Prediction 3685
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SC
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 93.60 | 17.74 | 22.78 | 31.69 | 53.37 | 177.88 | 312.73 | 481.34 | 793.51 |
2024-10-13 | 137.20 | 33.51 | 39.04 | 49.04 | 75.89 | 233.91 | 476.16 | 614.94 | 895.55 |
2024-10-20 | 146.00 | 42.73 | 47.33 | 59.09 | 89.21 | 239.68 | 398.50 | 500.79 | 703.19 |
2024-10-27 | 133.07 | 33.39 | 40.95 | 51.54 | 82.00 | 210.44 | 345.41 | 568.26 | 742.24 |
2024-11-03 | 292.29 | 61.60 | 72.42 | 107.44 | 172.19 | 569.89 | 1095.89 | 1792.99 | 2725.75 |
2024-11-10 | 230.70 | 48.82 | 61.80 | 86.68 | 134.28 | 416.35 | 778.08 | 1098.67 | 1580.68 |
2024-11-17 | 209.56 | 61.30 | 71.00 | 91.67 | 138.99 | 363.20 | 581.46 | 800.56 | 982.89 |
2024-11-24 | 374.65 | 111.70 | 136.95 | 167.69 | 246.60 | 558.69 | 917.50 | 1238.77 | 1529.51 |
2024-12-01 | 426.74 | 116.46 | 147.56 | 185.48 | 285.31 | 696.01 | 1169.80 | 1571.76 | 1983.09 |
2024-12-08 | 582.03 | 177.07 | 215.31 | 242.48 | 361.64 | 940.94 | 1685.56 | 2252.70 | 3044.46 |
2024-12-15 | 460.06 | 154.87 | 188.69 | 226.52 | 313.08 | 707.51 | 1070.42 | 1371.53 | 1964.14 |
2024-12-22 | 424.85 | 123.22 | 162.34 | 203.16 | 286.93 | 707.45 | 1119.16 | 1550.85 | 2268.14 |
2024-12-29 | 623.35 | 164.76 | 202.37 | 267.36 | 394.14 | 1003.78 | 1654.69 | 2100.57 | 3044.80 |
2025-01-05 | 482.62 | 146.39 | 166.03 | 202.31 | 307.80 | 792.01 | 1352.76 | 2032.92 | 2764.91 |
2025-01-12 | 657.70 | 206.82 | 231.53 | 287.48 | 421.29 | 1031.80 | 1650.67 | 2367.92 | 3300.07 |
2025-01-19 | 864.55 | 270.19 | 320.91 | 395.29 | 597.85 | 1409.27 | 2015.54 | 2760.96 | 3937.29 |
2025-01-26 | 1180.35 | 492.40 | 549.64 | 656.51 | 854.33 | 1756.21 | 2486.29 | 3041.25 | 3919.16 |
2025-02-02 | 1758.88 | 694.66 | 782.00 | 943.60 | 1221.24 | 2564.22 | 3640.90 | 4362.11 | 5552.54 |
2025-02-09 | 2617.57 | 1323.12 | 1439.99 | 1606.42 | 1992.27 | 3400.93 | 4302.49 | 5038.40 | 5501.14 |
2025-02-16 | 3871.12 | 1858.65 | 2030.72 | 2361.56 | 2924.81 | 4773.17 | 6092.75 | 7057.42 | 7346.47 |
2025-02-23 | 4790.30 | 2579.78 | 2856.59 | 3156.00 | 3986.13 | 5913.01 | 6899.94 | 7556.21 | 8297.12 |
2025-03-02 | 5769.58 | 3158.83 | 3617.68 | 3980.84 | 4964.14 | 7162.07 | 8650.75 | 10031.68 | 11715.94 |
2025-03-09 | 6845.57 | 3860.14 | 4175.48 | 4585.00 | 5579.17 | 8604.17 | 10458.99 | 11833.95 | 12835.09 |
2025-03-16 | 8318.13 | 4276.41 | 5044.16 | 5942.62 | 7201.86 | 10135.91 | 12316.65 | 13769.70 | 15669.90 |
2025-03-23 | 11999.94 | 6751.23 | 7453.34 | 8581.51 | 10231.11 | 14062.79 | 16178.19 | 17528.56 | 18745.84 |
2025-03-30 | 12086.85 | 7464.73 | 8509.75 | 9199.35 | 10704.26 | 13838.53 | 15812.29 | 17321.10 | 19278.64 |
2025-04-06 | 13515.12 | 8897.42 | 9803.07 | 10692.21 | 11916.39 | 15374.04 | 16898.49 | 18041.35 | 20482.80 |
2025-04-13 | 14496.49 | 9728.11 | 10564.12 | 11633.65 | 13072.86 | 16305.30 | 18547.05 | 19994.22 | 21382.07 |
2025-04-20 | 14151.63 | 9334.03 | 9827.41 | 10884.76 | 12343.52 | 16315.18 | 18399.30 | 20075.34 | 21522.73 |
2025-04-27 | 11851.99 | 8057.36 | 8653.07 | 9380.27 | 10447.02 | 13529.09 | 15159.62 | 16634.41 | 17506.34 |
2025-05-04 | 10053.98 | 6513.92 | 6954.24 | 7671.88 | 8799.77 | 11611.94 | 13279.34 | 14312.51 | 15788.75 |
2025-05-11 | 8226.62 | 5232.95 | 5564.12 | 6281.58 | 7094.00 | 9496.66 | 11078.77 | 12069.88 | 13218.50 |
2025-05-18 | 4324.63 | 2736.10 | 2871.03 | 3146.55 | 3665.06 | 5087.27 | 6287.66 | 7031.46 | 7676.84 |
2025-05-25 | 3669.33 | 2223.72 | 2486.33 | 2727.60 | 3144.96 | 4228.59 | 4916.27 | 5253.09 | 5613.58 |
2025-06-01 | 2802.12 | 1621.58 | 1783.91 | 1989.85 | 2389.00 | 3504.29 | 4238.28 | 4839.55 | 5356.43 |
2025-06-08 | 2103.91 | 1156.85 | 1253.30 | 1438.56 | 1703.94 | 2636.71 | 3331.32 | 3745.87 | 4083.75 |
2025-06-15 | 2109.75 | 1138.07 | 1231.13 | 1386.48 | 1707.51 | 2541.31 | 2993.00 | 3301.30 | 3672.73 |
2025-06-22 | 1508.93 | 751.41 | 851.59 | 947.80 | 1179.22 | 1902.39 | 2333.67 | 2886.28 | 3184.30 |
2025-06-29 | 909.99 | 417.69 | 463.98 | 549.62 | 679.93 | 1195.27 | 1620.33 | 1919.44 | 2198.72 |
2025-07-06 | 670.24 | 298.31 | 331.70 | 389.85 | 502.29 | 931.85 | 1253.43 | 1455.61 | 1823.97 |
2025-07-13 | 570.63 | 223.47 | 264.93 | 313.32 | 408.23 | 881.69 | 1300.78 | 1731.38 | 2377.49 |
2025-07-20 | 374.36 | 139.07 | 156.12 | 183.18 | 259.12 | 546.17 | 767.24 | 999.51 | 1277.15 |
2025-07-27 | 408.54 | 138.60 | 159.66 | 194.71 | 294.26 | 623.87 | 917.80 | 1132.08 | 1657.77 |
2025-08-03 | 193.28 | 50.01 | 59.08 | 80.22 | 119.04 | 335.52 | 567.78 | 820.06 | 1120.49 |
2025-08-10 | 200.23 | 49.02 | 59.59 | 72.88 | 119.21 | 405.46 | 731.43 | 1138.65 | 1477.45 |
2025-08-17 | 195.68 | 50.44 | 60.64 | 79.88 | 126.28 | 355.67 | 638.40 | 825.14 | 1053.75 |
2025-08-24 | 172.86 | 37.62 | 48.05 | 60.17 | 98.65 | 301.69 | 602.04 | 880.29 | 1152.47 |
2025-08-31 | 154.36 | 44.93 | 55.33 | 69.95 | 98.06 | 262.47 | 411.85 | 594.75 | 896.92 |
2025-09-07 | 201.00 | 55.34 | 67.00 | 85.50 | 128.00 | 329.86 | 528.55 | 670.99 | 851.34 |
2025-09-14 | 114.13 | 31.02 | 35.51 | 46.16 | 69.68 | 199.01 | 365.67 | 485.47 | 629.88 |
2025-09-21 | 116.63 | 28.73 | 34.08 | 47.96 | 74.93 | 205.21 | 341.15 | 516.31 | 664.42 |
2025-09-28 | 156.53 | 46.14 | 54.36 | 69.87 | 98.24 | 239.66 | 384.53 | 557.99 | 723.47 |