Prediction 3674

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 49.41 16.46 19.54 22.55 32.31 74.69 115.95 182.54 215.88
2022-10-16 52.10 16.88 20.74 23.81 34.36 83.97 129.00 170.84 206.41
2022-10-23 63.27 18.34 23.41 27.18 39.74 96.64 159.10 210.51 273.37
2022-10-30 58.03 16.65 21.42 25.86 37.08 102.35 169.34 255.01 330.41
2022-11-06 75.17 21.51 24.30 31.22 47.21 117.64 203.08 306.56 383.68
2022-11-13 95.13 30.39 34.64 42.77 60.51 156.97 229.60 303.39 438.89
2022-11-20 116.97 38.80 45.24 53.89 77.35 175.82 274.53 371.91 510.22
2022-11-27 122.07 34.92 41.67 53.67 79.44 185.85 313.66 473.28 656.87
2022-12-04 139.68 48.96 55.26 68.06 95.93 236.58 415.59 549.79 701.74
2022-12-11 155.44 47.75 58.84 72.33 105.35 241.96 412.43 523.23 666.84
2022-12-18 99.32 32.45 38.31 44.60 63.94 156.25 264.24 348.25 467.34
2022-12-25 75.19 19.48 24.72 30.36 45.65 128.50 208.58 272.96 440.41
2023-01-01 164.13 57.04 64.91 78.54 107.30 258.44 401.36 479.25 651.00
2023-01-08 205.16 72.34 84.26 100.36 136.84 297.65 406.32 487.85 620.34
2023-01-15 210.11 69.61 85.20 104.03 145.04 319.91 480.29 646.64 807.13
2023-01-22 216.52 79.87 92.64 111.53 147.92 306.85 451.76 592.10 816.38
2023-01-29 254.63 106.57 118.06 139.06 182.49 365.40 502.24 637.72 821.26
2023-02-05 246.94 101.24 108.67 128.01 177.68 344.14 499.42 634.36 857.38
2023-02-12 325.79 109.37 127.57 160.36 216.07 504.75 785.84 1114.41 1383.78
2023-02-19 276.86 94.69 113.34 142.08 184.55 419.82 628.18 801.60 1167.80
2023-02-26 319.55 123.49 141.76 162.62 217.29 455.03 672.88 853.90 1129.03
2023-03-05 269.90 102.42 117.72 140.26 192.80 392.18 540.14 640.19 792.00
2023-03-12 289.33 107.03 122.08 147.13 204.99 432.69 618.15 740.67 941.84
2023-03-19 256.59 102.72 112.52 129.49 184.03 388.48 579.29 842.48 1054.87
2023-03-26 221.33 82.06 92.38 108.97 149.91 329.70 543.09 678.83 850.99
2023-04-02 219.32 80.10 96.60 117.81 154.52 303.59 426.38 565.48 679.94
2023-04-09 189.91 69.84 83.15 106.79 139.52 268.13 375.16 493.09 639.68
2023-04-16 212.79 77.79 90.35 106.15 149.05 305.56 457.59 623.16 791.36
2023-04-23 190.69 62.50 80.15 104.30 137.05 301.16 480.41 611.20 774.05
2023-04-30 185.51 74.22 87.66 100.81 138.78 266.22 409.60 533.42 656.22
2023-05-07 187.66 65.12 77.93 92.82 124.90 279.53 448.99 573.52 722.76
2023-05-14 164.44 58.51 73.79 87.33 121.58 248.74 364.08 463.22 607.33
2023-05-21 139.98 56.66 62.63 75.80 100.05 206.66 304.98 418.49 562.56
2023-05-28 139.47 50.86 54.45 64.73 94.51 204.87 310.46 424.49 530.05
2023-06-04 118.95 41.59 46.90 55.02 77.77 176.74 275.87 362.32 461.28
2023-06-11 100.34 36.36 44.08 51.71 69.99 143.32 206.78 253.58 298.34
2023-06-18 82.58 33.07 36.09 43.00 56.80 129.47 187.33 217.10 261.78
2023-06-25 78.51 33.57 37.19 42.27 56.64 113.85 160.66 208.47 271.34
2023-07-02 80.19 26.94 32.18 40.74 55.44 119.35 181.41 250.90 345.49
2023-07-09 61.15 22.93 26.25 30.47 44.27 93.09 127.37 163.38 217.94
2023-07-16 62.02 22.12 26.17 31.05 40.94 92.07 138.97 193.36 239.31
2023-07-23 58.84 22.29 25.70 31.96 41.92 82.13 112.56 134.33 184.67
2023-07-30 62.12 19.42 23.41 30.09 41.22 98.13 145.07 191.22 238.30
2023-08-06 58.38 19.40 24.01 27.82 37.85 84.22 133.07 167.24 213.32
2023-08-13 46.27 15.68 19.38 23.55 31.85 70.50 105.94 142.20 189.74
2023-08-20 52.06 19.60 22.27 27.15 35.40 75.00 100.31 121.62 137.99
2023-08-27 54.97 18.86 21.22 26.01 36.43 88.22 134.77 179.55 241.63
2023-09-03 40.11 12.77 14.89 18.86 26.93 62.93 93.83 126.82 168.81
2023-09-10 43.14 15.35 17.78 20.99 29.70 65.50 113.50 135.32 163.12
2023-09-17 58.58 14.01 17.47 22.50 35.13 98.43 172.06 239.38 309.31
2023-09-24 51.95 17.24 21.15 26.07 35.73 85.80 131.92 181.16 244.67
2023-10-01 43.37 14.78 17.24 22.17 31.31 63.76 94.59 113.87 145.84
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