Prediction 3685

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 93.60 17.74 22.78 31.69 53.37 177.88 312.73 481.34 793.51
2024-10-13 137.20 33.51 39.04 49.04 75.89 233.91 476.16 614.94 895.55
2024-10-20 146.00 42.73 47.33 59.09 89.21 239.68 398.50 500.79 703.19
2024-10-27 133.07 33.39 40.95 51.54 82.00 210.44 345.41 568.26 742.24
2024-11-03 292.29 61.60 72.42 107.44 172.19 569.89 1095.89 1792.99 2725.75
2024-11-10 230.70 48.82 61.80 86.68 134.28 416.35 778.08 1098.67 1580.68
2024-11-17 209.56 61.30 71.00 91.67 138.99 363.20 581.46 800.56 982.89
2024-11-24 374.65 111.70 136.95 167.69 246.60 558.69 917.50 1238.77 1529.51
2024-12-01 426.74 116.46 147.56 185.48 285.31 696.01 1169.80 1571.76 1983.09
2024-12-08 582.03 177.07 215.31 242.48 361.64 940.94 1685.56 2252.70 3044.46
2024-12-15 460.06 154.87 188.69 226.52 313.08 707.51 1070.42 1371.53 1964.14
2024-12-22 424.85 123.22 162.34 203.16 286.93 707.45 1119.16 1550.85 2268.14
2024-12-29 623.35 164.76 202.37 267.36 394.14 1003.78 1654.69 2100.57 3044.80
2025-01-05 482.62 146.39 166.03 202.31 307.80 792.01 1352.76 2032.92 2764.91
2025-01-12 657.70 206.82 231.53 287.48 421.29 1031.80 1650.67 2367.92 3300.07
2025-01-19 864.55 270.19 320.91 395.29 597.85 1409.27 2015.54 2760.96 3937.29
2025-01-26 1180.35 492.40 549.64 656.51 854.33 1756.21 2486.29 3041.25 3919.16
2025-02-02 1758.88 694.66 782.00 943.60 1221.24 2564.22 3640.90 4362.11 5552.54
2025-02-09 2617.57 1323.12 1439.99 1606.42 1992.27 3400.93 4302.49 5038.40 5501.14
2025-02-16 3871.12 1858.65 2030.72 2361.56 2924.81 4773.17 6092.75 7057.42 7346.47
2025-02-23 4790.30 2579.78 2856.59 3156.00 3986.13 5913.01 6899.94 7556.21 8297.12
2025-03-02 5769.58 3158.83 3617.68 3980.84 4964.14 7162.07 8650.75 10031.68 11715.94
2025-03-09 6845.57 3860.14 4175.48 4585.00 5579.17 8604.17 10458.99 11833.95 12835.09
2025-03-16 8318.13 4276.41 5044.16 5942.62 7201.86 10135.91 12316.65 13769.70 15669.90
2025-03-23 11999.94 6751.23 7453.34 8581.51 10231.11 14062.79 16178.19 17528.56 18745.84
2025-03-30 12086.85 7464.73 8509.75 9199.35 10704.26 13838.53 15812.29 17321.10 19278.64
2025-04-06 13515.12 8897.42 9803.07 10692.21 11916.39 15374.04 16898.49 18041.35 20482.80
2025-04-13 14496.49 9728.11 10564.12 11633.65 13072.86 16305.30 18547.05 19994.22 21382.07
2025-04-20 14151.63 9334.03 9827.41 10884.76 12343.52 16315.18 18399.30 20075.34 21522.73
2025-04-27 11851.99 8057.36 8653.07 9380.27 10447.02 13529.09 15159.62 16634.41 17506.34
2025-05-04 10053.98 6513.92 6954.24 7671.88 8799.77 11611.94 13279.34 14312.51 15788.75
2025-05-11 8226.62 5232.95 5564.12 6281.58 7094.00 9496.66 11078.77 12069.88 13218.50
2025-05-18 4324.63 2736.10 2871.03 3146.55 3665.06 5087.27 6287.66 7031.46 7676.84
2025-05-25 3669.33 2223.72 2486.33 2727.60 3144.96 4228.59 4916.27 5253.09 5613.58
2025-06-01 2802.12 1621.58 1783.91 1989.85 2389.00 3504.29 4238.28 4839.55 5356.43
2025-06-08 2103.91 1156.85 1253.30 1438.56 1703.94 2636.71 3331.32 3745.87 4083.75
2025-06-15 2109.75 1138.07 1231.13 1386.48 1707.51 2541.31 2993.00 3301.30 3672.73
2025-06-22 1508.93 751.41 851.59 947.80 1179.22 1902.39 2333.67 2886.28 3184.30
2025-06-29 909.99 417.69 463.98 549.62 679.93 1195.27 1620.33 1919.44 2198.72
2025-07-06 670.24 298.31 331.70 389.85 502.29 931.85 1253.43 1455.61 1823.97
2025-07-13 570.63 223.47 264.93 313.32 408.23 881.69 1300.78 1731.38 2377.49
2025-07-20 374.36 139.07 156.12 183.18 259.12 546.17 767.24 999.51 1277.15
2025-07-27 408.54 138.60 159.66 194.71 294.26 623.87 917.80 1132.08 1657.77
2025-08-03 193.28 50.01 59.08 80.22 119.04 335.52 567.78 820.06 1120.49
2025-08-10 200.23 49.02 59.59 72.88 119.21 405.46 731.43 1138.65 1477.45
2025-08-17 195.68 50.44 60.64 79.88 126.28 355.67 638.40 825.14 1053.75
2025-08-24 172.86 37.62 48.05 60.17 98.65 301.69 602.04 880.29 1152.47
2025-08-31 154.36 44.93 55.33 69.95 98.06 262.47 411.85 594.75 896.92
2025-09-07 201.00 55.34 67.00 85.50 128.00 329.86 528.55 670.99 851.34
2025-09-14 114.13 31.02 35.51 46.16 69.68 199.01 365.67 485.47 629.88
2025-09-21 116.63 28.73 34.08 47.96 74.93 205.21 341.15 516.31 664.42
2025-09-28 156.53 46.14 54.36 69.87 98.24 239.66 384.53 557.99 723.47
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