Prediction 3683

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in SC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 5.01 0.51 0.75 1.12 2.11 11.60 29.72 50.76 80.84
2022-10-16 5.24 0.57 0.76 1.17 2.58 12.52 30.67 56.09 92.57
2022-10-23 7.51 1.11 1.38 1.88 3.65 18.25 39.06 56.82 91.46
2022-10-30 6.61 0.68 1.11 1.57 2.87 16.06 37.14 71.50 123.17
2022-11-06 11.58 1.67 2.03 2.72 6.03 27.08 73.91 139.44 231.68
2022-11-13 13.16 1.98 2.52 3.30 5.91 32.08 78.34 122.21 257.97
2022-11-20 13.04 1.72 2.14 3.53 6.50 34.08 73.80 114.26 197.25
2022-11-27 18.85 2.03 2.59 3.87 8.48 50.29 115.45 176.94 303.78
2022-12-04 58.35 5.86 8.07 12.27 24.55 167.84 508.03 1139.24 2339.54
2022-12-11 26.98 3.63 4.71 6.85 14.15 68.68 199.13 334.51 815.87
2022-12-18 43.93 4.78 5.93 10.53 19.65 107.25 227.48 383.42 910.86
2022-12-25 16.61 1.83 2.65 4.08 8.01 57.30 116.28 186.10 356.46
2023-01-01 62.70 7.35 11.78 15.51 28.97 152.38 393.72 690.12 1347.92
2023-01-08 106.59 9.55 15.77 22.38 44.03 272.53 713.70 1168.45 2775.81
2023-01-15 80.03 7.94 10.41 14.79 31.38 216.06 649.00 1141.27 2273.50
2023-01-22 138.79 14.62 21.62 31.46 62.81 329.95 886.71 1268.48 2218.14
2023-01-29 162.42 18.16 31.66 40.21 75.66 416.20 892.98 1529.21 2194.94
2023-02-05 256.35 23.86 34.48 53.44 106.00 648.15 1667.99 4069.78 9847.54
2023-02-12 284.40 39.18 49.29 66.97 127.30 694.07 1728.13 3037.50 4681.00
2023-02-19 291.72 38.92 54.03 78.39 136.09 706.12 1428.17 2048.14 3283.70
2023-02-26 483.75 87.33 102.31 145.04 247.96 1116.22 2364.52 4328.26 6815.40
2023-03-05 623.49 109.60 145.50 182.74 325.98 1212.55 2498.64 4138.31 6186.29
2023-03-12 718.66 134.37 204.92 255.53 407.14 1411.21 3113.74 4921.90 7291.82
2023-03-19 668.40 175.89 207.89 251.21 409.24 1304.21 2354.45 3148.99 3555.09
2023-03-26 866.04 223.26 273.43 362.42 537.13 1528.17 2639.25 4160.05 5230.04
2023-04-02 876.89 251.38 290.73 360.76 557.19 1400.89 2491.42 3305.75 4218.14
2023-04-09 916.88 289.46 342.65 394.38 594.09 1705.90 2631.65 3262.58 4854.41
2023-04-16 1213.74 316.02 405.79 497.63 752.09 1916.50 3067.52 4607.85 5603.66
2023-04-23 969.30 264.15 327.97 401.12 596.26 1506.45 2289.84 2928.52 3919.51
2023-04-30 1014.15 230.21 302.01 408.79 596.48 1836.46 2956.04 4184.21 5090.52
2023-05-07 659.56 166.77 204.39 265.04 398.94 1111.89 1840.26 2496.47 3560.23
2023-05-14 548.57 128.27 152.76 203.97 307.20 1038.96 1978.32 2584.83 4364.06
2023-05-21 329.60 65.58 82.79 106.59 178.33 653.11 1268.52 1804.57 2398.15
2023-05-28 238.04 44.76 59.51 78.83 134.87 428.62 825.37 1156.58 1787.14
2023-06-04 130.92 25.56 34.73 44.69 68.41 250.48 491.95 745.54 1194.10
2023-06-11 109.37 18.40 24.27 32.28 58.59 213.49 435.16 774.50 1128.13
2023-06-18 93.93 15.83 21.51 27.52 48.48 190.84 348.83 537.58 822.24
2023-06-25 81.61 14.71 18.43 25.71 42.29 171.93 394.20 603.31 1121.16
2023-07-02 52.59 10.14 12.40 16.05 28.93 100.97 180.62 274.93 441.58
2023-07-09 89.61 7.65 10.10 15.49 35.36 197.20 495.62 837.66 1191.43
2023-07-16 76.87 6.16 9.35 13.67 30.62 248.47 667.27 1389.93 3137.47
2023-07-23 25.01 4.04 5.34 7.15 12.79 57.26 123.63 211.51 307.40
2023-07-30 19.49 2.93 4.03 5.86 10.04 38.70 75.85 112.15 153.64
2023-08-06 12.82 1.88 2.54 3.40 6.07 27.51 61.69 102.11 166.85
2023-08-13 17.60 1.91 2.51 3.76 7.68 43.88 127.43 221.42 372.12
2023-08-20 15.23 2.14 2.97 4.23 7.25 38.44 76.97 146.81 223.63
2023-08-27 7.64 1.05 1.43 2.23 3.93 17.85 37.00 68.30 114.83
2023-09-03 5.41 1.02 1.29 1.66 2.76 12.06 23.93 44.77 60.46
2023-09-10 7.95 0.87 1.15 1.73 3.42 18.37 39.81 64.97 140.97
2023-09-17 7.52 0.86 1.19 1.94 3.26 16.61 33.83 67.00 111.96
2023-09-24 5.98 0.87 1.17 1.66 2.93 14.75 31.60 51.50 81.76
2023-10-01 6.07 0.83 1.19 1.63 2.96 13.77 28.63 49.79 92.48
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