Prediction 3679

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in AP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 30.37 3.73 5.99 7.86 14.31 56.15 118.84 174.78 262.17
2024-10-13 30.34 4.11 5.16 8.17 15.89 58.40 123.59 190.62 241.87
2024-10-20 31.36 3.76 4.74 6.33 13.14 64.03 116.59 188.84 313.35
2024-10-27 32.72 3.99 5.88 8.31 15.65 61.33 117.17 196.44 268.43
2024-11-03 34.99 4.65 5.81 9.62 17.32 66.43 111.26 166.31 279.92
2024-11-10 39.17 4.38 6.29 9.77 20.19 84.46 160.23 229.23 340.25
2024-11-17 40.86 4.71 6.49 10.61 20.19 93.15 160.06 243.34 331.55
2024-11-24 43.59 6.44 8.58 12.07 23.00 93.21 204.50 286.79 428.49
2024-12-01 50.89 7.47 9.38 14.36 27.51 103.05 186.56 249.14 349.97
2024-12-08 47.37 6.39 8.66 12.20 23.06 111.13 216.18 328.67 501.50
2024-12-15 33.58 3.80 5.79 8.37 15.96 66.32 130.46 215.04 330.50
2024-12-22 33.98 4.42 6.59 10.23 18.39 65.47 110.34 169.62 221.86
2024-12-29 72.63 11.81 16.14 21.37 34.72 135.53 220.40 350.08 476.39
2025-01-05 88.81 15.28 20.23 30.06 49.32 145.88 262.88 363.98 430.02
2025-01-12 87.83 15.81 20.65 27.30 49.04 164.43 276.48 378.36 539.07
2025-01-19 99.25 16.05 23.35 32.75 56.06 168.86 289.75 431.04 542.09
2025-01-26 103.61 24.91 31.52 43.44 64.17 187.00 310.00 391.60 556.99
2025-02-02 116.24 24.30 31.99 42.34 66.26 218.05 373.74 486.02 597.06
2025-02-09 112.68 24.50 30.29 39.72 66.07 205.42 355.60 476.25 606.10
2025-02-16 127.66 21.45 29.07 34.57 63.54 243.53 431.56 594.20 819.52
2025-02-23 117.56 23.54 29.15 40.32 65.27 225.72 378.63 533.33 660.22
2025-03-02 138.99 25.25 31.21 43.29 75.35 243.77 438.12 643.48 935.29
2025-03-09 126.63 25.96 32.08 42.28 73.06 189.83 318.72 472.94 709.86
2025-03-16 108.74 24.02 27.59 37.97 63.05 175.88 280.28 408.71 641.24
2025-03-23 88.63 22.13 26.77 33.21 53.45 153.70 241.48 295.05 434.03
2025-03-30 90.80 22.57 25.46 33.38 54.09 146.73 232.54 306.65 433.33
2025-04-06 86.66 22.19 27.93 35.58 53.41 146.92 231.83 302.01 365.71
2025-04-13 85.52 26.16 30.72 36.18 53.39 142.15 224.75 305.88 392.83
2025-04-20 75.06 18.17 21.31 27.38 45.08 123.44 217.95 284.86 354.32
2025-04-27 81.75 20.16 23.61 30.27 46.36 137.10 233.81 305.90 385.44
2025-05-04 66.79 14.80 17.87 24.60 38.77 110.09 172.36 270.89 335.84
2025-05-11 63.69 13.11 16.38 22.63 35.51 103.54 172.87 230.96 283.36
2025-05-18 48.78 10.12 12.25 17.60 27.07 88.67 145.42 190.06 260.14
2025-05-25 42.83 9.69 11.77 16.48 25.28 68.97 107.19 152.93 185.53
2025-06-01 36.11 7.82 11.15 13.16 20.44 61.96 108.16 136.69 185.95
2025-06-08 39.26 8.85 11.24 14.66 23.01 72.65 122.27 191.29 287.37
2025-06-15 36.34 8.07 10.22 14.44 22.86 65.95 109.65 148.20 212.19
2025-06-22 34.33 6.75 8.62 11.69 19.88 61.32 100.70 154.70 214.64
2025-06-29 33.91 7.72 9.46 13.08 20.81 54.73 94.58 136.14 167.48
2025-07-06 34.45 5.20 7.39 10.72 19.60 61.33 112.24 160.03 229.25
2025-07-13 29.54 7.81 9.82 11.99 17.59 54.85 92.11 127.52 181.41
2025-07-20 26.01 5.30 6.82 8.87 15.23 46.14 78.86 115.38 146.23
2025-07-27 26.48 5.40 6.72 8.32 14.69 49.36 78.15 102.69 156.50
2025-08-03 28.70 4.91 5.68 8.67 15.24 56.18 109.19 161.39 244.21
2025-08-10 27.05 4.09 5.56 7.58 13.15 54.49 99.67 155.13 272.35
2025-08-17 24.33 4.26 6.49 9.04 14.24 43.46 74.52 106.59 157.45
2025-08-24 25.33 4.40 5.99 8.35 13.31 52.29 95.06 132.26 205.98
2025-08-31 20.35 3.71 4.31 5.79 10.47 40.72 83.84 122.50 167.30
2025-09-07 25.00 3.48 4.98 7.02 13.19 51.89 96.78 142.75 186.87
2025-09-14 20.88 3.43 4.72 5.81 11.06 37.95 66.32 94.51 148.15
2025-09-21 23.71 3.55 5.01 7.26 13.17 44.43 81.14 105.72 149.56
2025-09-28 21.64 4.62 5.12 7.08 11.80 41.74 78.42 118.59 185.97
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