Prediction 3686

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 22.50 4.68 6.68 8.15 13.23 46.78 83.04 133.05 195.29
2022-10-16 27.21 4.76 6.16 8.01 13.33 53.10 117.81 217.77 360.43
2022-10-23 36.13 6.49 8.37 10.72 17.30 73.28 135.05 204.44 327.26
2022-10-30 31.83 4.63 6.14 9.01 14.92 68.11 153.03 306.12 527.86
2022-11-06 62.90 10.81 13.63 19.11 31.50 128.77 284.36 508.74 803.77
2022-11-13 58.88 11.18 13.46 19.19 30.63 127.94 263.60 440.38 866.96
2022-11-20 69.40 12.40 14.63 21.10 36.38 152.69 332.94 612.87 1424.29
2022-11-27 72.90 13.60 17.87 22.35 36.99 174.58 374.17 705.59 1543.80
2022-12-04 311.26 37.65 51.10 70.04 131.99 754.85 2071.16 3518.58 10033.78
2022-12-11 136.41 20.30 26.49 37.73 70.88 273.90 532.31 920.46 1631.51
2022-12-18 198.85 26.70 37.26 53.25 97.90 412.69 873.50 1591.52 2433.88
2022-12-25 95.42 14.47 18.36 24.91 49.15 224.95 510.96 830.39 1492.38
2023-01-01 281.90 49.50 59.44 81.29 159.74 526.78 1049.41 1753.03 2410.87
2023-01-08 564.14 75.48 106.63 150.09 290.41 1224.00 2690.25 5316.02 9160.24
2023-01-15 363.34 59.70 75.13 108.07 178.57 713.80 2096.34 3371.59 4300.94
2023-01-22 661.88 111.21 126.95 191.18 346.95 1411.22 3052.08 5775.89 11365.14
2023-01-29 767.14 137.02 167.68 250.70 390.24 1728.59 4074.75 7666.69 14779.75
2023-02-05 1420.33 212.18 271.46 355.95 641.39 3033.67 7398.20 13214.00 21226.06
2023-02-12 1485.56 215.11 286.88 398.86 712.58 3432.97 8794.24 16972.22 25358.10
2023-02-19 1329.16 264.78 310.07 440.87 716.25 2475.77 5515.04 9629.91 15384.96
2023-02-26 2081.01 429.55 579.96 710.29 1145.07 3859.56 7647.08 12727.06 20612.67
2023-03-05 2439.21 562.71 731.75 966.95 1405.21 3922.95 6915.43 10118.22 14921.13
2023-03-12 2634.50 823.73 932.43 1105.55 1645.00 4485.53 7250.54 11870.36 21616.33
2023-03-19 2725.33 825.19 973.83 1192.16 1743.92 4089.90 6333.61 7780.98 12270.53
2023-03-26 3383.09 1242.55 1441.01 1605.65 2301.12 5113.88 7589.04 12361.68 15481.10
2023-04-02 3214.71 1234.62 1354.70 1587.62 2186.90 5016.41 8415.04 11805.56 15690.74
2023-04-09 3383.96 1286.71 1511.71 1792.29 2330.19 4926.35 6833.14 9908.08 11513.85
2023-04-16 3958.43 1477.26 1769.58 2062.06 2886.42 5612.51 8331.56 9973.66 12695.75
2023-04-23 3211.72 1196.09 1442.44 1662.77 2327.78 4601.32 7802.38 9244.32 11586.43
2023-04-30 3394.30 1334.55 1475.27 1757.96 2499.77 4956.66 7369.92 9669.70 13801.19
2023-05-07 2306.61 793.72 928.88 1142.97 1559.07 3361.84 5449.36 6478.37 10512.49
2023-05-14 2235.11 661.61 804.61 975.12 1312.77 3552.21 5637.16 8374.23 11662.36
2023-05-21 1226.20 381.94 453.48 575.97 766.73 2089.06 3428.10 4829.66 7936.97
2023-05-28 757.83 272.37 310.22 377.00 520.49 1239.81 1977.79 2602.61 3471.86
2023-06-04 517.22 159.18 182.43 241.23 329.68 915.84 1656.54 2713.11 3439.19
2023-06-11 423.77 110.83 135.03 176.13 268.17 693.70 1112.65 1656.66 2440.15
2023-06-18 345.87 97.44 114.51 143.68 201.55 620.35 1117.79 1941.35 2564.63
2023-06-25 300.26 84.71 101.11 127.12 192.80 586.38 995.84 1494.47 2014.71
2023-07-02 194.34 47.40 57.45 74.74 119.49 332.57 606.62 1039.90 1533.26
2023-07-09 354.14 73.47 90.16 122.67 193.52 818.66 2085.25 3963.39 6275.06
2023-07-16 393.10 66.14 77.06 107.74 206.68 898.08 2169.08 4177.99 8559.72
2023-07-23 116.50 26.19 31.61 42.92 68.39 233.75 450.33 632.73 1001.05
2023-07-30 73.67 20.42 22.99 29.14 44.72 125.74 207.00 299.10 433.90
2023-08-06 56.22 11.85 14.98 19.67 32.60 103.45 199.96 302.44 402.54
2023-08-13 76.92 13.78 16.25 19.85 37.53 167.85 387.57 804.13 1640.59
2023-08-20 60.88 14.40 16.65 21.96 34.12 127.06 272.43 414.93 794.54
2023-08-27 34.33 8.32 10.31 12.20 18.42 65.14 129.04 175.00 228.88
2023-09-03 21.55 4.55 5.36 7.32 11.78 42.24 76.78 117.11 185.38
2023-09-10 30.68 5.08 7.59 10.14 17.22 59.59 130.37 195.30 310.10
2023-09-17 29.02 6.02 7.50 9.38 16.41 62.83 101.34 149.74 223.71
2023-09-24 26.47 5.69 7.07 9.47 15.44 50.90 105.35 140.95 246.35
2023-10-01 22.03 4.65 5.74 7.92 13.34 41.84 94.50 148.30 201.04
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