111.99 155.51
2023-06-18 12.87 1.32 2.33 3.13 6.62 27.03 52.97 91.95 133.45
2023-06-25 11.63 1.49 2.40 3.56 6.23 27.20 56.74 77.57 115.63
2023-07-02 11.51 1.01 1.56 2.18 4.90 26.24 58.20 105.94 146.99
2023-07-09 9.47 1.06 1.39 2.14 4.60 20.99 41.95 61.41 91.95
2023-07-16 8.24 0.92 1.34 1.97 3.82 18.98 46.74 63.54 127.94
2023-07-23 9.15 0.76 1.17 1.95 3.99 20.23 42.62 74.01 104.31
2023-07-30 8.12 0.66 0.76 1.26 3.34 19.42 45.61 79.52 144.44
2023-08-06 7.95 0.71 0.90 1.43 3.13 19.02 39.79 64.12 98.64
2023-08-13 6.45 0.56 0.79 1.25 3.05 15.08 30.57 42.74 72.24
2023-08-20 5.94 0.71 0.95 1.33 2.78 12.17 24.53 44.52 66.65
2023-08-27 5.66 0.57 0.77 1.00 2.36 16.76 36.68 64.22 99.44
2023-09-03 5.17 0.46 0.64 1.08 2.12 12.53 27.75 42.67 61.46
2023-09-10 6.40 0.39 0.72 1.11 2.64 14.11 28.73 47.20 71.99
2023-09-17 5.62 0.31 0.54 0.78 1.90 16.51 52.63 101.16 167.28
2023-09-24 7.52 0.48 0.73 1.15 2.63 16.60 38.88 59.92 89.77
2023-10-01 6.11 0.61 0.79 1.35 2.55 12.93 28.76 43.40 63.02
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