Prediction 3672

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 10.36 0.50 0.69 1.17 3.78 27.34 72.06 110.02 199.93
2023-10-15 11.81 0.64 1.03 1.85 4.66 29.59 71.39 164.16 252.15
2023-10-22 9.80 0.59 1.01 1.51 3.86 30.37 74.84 137.93 176.11
2023-10-29 11.34 0.56 1.15 1.86 4.24 28.11 85.91 128.47 222.68
2023-11-05 13.09 0.95 1.44 2.13 5.19 35.71 90.69 141.76 277.46
2023-11-12 17.28 1.07 1.27 2.61 5.91 46.25 103.68 179.46 312.78
2023-11-19 17.02 1.34 1.87 2.65 7.34 45.33 139.28 209.93 344.66
2023-11-26 20.47 0.71 1.27 2.95 7.25 63.88 157.87 339.36 710.58
2023-12-03 22.79 0.99 2.00 3.25 8.90 59.01 162.11 308.90 578.87
2023-12-10 26.36 1.19 1.93 3.55 8.84 70.98 184.54 425.36 763.01
2023-12-17 14.16 0.82 1.20 2.27 5.36 44.75 120.51 244.31 353.90
2023-12-24 13.08 0.80 1.23 2.33 5.66 34.24 91.29 186.52 253.88
2023-12-31 37.87 3.74 4.62 6.89 16.96 96.38 223.19 363.14 650.85
2024-01-07 52.56 3.90 6.54 10.58 20.30 124.54 252.34 365.38 723.08
2024-01-14 48.92 5.18 7.07 10.31 21.36 114.66 238.64 335.16 501.18
2024-01-21 44.13 6.48 7.82 11.34 21.40 93.33 214.90 379.30 499.46
2024-01-28 53.06 5.79 8.43 13.72 27.97 126.42 247.20 331.98 431.50
2024-02-04 57.91 7.39 10.45 14.59 26.79 125.97 237.01 367.51 600.02
2024-02-11 48.94 10.06 12.11 16.11 26.81 95.60 184.49 276.71 396.99
2024-02-18 50.99 7.82 10.24 15.41 27.01 103.92 218.95 284.85 395.58
2024-02-25 59.32 11.41 14.84 19.95 31.60 105.77 196.41 247.13 322.16
2024-03-03 57.75 7.44 10.19 15.64 28.54 117.28 242.50 349.40 456.41
2024-03-10 61.36 7.81 10.22 15.70 29.55 128.38 235.81 305.59 417.30
2024-03-17 51.86 5.84 9.14 13.65 26.19 106.83 192.46 296.80 475.61
2024-03-24 46.45 6.00 7.96 13.76 25.08 93.18 193.14 266.77 381.28
2024-03-31 47.01 6.02 8.72 11.93 23.41 92.30 202.77 307.83 402.87
2024-04-07 43.89 5.65 8.05 11.71 24.21 90.66 193.49 303.84 421.72
2024-04-14 47.21 4.66 7.08 11.33 22.86 85.27 171.17 244.94 422.26
2024-04-21 37.52 5.00 6.65 10.53 18.53 83.63 146.54 229.61 385.38
2024-04-28 38.60 5.54 7.08 9.81 19.42 81.71 169.32 260.44 362.87
2024-05-05 41.18 6.21 7.92 10.99 20.09 92.28 185.35 287.18 463.27
2024-05-12 31.60 4.28 6.62 8.92 14.67 63.32 127.39 191.71 280.81
2024-05-19 28.94 3.49 4.70 6.67 13.84 57.26 123.98 195.16 282.54
2024-05-26 30.16 3.13 4.73 7.19 14.21 62.61 118.39 161.58 213.26
2024-06-02 22.53 2.22 3.35 4.70 9.71 46.55 104.82 165.49 228.93
2024-06-09 20.78 2.26 3.11 4.73 10.19 44.72 89.59 166.60 254.78
2024-06-16 13.98 1.37 2.17 3.46 6.24 29.09 56.65 80.83 108.53
2024-06-23 15.20 1.67 2.28 3.33 6.81 33.21 59.57 93.21 132.52
2024-06-30 13.41 1.24 1.86 2.80 6.47 30.86 59.37 90.07 141.20
2024-07-07 14.52 1.42 2.19 3.23 6.65 29.49 60.21 84.81 140.52
2024-07-14 11.56 1.61 2.17 2.86 5.48 27.16 53.29 76.52 100.69
2024-07-21 10.49 0.71 1.36 2.25 4.51 23.77 49.72 67.74 101.70
2024-07-28 11.88 0.86 1.46 2.39 5.20 30.55 66.73 109.71 144.29
2024-08-04 11.73 1.02 1.46 2.27 4.76 28.16 65.55 105.51 164.92
2024-08-11 10.47 0.87 1.50 2.21 4.71 24.49 46.78 77.69 109.34
2024-08-18 9.97 1.10 1.64 2.42 4.61 23.19 60.78 111.79 157.66
2024-08-25 8.76 0.78 1.10 1.83 3.85 18.78 36.73 58.25 95.38
2024-09-01 8.35 0.41 0.63 1.36 3.42 19.24 43.37 60.63 117.60
2024-09-08 9.65 0.64 1.00 1.48 3.70 20.93 49.30 77.63 142.68
2024-09-15 7.55 0.84 1.02 1.63 3.34 19.12 39.44 63.17 107.18
2024-09-22 8.96 1.17 1.51 1.88 4.23 19.20 38.70 61.49 88.46
2024-09-29 9.48 0.74 1.17 1.63 3.85 21.03 50.37 79.22 101.91
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