Prediction 3684

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 22.51 3.52 4.36 5.98 11.30 49.17 107.16 188.14 300.02
2023-10-15 160.39 19.19 30.15 40.80 70.74 389.35 917.07 1858.40 2961.80
2023-10-22 17.67 3.23 3.97 4.73 8.04 35.83 71.59 113.88 217.79
2023-10-29 45.94 5.39 7.28 10.18 17.33 117.61 287.84 611.81 1429.79
2023-11-05 68.84 11.81 13.53 19.58 34.75 158.09 372.37 594.18 1071.74
2023-11-12 172.24 26.75 32.62 49.64 90.62 384.36 965.64 2184.96 3313.06
2023-11-19 117.00 14.88 19.82 28.34 53.96 340.82 1092.66 2549.33 3496.90
2023-11-26 79.62 10.42 15.34 22.24 39.48 171.60 400.23 714.40 1433.51
2023-12-03 439.00 78.09 97.90 128.87 224.29 950.75 1895.84 2969.14 4364.25
2023-12-10 283.18 48.95 67.38 94.69 154.80 570.98 1117.65 1944.13 2978.64
2023-12-17 204.50 31.59 42.62 60.20 100.82 367.85 668.51 1038.19 1593.69
2023-12-24 101.16 21.52 25.00 32.05 55.26 217.04 464.82 618.02 793.61
2023-12-31 86.47 14.13 17.80 24.22 41.05 186.72 409.48 633.16 880.02
2024-01-07 260.45 44.19 50.77 75.59 136.29 542.33 1183.22 1994.02 2961.26
2024-01-14 118.17 19.17 26.57 38.05 68.77 248.12 493.82 677.25 932.71
2024-01-21 143.54 36.66 47.43 56.10 89.41 245.59 412.80 591.32 862.61
2024-01-28 160.14 38.42 46.47 55.78 88.22 284.10 534.77 773.28 1003.00
2024-02-04 265.98 71.85 89.05 106.39 160.95 457.33 729.59 1211.85 1733.01
2024-02-11 387.75 113.97 133.98 174.16 240.13 602.91 1007.49 1498.15 2169.07
2024-02-18 548.52 184.85 212.80 263.27 359.52 829.71 1265.62 1654.69 2041.20
2024-02-25 1023.57 403.29 449.66 558.67 750.85 1456.46 2115.60 2647.77 3131.94
2024-03-03 1593.17 694.24 784.78 889.65 1217.30 2172.29 3063.97 4027.07 4813.00
2024-03-10 2154.18 1040.95 1135.15 1266.76 1607.09 2897.89 3686.75 4461.07 5177.45
2024-03-17 3772.01 2169.43 2307.60 2581.92 3123.33 4695.84 5758.76 6524.98 7061.98
2024-03-24 5290.85 3061.97 3275.50 3613.69 4293.26 6368.11 7843.34 9098.84 10478.41
2024-03-31 6480.68 3630.26 4241.48 4734.22 5433.28 7805.83 9250.25 10298.99 12801.91
2024-04-07 8089.13 5492.06 5778.03 6226.40 7098.26 9316.50 10909.35 12150.02 13223.15
2024-04-14 8569.97 5398.63 5712.10 6247.49 7209.92 10301.39 12361.29 14278.67 15264.06
2024-04-21 7859.50 5262.95 5497.96 5994.16 6771.33 9109.77 10677.96 11747.19 13208.19
2024-04-28 8696.74 5688.38 6147.07 6638.22 7512.93 10279.13 12034.69 13534.74 14532.81
2024-05-05 8416.63 5596.84 5918.31 6332.95 7284.02 10063.92 11318.69 12374.32 14050.56
2024-05-12 6879.31 4299.20 4712.51 5151.97 5893.04 7927.52 9535.66 10443.91 11371.17
2024-05-19 5860.87 3467.27 3786.18 4210.16 4959.08 7061.32 8174.59 9121.87 10476.07
2024-05-26 4363.28 2838.42 3043.08 3328.42 3754.02 5081.30 5790.90 6254.98 6840.90
2024-06-02 2969.02 1729.36 1874.83 2044.72 2446.88 3476.77 4144.67 4693.37 5334.08
2024-06-09 2652.26 1435.51 1600.39 1787.45 2144.32 3264.06 3818.46 4242.27 4856.92
2024-06-16 1102.16 404.60 439.43 562.72 761.23 1503.96 1966.95 2579.90 3076.94
2024-06-23 1045.42 346.47 394.79 503.09 728.41 1532.16 2272.53 2773.88 3373.28
2024-06-30 772.51 312.92 356.18 428.72 575.60 1055.24 1434.55 1808.65 2005.35
2024-07-07 414.32 131.26 161.52 206.11 287.59 629.93 968.27 1227.47 1454.41
2024-07-14 240.57 64.18 82.52 105.20 155.70 421.05 714.10 937.66 1322.51
2024-07-21 280.41 58.52 81.78 105.19 178.25 528.26 1083.83 1545.52 2148.07
2024-07-28 205.26 59.88 69.78 91.62 130.92 328.38 473.17 619.84 915.72
2024-08-04 229.87 47.71 61.86 78.70 125.09 438.66 739.99 1262.72 2338.26
2024-08-11 164.94 43.05 52.06 63.03 103.85 285.65 448.91 644.15 821.99
2024-08-18 66.64 13.56 16.21 21.68 35.73 129.92 235.22 361.21 560.63
2024-08-25 63.60 12.72 16.26 21.27 34.52 116.57 226.14 339.61 515.60
2024-09-01 71.29 8.95 12.13 18.71 34.85 148.52 267.49 433.61 710.22
2024-09-08 116.71 17.87 24.52 34.54 58.11 253.14 615.25 1017.47 1549.39
2024-09-15 130.69 18.60 23.95 34.49 63.16 273.19 587.29 884.62 1351.81
2024-09-22 135.12 22.97 28.46 42.75 73.32 266.60 532.98 917.63 1428.21
2024-09-29 157.04 29.19 38.70 44.59 76.25 313.39 632.68 1003.21 1556.01
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