Prediction 3676

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 108.56 35.96 42.42 50.04 72.53 166.55 263.77 369.37 501.61
2024-10-13 118.08 37.42 44.81 54.69 76.69 189.10 273.64 375.93 527.70
2024-10-20 114.19 35.63 41.53 52.55 73.78 181.04 297.07 409.78 518.84
2024-10-27 105.72 37.14 43.54 52.84 71.80 167.49 253.29 363.01 534.30
2024-11-03 122.78 39.06 46.52 55.47 76.48 191.02 291.74 411.88 558.39
2024-11-10 140.25 44.58 52.01 61.49 90.92 227.33 354.13 484.18 633.91
2024-11-17 159.98 47.98 57.97 71.49 104.07 249.53 385.27 520.63 659.42
2024-11-24 181.59 64.76 75.57 88.59 122.29 270.97 443.32 564.57 846.69
2024-12-01 190.76 58.95 67.60 82.71 124.78 301.94 453.92 620.10 949.18
2024-12-08 182.19 57.54 72.30 87.91 119.79 305.74 452.07 655.46 879.44
2024-12-15 125.93 36.91 43.18 54.98 78.90 198.07 329.96 458.02 570.38
2024-12-22 109.99 39.11 47.66 59.11 79.21 174.83 263.90 364.76 439.37
2024-12-29 226.14 87.46 98.00 116.92 158.01 327.92 483.17 638.48 825.72
2025-01-05 269.04 107.29 120.66 143.28 195.36 397.05 552.05 691.81 781.39
2025-01-12 301.23 128.19 144.31 163.61 213.37 434.65 589.04 765.36 983.37
2025-01-19 317.87 129.28 140.51 166.97 225.79 456.27 710.05 960.56 1104.52
2025-01-26 360.43 160.83 182.71 205.16 262.99 491.89 692.24 814.28 949.46
2025-02-02 390.50 155.39 176.47 201.71 276.55 549.70 793.35 1009.98 1367.68
2025-02-09 383.52 142.39 174.03 205.81 272.58 584.38 793.16 992.75 1349.95
2025-02-16 437.87 164.55 182.58 219.00 316.37 671.78 1011.35 1226.84 1520.37
2025-02-23 435.55 184.08 207.76 244.82 311.27 638.50 931.49 1167.09 1497.26
2025-03-02 483.00 176.51 216.11 259.25 338.57 725.66 1065.97 1306.06 1941.26
2025-03-09 427.99 191.86 208.45 248.96 313.56 553.62 806.54 1049.20 1308.30
2025-03-16 362.42 162.17 185.17 209.98 268.81 537.42 769.87 1020.90 1238.55
2025-03-23 311.75 129.05 146.14 169.85 232.31 433.17 610.82 754.54 879.20
2025-03-30 297.66 132.64 160.49 180.43 225.60 430.49 626.53 778.85 990.41
2025-04-06 275.58 128.73 136.79 158.53 201.23 392.46 499.46 615.91 776.19
2025-04-13 275.17 128.65 141.13 159.45 208.04 363.96 510.40 616.05 758.11
2025-04-20 246.68 107.83 120.36 141.02 183.78 346.92 487.55 608.70 747.56
2025-04-27 256.26 103.61 119.57 139.72 186.86 350.75 492.27 639.05 881.86
2025-05-04 222.56 101.98 108.94 127.76 166.21 303.31 410.55 492.51 626.18
2025-05-11 190.29 80.09 96.06 111.34 141.33 285.40 375.29 457.50 546.12
2025-05-18 156.65 67.74 77.39 89.07 117.52 232.63 328.31 447.29 585.53
2025-05-25 142.89 59.41 68.59 76.64 103.20 208.72 288.25 368.01 453.83
2025-06-01 119.68 50.77 56.56 68.44 88.24 169.32 225.22 270.72 326.43
2025-06-08 129.03 55.91 60.56 70.07 93.63 179.85 246.19 304.76 385.17
2025-06-15 121.83 49.57 57.58 66.36 89.57 177.72 236.22 308.92 447.65
2025-06-22 113.70 44.81 51.50 64.01 83.47 156.69 234.36 290.45 373.24
2025-06-29 110.79 47.21 55.16 64.09 80.19 146.94 196.73 268.26 304.69
2025-07-06 109.41 40.55 46.67 56.83 75.22 158.67 218.73 300.84 390.06
2025-07-13 108.73 46.00 50.38 62.34 82.01 148.76 214.50 270.21 346.92
2025-07-20 93.39 35.67 45.59 51.82 66.88 129.25 183.12 227.02 251.46
2025-07-27 96.60 36.35 40.83 46.82 65.78 134.66 189.10 240.95 306.39
2025-08-03 104.35 37.31 43.40 55.24 73.05 155.35 237.55 328.55 416.53
2025-08-10 102.07 33.89 37.97 47.95 69.38 157.07 248.41 325.34 397.58
2025-08-17 88.18 33.65 38.77 44.93 62.81 124.60 180.25 223.60 269.52
2025-08-24 83.68 29.47 33.83 40.39 58.15 121.31 178.37 256.32 327.61
2025-08-31 73.01 24.56 28.02 35.60 49.57 111.17 179.66 232.48 353.49
2025-09-07 90.36 29.12 35.33 42.92 60.04 134.66 213.97 280.61 375.08
2025-09-14 68.70 27.72 32.41 37.21 50.36 99.99 158.28 213.50 302.71
2025-09-21 80.66 29.01 33.33 40.75 57.51 121.11 184.27 274.85 345.65
2025-09-28 77.64 27.04 32.61 38.13 53.77 118.39 179.75 229.42 294.01
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