Prediction 3681

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 63.95 12.86 15.80 20.87 31.70 114.50 221.68 355.08 524.74
2023-10-15 62.11 12.53 16.23 20.82 35.61 124.75 222.05 298.67 488.69
2023-10-22 74.00 12.89 18.12 22.15 39.93 136.11 237.78 426.15 610.14
2023-10-29 73.38 16.11 19.64 25.53 44.94 133.54 239.71 351.26 615.16
2023-11-05 74.51 14.68 18.63 25.01 39.48 122.85 230.36 374.36 607.16
2023-11-12 91.09 20.73 25.98 32.61 52.05 179.96 327.85 494.64 725.66
2023-11-19 87.77 20.69 27.10 35.17 51.01 154.49 287.07 403.21 673.29
2023-11-26 133.94 21.79 27.25 38.24 66.32 245.97 460.23 875.41 1482.39
2023-12-03 105.62 24.13 29.95 39.14 64.65 224.88 445.45 614.59 1005.03
2023-12-10 112.20 19.11 25.13 35.13 63.94 221.86 529.95 820.86 1255.91
2023-12-17 80.89 13.95 18.62 25.70 40.60 168.80 341.35 596.97 920.57
2023-12-24 58.00 14.91 17.69 23.59 37.12 113.38 220.50 372.03 518.58
2023-12-31 200.71 56.19 63.43 79.81 122.26 372.88 702.21 1075.49 1581.87
2024-01-07 213.61 59.53 69.71 89.45 133.50 340.23 549.32 798.35 1034.61
2024-01-14 218.55 68.33 79.30 95.18 141.95 345.88 532.41 709.71 797.31
2024-01-21 205.78 68.57 84.38 95.38 142.82 342.07 536.16 830.34 1234.24
2024-01-28 211.67 78.40 93.40 111.33 156.01 312.29 514.49 703.27 938.67
2024-02-04 214.09 79.04 89.40 109.73 143.41 325.90 520.71 707.51 882.81
2024-02-11 216.54 77.21 92.35 110.29 152.11 328.16 472.89 607.23 744.31
2024-02-18 195.51 74.94 89.53 106.95 138.81 290.68 443.82 673.57 956.77
2024-02-25 221.17 86.48 101.90 118.10 155.91 342.31 474.52 655.56 958.22
2024-03-03 214.15 80.24 92.47 108.13 151.45 315.90 462.51 631.81 840.48
2024-03-10 261.56 84.11 96.60 118.81 170.56 410.63 605.87 756.72 1035.03
2024-03-17 218.89 73.86 87.00 112.62 154.10 328.63 505.33 668.84 1007.57
2024-03-24 198.31 61.05 77.54 91.40 130.65 306.07 470.58 635.94 792.73
2024-03-31 171.81 62.71 75.10 88.64 116.94 282.04 430.26 541.27 783.67
2024-04-07 180.01 63.62 73.17 88.35 119.04 271.34 407.06 564.02 786.74
2024-04-14 187.79 61.37 74.13 92.46 127.50 314.76 512.96 684.68 760.98
2024-04-21 160.15 50.37 59.54 72.09 103.37 266.36 414.96 559.45 824.87
2024-04-28 154.09 52.87 62.87 71.58 99.72 238.16 347.05 474.86 588.65
2024-05-05 154.45 56.74 62.29 72.83 103.96 243.53 407.02 595.21 679.04
2024-05-12 120.61 40.88 48.10 58.60 84.23 183.88 256.25 322.81 415.47
2024-05-19 119.64 40.26 48.68 58.74 79.87 190.37 325.44 456.28 626.18
2024-05-26 112.65 37.06 44.20 51.18 71.46 176.79 314.71 482.53 570.35
2024-06-02 87.11 28.08 32.47 39.60 54.71 142.12 240.23 310.60 392.30
2024-06-09 80.36 23.96 30.51 36.52 50.67 126.62 189.17 269.06 372.15
2024-06-16 57.24 19.27 22.24 26.50 38.59 93.15 147.48 199.25 239.51
2024-06-23 63.94 18.56 23.10 26.62 41.12 107.94 168.77 254.46 313.82
2024-06-30 64.18 18.66 22.78 28.46 39.42 109.27 176.91 267.57 432.93
2024-07-07 51.79 18.31 21.06 25.56 35.67 81.58 130.00 218.22 306.99
2024-07-14 49.41 18.75 21.13 24.31 32.98 81.61 130.51 181.32 209.31
2024-07-21 44.35 14.12 17.80 20.36 29.20 65.05 108.29 146.85 208.92
2024-07-28 57.37 15.34 17.90 23.61 35.44 94.76 148.26 207.63 284.76
2024-08-04 56.04 13.65 17.19 21.84 34.49 90.75 140.67 193.47 255.30
2024-08-11 47.92 13.15 15.91 19.13 30.80 78.46 134.27 176.18 240.25
2024-08-18 53.47 12.95 17.54 21.54 32.05 81.40 131.53 200.85 319.74
2024-08-25 37.19 11.06 12.81 16.29 24.25 61.68 102.13 137.54 222.20
2024-09-01 40.90 9.12 11.29 15.36 24.22 67.89 124.04 180.79 230.15
2024-09-08 36.68 11.89 13.26 15.81 23.30 61.53 116.81 155.34 221.09
2024-09-15 37.85 10.52 12.83 15.33 23.95 70.65 120.84 187.30 277.02
2024-09-22 36.94 9.87 12.65 16.13 23.99 61.17 98.44 145.97 176.25
2024-09-29 40.25 10.34 12.86 17.56 25.24 70.47 107.42 143.75 241.97
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