Prediction 3680

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 46.00 12.32 13.92 16.81 27.20 83.38 162.49 284.23 375.03
2022-10-16 53.72 11.90 13.98 18.83 30.09 106.01 206.63 328.06 500.03
2022-10-23 53.29 12.16 14.44 18.70 30.99 100.92 209.87 341.50 428.31
2022-10-30 55.60 13.51 16.26 21.19 33.30 107.69 209.24 300.82 445.48
2022-11-06 72.20 15.65 18.83 25.13 39.95 122.21 239.59 347.95 492.36
2022-11-13 90.83 20.56 24.88 33.44 54.32 152.66 290.76 400.35 615.95
2022-11-20 114.90 24.60 30.90 42.30 69.03 196.80 293.20 436.01 596.55
2022-11-27 111.93 24.64 29.97 42.35 65.98 205.44 373.88 533.40 708.20
2022-12-04 146.00 35.45 38.63 52.25 84.06 253.48 514.92 817.54 1069.82
2022-12-11 145.01 35.29 41.53 56.21 87.08 251.55 438.57 699.69 972.69
2022-12-18 91.49 21.59 27.82 36.43 54.24 164.55 320.08 483.12 668.76
2022-12-25 68.94 14.13 18.14 24.51 38.60 125.53 227.30 321.43 463.38
2023-01-01 158.95 49.07 56.84 71.61 105.14 256.73 454.23 582.88 847.08
2023-01-08 186.45 55.01 60.52 81.36 118.48 291.93 443.93 615.91 879.31
2023-01-15 201.27 65.54 74.79 85.46 124.93 339.54 567.90 770.71 1013.57
2023-01-22 203.05 64.98 72.36 93.56 128.14 324.96 537.03 752.21 906.04
2023-01-29 244.37 68.29 90.33 114.67 161.65 377.43 574.48 824.16 1064.94
2023-02-05 229.39 74.58 88.36 102.90 147.34 353.22 554.18 640.35 813.60
2023-02-12 303.91 78.71 96.62 120.14 188.48 521.06 816.42 1042.53 1300.42
2023-02-19 261.87 73.87 91.10 113.84 165.74 416.59 703.25 1075.07 1416.78
2023-02-26 281.96 94.16 107.48 130.30 183.60 459.24 770.25 1135.87 1595.41
2023-03-05 259.61 77.81 89.40 113.72 160.89 410.91 682.49 949.75 1320.49
2023-03-12 295.95 85.38 99.92 119.11 186.51 475.75 776.31 1048.19 1447.91
2023-03-19 235.44 67.76 83.00 104.35 153.59 420.82 673.53 911.75 1125.87
2023-03-26 198.79 58.49 70.48 89.17 125.77 340.33 578.08 790.97 1251.99
2023-04-02 220.54 69.64 82.08 100.90 144.81 356.27 528.82 706.12 881.61
2023-04-09 201.32 59.48 72.21 91.76 132.68 323.84 500.28 691.71 911.83
2023-04-16 208.71 58.11 71.73 92.11 131.27 346.65 568.79 810.16 989.26
2023-04-23 196.61 60.67 69.49 84.78 129.11 317.45 530.84 719.18 973.89
2023-04-30 179.31 60.10 70.88 87.82 124.96 284.41 466.41 655.84 839.84
2023-05-07 181.42 56.99 67.09 80.65 119.87 296.03 420.49 577.03 797.47
2023-05-14 162.27 48.21 53.19 66.57 103.01 254.20 396.88 560.11 814.04
2023-05-21 135.57 38.19 45.38 59.57 87.41 218.83 361.26 447.39 615.60
2023-05-28 120.94 35.54 43.91 51.78 78.06 196.20 313.25 400.75 467.88
2023-06-04 114.47 32.47 38.45 49.02 74.76 194.71 295.97 420.11 489.27
2023-06-11 94.93 26.17 35.74 44.97 65.00 154.87 258.79 366.69 483.37
2023-06-18 85.58 27.33 31.81 38.72 56.21 136.02 253.80 329.18 420.46
2023-06-25 77.84 22.30 28.77 34.70 51.38 127.46 214.65 293.04 387.12
2023-07-02 75.23 21.47 24.61 31.65 48.32 136.60 229.72 310.42 415.96
2023-07-09 63.52 17.15 21.34 27.74 40.92 107.27 190.81 265.52 378.77
2023-07-16 60.36 16.09 19.41 24.31 36.74 107.51 180.97 230.06 351.93
2023-07-23 54.75 15.68 19.23 24.67 35.68 88.16 138.86 213.42 339.95
2023-07-30 59.82 15.43 18.92 22.63 36.41 108.16 194.99 272.86 399.31
2023-08-06 53.74 13.67 17.75 23.24 34.01 90.94 160.43 229.39 283.27
2023-08-13 46.90 12.38 14.23 18.15 29.46 75.51 133.22 180.36 230.40
2023-08-20 46.49 15.64 16.96 21.17 29.16 75.10 118.22 177.40 224.55
2023-08-27 54.53 12.51 15.81 21.42 33.74 88.09 162.27 242.78 417.30
2023-09-03 36.27 10.17 12.54 15.79 22.35 65.85 123.24 186.63 266.91
2023-09-10 44.83 11.36 13.26 16.65 26.44 77.91 127.92 192.32 269.28
2023-09-17 51.44 12.87 15.28 19.94 30.04 95.20 187.36 278.22 408.35
2023-09-24 52.58 13.25 17.10 20.70 31.97 88.25 171.65 255.90 327.10
2023-10-01 43.74 11.47 13.92 17.85 27.84 73.01 132.04 171.70 248.26
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