Prediction 3678

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in AP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 13.35 1.63 2.31 3.04 5.84 25.09 51.69 85.68 159.10
2023-10-15 14.74 1.71 2.41 3.55 7.27 28.38 57.65 95.32 135.55
2023-10-22 15.66 1.82 2.43 3.74 6.92 33.81 61.87 93.82 116.97
2023-10-29 18.55 2.22 3.33 4.44 8.84 39.17 72.65 113.81 174.46
2023-11-05 16.81 2.24 3.41 4.25 8.44 33.95 67.28 108.08 189.48
2023-11-12 18.95 1.94 2.87 4.70 9.02 42.85 94.14 149.31 287.88
2023-11-19 21.72 2.59 3.38 5.48 10.97 37.97 82.53 121.58 169.29
2023-11-26 21.11 2.24 3.55 5.38 9.56 52.76 111.50 179.21 231.01
2023-12-03 23.32 2.91 3.96 5.34 10.28 46.81 102.77 153.68 247.98
2023-12-10 25.23 2.68 4.27 6.16 10.98 50.23 104.85 183.01 261.86
2023-12-17 16.66 2.56 3.01 4.18 7.50 33.05 79.10 116.08 215.20
2023-12-24 13.95 1.88 2.87 4.26 7.15 29.00 55.99 94.46 131.12
2023-12-31 44.09 6.06 8.28 12.21 21.88 81.42 147.77 251.68 335.63
2024-01-07 48.79 8.44 10.54 14.23 25.43 94.95 176.49 257.21 359.75
2024-01-14 50.73 8.26 12.28 16.12 27.34 95.98 177.67 240.87 324.12
2024-01-21 49.75 10.08 13.46 16.65 28.48 93.20 161.80 221.71 306.30
2024-01-28 50.29 12.52 15.60 20.48 31.70 91.54 148.50 205.97 262.82
2024-02-04 51.90 12.60 16.41 20.27 31.46 81.99 135.61 184.91 243.84
2024-02-11 48.28 12.80 18.11 21.66 30.70 77.29 115.60 151.21 180.12
2024-02-18 47.27 14.08 16.67 20.73 31.45 74.87 114.36 149.63 223.23
2024-02-25 55.97 14.65 18.31 22.08 35.15 89.60 137.75 169.79 218.66
2024-03-03 51.60 13.64 15.68 20.46 29.88 85.46 121.47 171.73 219.90
2024-03-10 63.68 14.29 16.81 22.51 38.20 106.99 173.16 229.64 286.83
2024-03-17 52.78 11.69 14.80 19.22 30.12 90.75 152.04 201.42 295.83
2024-03-24 46.96 12.37 14.61 18.04 29.62 82.80 133.82 185.85 262.85
2024-03-31 44.84 8.77 10.93 15.66 25.67 81.25 123.77 153.58 190.17
2024-04-07 46.51 11.67 13.85 17.44 26.43 77.00 130.89 184.79 232.13
2024-04-14 46.39 10.27 13.65 16.92 26.61 74.57 119.91 163.56 221.98
2024-04-21 37.87 7.22 10.07 14.13 21.10 66.56 105.52 139.89 207.61
2024-04-28 37.12 7.55 10.04 13.31 22.45 61.48 104.57 140.93 187.41
2024-05-05 36.61 8.27 9.85 13.24 21.41 61.51 105.21 148.93 192.46
2024-05-12 29.39 6.61 8.13 10.71 16.96 48.40 84.20 106.82 146.37
2024-05-19 25.63 4.72 5.98 8.46 14.68 48.14 86.81 116.48 168.45
2024-05-26 26.60 5.49 7.57 9.45 15.13 50.65 83.91 113.54 155.21
2024-06-02 21.35 4.21 6.23 7.94 11.56 39.20 73.00 101.46 151.18
2024-06-09 20.06 4.33 5.67 7.43 11.49 35.84 62.70 84.08 101.50
2024-06-16 15.99 3.30 4.10 5.57 8.70 25.07 46.48 64.16 87.03
2024-06-23 18.08 3.02 4.09 5.51 9.83 30.30 47.49 80.19 94.63
2024-06-30 15.28 2.69 3.30 4.67 7.80 27.47 45.02 56.31 78.28
2024-07-07 12.10 2.54 3.22 3.99 7.15 23.32 38.70 58.31 63.33
2024-07-14 11.54 1.98 3.15 4.20 6.65 20.31 32.73 42.47 70.89
2024-07-21 11.62 1.87 2.51 3.37 5.95 20.91 36.63 45.32 52.68
2024-07-28 13.51 2.20 2.82 3.54 6.76 24.65 44.82 78.88 104.28
2024-08-04 13.53 2.40 2.80 3.95 6.58 25.30 44.95 68.43 97.54
2024-08-11 12.12 1.82 2.32 3.31 6.58 25.73 49.49 75.26 112.75
2024-08-18 13.35 1.95 2.99 4.27 6.73 26.49 45.50 67.28 92.24
2024-08-25 10.35 1.69 2.13 3.08 5.41 20.00 33.01 48.52 75.28
2024-09-01 10.02 1.33 1.85 2.59 5.37 20.31 36.70 51.03 78.00
2024-09-08 10.28 1.45 2.05 3.02 5.14 19.70 38.18 51.04 87.30
2024-09-15 8.85 1.48 1.90 2.79 5.14 16.31 32.16 42.66 58.64
2024-09-22 9.89 1.64 2.17 2.88 5.16 16.69 30.09 42.10 56.15
2024-09-29 10.32 1.54 2.01 2.86 5.26 19.14 31.93 42.89 55.53
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