Prediction 3677

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in AP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 3.93 0.54 0.72 1.02 1.94 8.22 14.86 21.30 31.51
2022-10-16 4.19 0.63 0.83 1.11 2.18 9.07 19.27 30.77 42.43
2022-10-23 4.98 0.69 0.93 1.54 2.47 11.58 26.12 37.23 47.34
2022-10-30 5.81 0.49 0.72 1.22 2.73 11.97 22.66 40.40 57.26
2022-11-06 6.62 0.73 1.03 1.59 3.08 14.42 30.66 48.55 80.14
2022-11-13 8.77 1.27 1.46 2.20 4.31 19.98 44.42 66.38 119.82
2022-11-20 11.99 0.96 1.64 2.41 5.28 26.72 61.08 101.43 146.79
2022-11-27 14.08 1.31 2.00 3.00 6.30 29.98 65.45 104.80 178.56
2022-12-04 17.93 1.75 2.48 4.01 8.40 44.66 120.63 199.45 348.76
2022-12-11 17.68 1.32 2.20 3.62 7.93 42.21 97.94 159.96 196.02
2022-12-18 10.80 1.16 1.62 2.28 4.36 23.20 52.27 77.02 153.92
2022-12-25 7.14 0.70 0.93 1.30 3.04 18.58 37.61 53.00 89.61
2023-01-01 19.69 3.23 3.88 5.69 11.18 38.34 68.74 113.45 136.82
2023-01-08 28.85 3.39 5.09 7.87 13.54 52.72 105.79 159.53 203.52
2023-01-15 27.31 4.22 5.81 7.98 15.02 56.32 95.97 146.21 196.73
2023-01-22 30.07 4.69 6.58 8.71 16.26 58.26 109.17 163.41 255.25
2023-01-29 35.46 6.27 7.82 11.50 19.12 69.54 115.43 172.38 194.63
2023-02-05 36.47 6.00 8.23 10.98 20.75 70.14 116.94 182.41 260.79
2023-02-12 44.80 6.09 7.58 11.44 21.71 85.56 167.33 239.22 327.92
2023-02-19 33.65 5.15 7.43 10.00 15.87 63.73 127.48 191.56 333.33
2023-02-26 46.11 6.73 10.11 13.44 24.24 86.66 159.85 253.69 352.43
2023-03-05 33.71 6.96 8.63 11.52 18.84 59.37 104.04 157.45 228.27
2023-03-12 43.56 6.51 8.80 12.05 22.33 87.30 167.93 251.26 326.44
2023-03-19 34.73 5.66 7.01 9.30 19.21 65.30 117.77 175.61 254.33
2023-03-26 30.23 3.65 5.64 8.03 15.72 61.98 114.97 166.46 219.51
2023-04-02 29.91 4.36 5.60 8.27 15.37 56.47 95.31 143.47 175.65
2023-04-09 24.26 3.20 5.04 7.35 13.63 45.73 97.10 133.91 192.88
2023-04-16 31.58 4.26 5.41 7.98 15.74 59.70 107.04 157.50 234.24
2023-04-23 26.98 3.61 4.52 6.73 14.08 60.10 116.97 177.75 250.51
2023-04-30 28.38 4.31 5.45 7.88 14.60 52.97 113.35 188.27 258.10
2023-05-07 27.76 4.28 5.87 8.04 15.49 60.87 111.69 158.42 234.18
2023-05-14 25.48 3.47 4.26 6.65 12.81 53.90 97.67 133.26 196.71
2023-05-21 18.51 2.28 2.89 4.66 8.76 41.59 83.66 154.82 274.50
2023-05-28 18.08 1.96 2.87 4.08 8.38 37.26 71.25 103.52 140.98
2023-06-04 12.23 1.74 2.45 3.58 6.38 28.33 53.33 79.21 122.44
2023-06-11 12.09 2.10 2.74 3.98 6.79 22.67 39.75 64.34 81.05
2023-06-18 9.43 1.70 2.12 2.96 5.20 18.32 37.24 61.62 84.94
2023-06-25 8.48 1.45 1.92 2.61 4.72 14.79 31.19 42.54 51.57
2023-07-02 7.51 0.82 1.21 1.73 3.76 14.53 27.85 40.26 58.58
2023-07-09 7.40 1.12 1.33 1.97 3.50 13.01 22.69 31.84 44.19
2023-07-16 5.48 0.82 1.00 1.44 2.67 12.04 22.47 40.30 54.05
2023-07-23 5.54 0.98 1.11 1.63 2.82 10.96 19.83 27.88 40.38
2023-07-30 7.19 0.70 0.99 1.48 2.94 15.64 33.89 54.84 69.15
2023-08-06 5.70 0.64 0.92 1.25 2.76 11.37 21.25 34.85 50.08
2023-08-13 4.58 0.55 0.86 1.26 2.27 9.98 20.43 30.28 58.91
2023-08-20 4.45 0.73 0.90 1.36 2.46 7.96 13.50 21.11 26.85
2023-08-27 3.94 0.56 0.84 1.20 2.04 9.81 19.18 31.54 47.32
2023-09-03 3.75 0.53 0.74 1.00 1.80 8.07 15.46 23.51 35.89
2023-09-10 4.31 0.44 0.66 1.02 1.80 8.99 18.32 24.75 48.28
2023-09-17 5.42 0.33 0.59 0.97 2.26 13.66 28.50 43.48 60.01
2023-09-24 5.16 0.58 0.87 1.25 2.41 10.41 20.51 36.06 50.72
2023-10-01 4.55 0.68 0.90 1.24 2.30 8.61 16.16 23.24 33.68
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