Prediction 3673

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Roraima

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 3.04 0.11 0.16 0.27 0.80 9.15 28.71 63.56 113.37
2024-10-13 3.79 0.23 0.36 0.60 1.42 10.72 24.36 50.33 59.81
2024-10-20 3.39 0.14 0.25 0.49 1.24 11.10 28.75 42.04 96.31
2024-10-27 3.22 0.23 0.37 0.59 1.17 8.07 20.12 30.96 46.07
2024-11-03 3.96 0.30 0.40 0.65 1.42 10.02 25.39 50.42 73.71
2024-11-10 3.97 0.21 0.32 0.49 1.50 10.85 32.48 52.38 81.38
2024-11-17 4.14 0.29 0.40 0.66 1.61 12.78 30.60 53.51 78.39
2024-11-24 6.07 0.32 0.59 1.08 2.38 17.72 44.70 73.85 105.02
2024-12-01 6.18 0.37 0.69 1.08 2.43 19.30 49.70 73.36 103.14
2024-12-08 7.30 0.33 0.58 0.99 3.07 18.03 47.06 74.87 146.57
2024-12-15 3.64 0.20 0.36 0.60 1.41 11.02 29.60 61.16 81.86
2024-12-22 4.00 0.20 0.32 0.61 1.31 11.39 33.40 52.08 109.54
2024-12-29 16.22 1.34 1.99 3.15 7.36 38.62 92.07 166.93 253.74
2025-01-05 19.05 1.59 2.59 4.09 7.66 43.61 95.57 149.49 249.30
2025-01-12 22.94 2.40 3.22 4.62 9.88 46.66 103.39 150.80 202.84
2025-01-19 25.37 2.98 4.32 6.03 12.72 52.78 100.48 131.50 176.54
2025-01-26 30.26 2.92 4.70 6.76 13.71 64.39 136.43 215.90 404.86
2025-02-02 41.39 4.49 6.63 10.05 18.52 85.09 172.24 276.39 378.38
2025-02-09 35.17 3.65 5.48 7.56 17.07 82.27 189.83 344.94 566.88
2025-02-16 59.04 3.66 5.02 9.11 22.84 134.77 305.42 561.71 720.21
2025-02-23 57.57 4.58 7.91 12.37 26.00 127.52 290.61 446.70 730.82
2025-03-02 55.47 3.42 7.11 10.73 24.10 137.23 317.10 486.50 781.72
2025-03-09 50.32 5.03 6.91 11.00 23.64 130.62 273.12 409.91 627.24
2025-03-16 39.53 3.37 4.76 7.96 16.44 92.00 237.72 419.39 623.83
2025-03-23 32.16 2.69 3.99 6.54 15.01 70.33 144.22 254.66 514.83
2025-03-30 39.30 2.41 3.21 6.37 14.76 99.39 231.07 417.18 629.33
2025-04-06 29.51 3.22 4.36 6.94 13.27 82.96 167.17 244.43 365.37
2025-04-13 31.46 2.25 3.94 6.81 14.34 78.65 189.36 255.47 361.41
2025-04-20 23.33 2.25 2.89 4.55 9.93 57.10 140.05 201.45 375.70
2025-04-27 19.44 2.12 2.97 4.88 9.06 49.82 136.08 232.08 357.65
2025-05-04 22.63 2.03 2.77 4.08 8.72 62.08 207.27 398.47 715.65
2025-05-11 19.53 1.10 1.61 2.92 7.52 43.29 105.33 191.79 287.16
2025-05-18 13.47 1.15 1.70 2.92 5.37 35.09 100.62 197.29 302.04
2025-05-25 13.33 1.11 1.55 2.48 5.26 34.07 83.84 112.64 201.52
2025-06-01 10.14 0.60 0.99 1.54 3.75 26.83 60.17 101.12 149.55
2025-06-08 10.52 0.70 0.92 1.63 3.80 28.06 62.64 112.87 169.92
2025-06-15 8.27 0.57 0.92 1.33 3.00 20.81 54.93 87.71 136.85
2025-06-22 6.96 0.49 0.77 1.25 2.71 21.41 59.49 91.72 140.61
2025-06-29 7.14 0.53 0.81 1.31 2.93 18.31 46.33 77.54 103.34
2025-07-06 7.26 0.39 0.68 1.02 2.87 19.10 59.79 118.04 254.85
2025-07-13 7.89 0.61 0.95 1.32 2.89 23.50 59.49 96.70 163.66
2025-07-20 5.11 0.32 0.62 0.92 1.97 14.25 39.41 68.39 115.00
2025-07-27 4.94 0.27 0.46 0.78 1.88 12.30 31.87 57.72 98.90
2025-08-03 5.05 0.25 0.38 0.61 1.71 16.15 59.50 130.53 287.17
2025-08-10 5.37 0.30 0.41 0.66 1.95 17.69 46.28 77.74 153.86
2025-08-17 3.84 0.35 0.49 0.79 1.61 11.07 29.07 49.85 81.44
2025-08-24 4.02 0.17 0.33 0.53 1.32 11.87 35.11 65.27 120.53
2025-08-31 3.72 0.12 0.22 0.45 1.27 14.70 37.65 80.06 146.73
2025-09-07 3.74 0.16 0.25 0.48 1.34 15.39 56.59 106.90 166.04
2025-09-14 4.68 0.14 0.23 0.39 1.45 13.61 45.66 76.39 133.62
2025-09-21 3.28 0.12 0.29 0.45 1.03 11.73 28.98 56.14 124.66
2025-09-28 3.84 0.10 0.15 0.32 0.98 14.46 45.16 77.08 129.00
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