Prediction 3673
| Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RR
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 3.04 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.80 | 9.15 | 28.71 | 63.56 | 113.37 |
| 2024-10-13 | 3.79 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.60 | 1.42 | 10.72 | 24.36 | 50.33 | 59.81 |
| 2024-10-20 | 3.39 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 1.24 | 11.10 | 28.75 | 42.04 | 96.31 |
| 2024-10-27 | 3.22 | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 1.17 | 8.07 | 20.12 | 30.96 | 46.07 |
| 2024-11-03 | 3.96 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 1.42 | 10.02 | 25.39 | 50.42 | 73.71 |
| 2024-11-10 | 3.97 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.49 | 1.50 | 10.85 | 32.48 | 52.38 | 81.38 |
| 2024-11-17 | 4.14 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.66 | 1.61 | 12.78 | 30.60 | 53.51 | 78.39 |
| 2024-11-24 | 6.07 | 0.32 | 0.59 | 1.08 | 2.38 | 17.72 | 44.70 | 73.85 | 105.02 |
| 2024-12-01 | 6.18 | 0.37 | 0.69 | 1.08 | 2.43 | 19.30 | 49.70 | 73.36 | 103.14 |
| 2024-12-08 | 7.30 | 0.33 | 0.58 | 0.99 | 3.07 | 18.03 | 47.06 | 74.87 | 146.57 |
| 2024-12-15 | 3.64 | 0.20 | 0.36 | 0.60 | 1.41 | 11.02 | 29.60 | 61.16 | 81.86 |
| 2024-12-22 | 4.00 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.61 | 1.31 | 11.39 | 33.40 | 52.08 | 109.54 |
| 2024-12-29 | 16.22 | 1.34 | 1.99 | 3.15 | 7.36 | 38.62 | 92.07 | 166.93 | 253.74 |
| 2025-01-05 | 19.05 | 1.59 | 2.59 | 4.09 | 7.66 | 43.61 | 95.57 | 149.49 | 249.30 |
| 2025-01-12 | 22.94 | 2.40 | 3.22 | 4.62 | 9.88 | 46.66 | 103.39 | 150.80 | 202.84 |
| 2025-01-19 | 25.37 | 2.98 | 4.32 | 6.03 | 12.72 | 52.78 | 100.48 | 131.50 | 176.54 |
| 2025-01-26 | 30.26 | 2.92 | 4.70 | 6.76 | 13.71 | 64.39 | 136.43 | 215.90 | 404.86 |
| 2025-02-02 | 41.39 | 4.49 | 6.63 | 10.05 | 18.52 | 85.09 | 172.24 | 276.39 | 378.38 |
| 2025-02-09 | 35.17 | 3.65 | 5.48 | 7.56 | 17.07 | 82.27 | 189.83 | 344.94 | 566.88 |
| 2025-02-16 | 59.04 | 3.66 | 5.02 | 9.11 | 22.84 | 134.77 | 305.42 | 561.71 | 720.21 |
| 2025-02-23 | 57.57 | 4.58 | 7.91 | 12.37 | 26.00 | 127.52 | 290.61 | 446.70 | 730.82 |
| 2025-03-02 | 55.47 | 3.42 | 7.11 | 10.73 | 24.10 | 137.23 | 317.10 | 486.50 | 781.72 |
| 2025-03-09 | 50.32 | 5.03 | 6.91 | 11.00 | 23.64 | 130.62 | 273.12 | 409.91 | 627.24 |
| 2025-03-16 | 39.53 | 3.37 | 4.76 | 7.96 | 16.44 | 92.00 | 237.72 | 419.39 | 623.83 |
| 2025-03-23 | 32.16 | 2.69 | 3.99 | 6.54 | 15.01 | 70.33 | 144.22 | 254.66 | 514.83 |
| 2025-03-30 | 39.30 | 2.41 | 3.21 | 6.37 | 14.76 | 99.39 | 231.07 | 417.18 | 629.33 |
| 2025-04-06 | 29.51 | 3.22 | 4.36 | 6.94 | 13.27 | 82.96 | 167.17 | 244.43 | 365.37 |
| 2025-04-13 | 31.46 | 2.25 | 3.94 | 6.81 | 14.34 | 78.65 | 189.36 | 255.47 | 361.41 |
| 2025-04-20 | 23.33 | 2.25 | 2.89 | 4.55 | 9.93 | 57.10 | 140.05 | 201.45 | 375.70 |
| 2025-04-27 | 19.44 | 2.12 | 2.97 | 4.88 | 9.06 | 49.82 | 136.08 | 232.08 | 357.65 |
| 2025-05-04 | 22.63 | 2.03 | 2.77 | 4.08 | 8.72 | 62.08 | 207.27 | 398.47 | 715.65 |
| 2025-05-11 | 19.53 | 1.10 | 1.61 | 2.92 | 7.52 | 43.29 | 105.33 | 191.79 | 287.16 |
| 2025-05-18 | 13.47 | 1.15 | 1.70 | 2.92 | 5.37 | 35.09 | 100.62 | 197.29 | 302.04 |
| 2025-05-25 | 13.33 | 1.11 | 1.55 | 2.48 | 5.26 | 34.07 | 83.84 | 112.64 | 201.52 |
| 2025-06-01 | 10.14 | 0.60 | 0.99 | 1.54 | 3.75 | 26.83 | 60.17 | 101.12 | 149.55 |
| 2025-06-08 | 10.52 | 0.70 | 0.92 | 1.63 | 3.80 | 28.06 | 62.64 | 112.87 | 169.92 |
| 2025-06-15 | 8.27 | 0.57 | 0.92 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 20.81 | 54.93 | 87.71 | 136.85 |
| 2025-06-22 | 6.96 | 0.49 | 0.77 | 1.25 | 2.71 | 21.41 | 59.49 | 91.72 | 140.61 |
| 2025-06-29 | 7.14 | 0.53 | 0.81 | 1.31 | 2.93 | 18.31 | 46.33 | 77.54 | 103.34 |
| 2025-07-06 | 7.26 | 0.39 | 0.68 | 1.02 | 2.87 | 19.10 | 59.79 | 118.04 | 254.85 |
| 2025-07-13 | 7.89 | 0.61 | 0.95 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 23.50 | 59.49 | 96.70 | 163.66 |
| 2025-07-20 | 5.11 | 0.32 | 0.62 | 0.92 | 1.97 | 14.25 | 39.41 | 68.39 | 115.00 |
| 2025-07-27 | 4.94 | 0.27 | 0.46 | 0.78 | 1.88 | 12.30 | 31.87 | 57.72 | 98.90 |
| 2025-08-03 | 5.05 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.61 | 1.71 | 16.15 | 59.50 | 130.53 | 287.17 |
| 2025-08-10 | 5.37 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.66 | 1.95 | 17.69 | 46.28 | 77.74 | 153.86 |
| 2025-08-17 | 3.84 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 0.79 | 1.61 | 11.07 | 29.07 | 49.85 | 81.44 |
| 2025-08-24 | 4.02 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.53 | 1.32 | 11.87 | 35.11 | 65.27 | 120.53 |
| 2025-08-31 | 3.72 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.45 | 1.27 | 14.70 | 37.65 | 80.06 | 146.73 |
| 2025-09-07 | 3.74 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.48 | 1.34 | 15.39 | 56.59 | 106.90 | 166.04 |
| 2025-09-14 | 4.68 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.39 | 1.45 | 13.61 | 45.66 | 76.39 | 133.62 |
| 2025-09-21 | 3.28 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.45 | 1.03 | 11.73 | 28.98 | 56.14 | 124.66 |
| 2025-09-28 | 3.84 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.98 | 14.46 | 45.16 | 77.08 | 129.00 |
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