Prediction 3682

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in TO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 37.60 7.49 10.23 13.94 21.65 71.61 140.26 216.19 307.85
2024-10-13 40.92 10.39 13.04 15.87 24.14 76.50 130.16 175.30 276.56
2024-10-20 40.12 9.28 10.89 14.28 22.63 78.97 169.43 287.01 468.11
2024-10-27 39.93 7.83 10.56 12.70 21.50 68.49 130.54 181.40 231.52
2024-11-03 42.23 9.94 12.19 15.94 25.19 74.08 129.18 218.10 302.11
2024-11-10 47.35 10.24 11.90 17.08 27.03 84.49 134.81 211.04 294.55
2024-11-17 53.17 11.99 14.49 18.56 30.11 96.21 171.25 245.37 401.76
2024-11-24 68.22 15.13 18.23 25.44 40.02 117.97 226.50 280.89 418.26
2024-12-01 66.36 14.03 17.43 21.55 36.53 118.47 209.68 312.25 406.09
2024-12-08 68.67 13.87 17.31 23.26 38.03 119.08 210.18 310.52 410.15
2024-12-15 44.72 10.62 12.10 15.22 26.04 80.15 138.48 214.08 295.36
2024-12-22 40.81 9.70 11.96 14.67 22.76 78.82 148.07 206.59 319.37
2024-12-29 108.78 29.25 35.85 45.21 66.85 171.20 277.23 361.38 542.32
2025-01-05 126.54 34.96 41.29 52.88 82.41 205.66 313.16 424.52 599.42
2025-01-12 142.21 47.88 51.98 65.02 93.13 209.59 349.28 480.97 629.80
2025-01-19 154.29 45.51 55.92 68.61 102.18 231.71 384.58 556.19 642.79
2025-01-26 178.94 56.71 63.62 83.18 119.14 277.56 415.35 539.31 800.51
2025-02-02 213.46 63.77 76.17 96.05 140.30 339.81 524.98 771.09 1255.81
2025-02-09 216.16 57.84 68.73 96.76 139.15 364.68 568.61 869.18 1160.82
2025-02-16 274.57 65.79 73.96 95.20 158.78 465.63 887.97 1189.14 1552.95
2025-02-23 277.58 76.84 86.74 112.43 173.35 478.76 781.06 1091.08 1489.00
2025-03-02 272.74 83.69 98.10 114.15 167.42 491.34 868.95 1347.30 1863.63
2025-03-09 257.05 86.49 95.06 122.07 179.79 417.39 660.46 909.36 1311.68
2025-03-16 223.98 71.93 82.09 98.48 143.03 351.68 659.87 989.63 1453.97
2025-03-23 179.92 53.63 62.86 78.71 114.68 305.29 505.06 851.05 1287.78
2025-03-30 180.87 54.63 62.27 78.40 110.49 308.00 600.35 905.25 1448.87
2025-04-06 170.39 49.32 58.41 76.43 110.69 274.06 479.12 793.04 1064.95
2025-04-13 165.94 47.28 58.40 72.71 107.85 265.42 478.21 716.16 1252.65
2025-04-20 131.31 41.39 49.59 63.31 85.21 219.96 359.32 503.00 629.80
2025-04-27 145.85 43.43 49.05 62.41 92.56 238.29 425.59 631.27 927.01
2025-05-04 123.12 37.71 43.18 54.57 79.21 210.64 393.32 526.21 688.04
2025-05-11 106.12 30.47 36.58 45.40 69.04 172.18 299.58 494.86 743.76
2025-05-18 83.17 23.60 26.97 32.27 53.19 144.21 256.53 354.99 487.26
2025-05-25 72.05 18.43 22.51 31.08 47.39 113.74 195.10 255.14 355.23
2025-06-01 58.70 16.71 20.39 24.84 35.75 96.61 173.07 259.06 317.09
2025-06-08 59.51 19.93 21.94 25.35 39.84 93.01 152.97 212.39 276.49
2025-06-15 60.22 15.02 17.79 24.30 37.19 99.59 161.12 235.97 303.08
2025-06-22 54.36 14.65 18.15 23.62 34.49 91.07 164.55 224.40 292.82
2025-06-29 45.35 14.35 16.32 20.25 28.68 75.98 114.26 162.32 274.43
2025-07-06 49.30 13.56 15.21 20.01 28.96 97.98 199.29 305.21 481.76
2025-07-13 56.80 13.43 16.83 22.19 33.80 102.16 186.77 294.40 373.99
2025-07-20 39.74 10.53 13.21 16.73 25.42 65.26 118.73 169.30 242.90
2025-07-27 39.08 10.92 13.57 16.83 24.04 65.12 109.10 167.38 219.63
2025-08-03 48.03 9.37 11.30 16.47 27.76 96.14 177.32 252.36 449.20
2025-08-10 48.62 10.09 12.38 17.07 26.82 93.04 205.76 352.54 721.83
2025-08-17 36.54 9.96 12.61 15.44 22.84 59.72 100.58 150.07 196.00
2025-08-24 41.55 8.68 10.28 13.74 23.29 75.41 157.01 244.77 323.10
2025-08-31 37.01 7.69 10.15 13.23 21.49 67.97 136.89 211.77 284.52
2025-09-07 37.41 7.10 8.95 12.32 19.64 71.53 137.37 212.17 273.10
2025-09-14 33.03 7.07 8.95 11.87 19.12 62.43 125.89 223.35 316.14
2025-09-21 35.46 7.33 9.54 12.33 20.53 66.69 120.62 167.61 234.13
2025-09-28 32.91 6.91 9.18 11.81 19.11 62.63 125.77 230.24 388.31
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