Prediction 3675

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 96.29 32.44 35.87 43.54 61.64 152.93 239.69 323.20 414.38
2023-10-15 106.13 36.90 42.83 51.79 72.48 158.52 245.54 316.11 418.90
2023-10-22 105.27 37.65 43.94 51.55 73.88 166.41 260.61 374.41 634.31
2023-10-29 111.77 37.91 43.12 55.53 78.33 167.20 279.00 354.43 445.52
2023-11-05 120.52 47.98 52.75 60.59 87.21 182.32 277.62 360.48 512.56
2023-11-12 145.61 44.28 52.11 67.45 96.61 243.37 411.67 539.49 719.45
2023-11-19 140.67 52.01 61.71 75.10 99.95 204.65 305.13 463.92 651.78
2023-11-26 183.71 58.36 69.61 84.13 113.25 301.64 539.92 895.85 1280.27
2023-12-03 182.83 58.33 66.63 79.05 114.49 277.03 484.65 719.85 1048.71
2023-12-10 184.45 52.29 59.24 74.12 112.51 311.89 584.80 921.86 1548.97
2023-12-17 120.10 35.12 43.78 54.49 82.15 189.75 375.22 467.86 607.97
2023-12-24 105.80 40.20 45.23 55.72 74.82 165.06 253.47 354.97 519.67
2023-12-31 291.84 108.71 122.12 154.45 205.95 436.51 705.90 892.40 1562.66
2024-01-07 343.94 143.19 156.95 187.66 248.55 499.43 741.11 947.82 1204.60
2024-01-14 349.27 134.22 159.48 183.34 257.78 484.85 741.56 976.88 1253.73
2024-01-21 328.70 149.73 169.66 188.14 240.10 437.51 599.93 795.89 1036.08
2024-01-28 358.25 149.42 176.44 209.25 268.99 494.28 660.84 813.85 1065.00
2024-02-04 330.96 163.52 179.99 207.25 253.32 457.35 623.27 722.05 818.45
2024-02-11 317.60 168.43 179.79 199.71 248.43 405.43 529.67 625.89 806.31
2024-02-18 308.15 163.58 178.99 191.63 237.35 398.53 520.73 622.89 782.43
2024-02-25 331.08 181.43 193.56 222.56 262.41 447.68 568.30 675.16 769.38
2024-03-03 346.86 176.01 189.77 206.67 259.70 453.73 583.79 741.22 826.21
2024-03-10 381.36 183.39 207.81 241.00 287.62 513.10 729.34 880.52 1046.49
2024-03-17 320.46 152.74 171.49 197.69 254.02 440.17 615.45 760.45 1008.78
2024-03-24 283.97 144.73 165.54 182.09 217.88 380.13 476.66 573.76 681.73
2024-03-31 291.15 134.11 147.86 169.76 216.76 404.13 569.75 658.67 780.42
2024-04-07 267.44 132.91 143.25 161.46 204.09 360.49 497.61 655.10 740.89
2024-04-14 266.05 126.62 139.74 162.77 206.67 359.76 479.02 609.59 689.54
2024-04-21 245.32 107.57 118.06 141.14 178.52 345.36 472.06 621.02 712.19
2024-04-28 235.38 105.34 116.81 142.23 176.02 322.58 436.49 562.66 653.15
2024-05-05 209.13 94.24 106.68 123.25 162.17 291.81 383.12 463.70 578.66
2024-05-12 190.96 84.38 95.23 110.58 142.40 261.15 335.89 398.03 506.83
2024-05-19 170.51 69.99 80.14 93.39 123.82 246.55 345.37 461.49 577.91
2024-05-26 171.18 74.76 82.27 90.94 129.19 233.40 324.39 400.44 489.20
2024-06-02 133.99 57.61 66.16 77.71 98.05 185.47 270.25 343.68 409.05
2024-06-09 135.33 60.27 68.59 79.47 102.05 176.92 238.99 311.26 351.10
2024-06-16 100.54 47.15 51.44 60.21 75.31 136.94 187.06 239.75 291.22
2024-06-23 112.05 45.22 50.65 58.39 81.13 156.38 215.60 269.50 328.79
2024-06-30 99.91 39.33 44.89 54.98 72.20 143.99 200.91 263.38 321.76
2024-07-07 88.43 37.71 42.08 48.46 63.33 121.75 172.48 204.69 258.42
2024-07-14 84.51 34.15 37.76 43.78 58.58 117.69 161.34 186.91 221.18
2024-07-21 71.75 32.08 36.23 42.38 52.15 96.46 125.70 156.96 183.59
2024-07-28 95.43 36.26 40.11 49.50 64.70 134.45 202.98 265.20 347.60
2024-08-04 100.14 36.90 43.20 49.68 67.88 149.63 219.94 269.55 366.35
2024-08-11 101.13 36.54 45.27 54.54 69.20 159.14 257.58 343.44 436.14
2024-08-18 103.24 36.74 41.19 53.20 73.90 153.52 227.90 276.97 356.20
2024-08-25 69.03 27.99 32.91 38.72 49.03 97.98 141.33 177.08 200.54
2024-09-01 67.05 24.96 27.56 33.52 45.89 97.92 146.58 193.19 288.06
2024-09-08 68.44 23.95 27.42 33.54 47.31 96.18 142.20 163.46 215.81
2024-09-15 64.46 25.24 29.53 34.10 46.32 92.44 134.28 182.14 249.60
2024-09-22 56.98 25.52 28.87 35.39 43.29 79.07 111.38 140.31 177.74
2024-09-29 63.00 25.40 30.07 34.39 45.32 89.29 128.95 181.39 254.07
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