Prediction 3687

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 71.74 24.97 27.58 31.87 45.47 110.68 191.73 272.48 329.32
2023-10-15 608.85 188.10 206.42 247.59 372.84 1033.73 2071.49 2689.90 3884.82
2023-10-22 58.37 19.24 22.73 27.29 38.72 93.72 153.17 212.70 289.86
2023-10-29 137.27 37.18 44.61 56.76 81.87 266.80 625.29 1098.41 1891.11
2023-11-05 219.73 71.68 84.77 98.87 145.74 371.05 721.69 1003.91 1345.61
2023-11-12 918.91 242.45 304.14 398.41 596.11 1521.06 2561.74 3622.96 4855.85
2023-11-19 479.50 102.67 122.29 152.73 270.10 903.75 1703.35 2984.23 6827.50
2023-11-26 252.18 81.13 93.02 106.63 155.78 438.61 762.85 1147.92 1772.16
2023-12-03 1190.91 320.81 401.64 524.24 771.00 1945.13 3226.64 3769.60 5154.84
2023-12-10 852.90 300.35 351.91 414.70 544.09 1409.08 2349.17 3626.50 5528.21
2023-12-17 625.43 225.88 271.81 317.69 428.11 985.91 1795.06 2351.27 3336.36
2023-12-24 477.34 129.39 167.46 203.61 292.63 808.77 1262.99 1718.28 2301.70
2023-12-31 432.46 117.66 146.19 183.71 279.49 755.23 1295.88 1789.59 2750.02
2024-01-07 696.57 230.94 254.16 317.08 431.88 1177.25 2110.36 2915.24 3935.04
2024-01-14 421.48 125.58 150.80 198.81 275.11 649.21 1081.06 1562.85 2978.79
2024-01-21 573.46 198.46 229.59 276.86 381.44 857.21 1351.66 1806.36 2402.14
2024-01-28 496.82 192.67 224.16 264.67 350.16 724.96 1126.44 1475.56 1990.60
2024-02-04 913.52 335.20 411.38 490.73 644.67 1337.11 2069.19 2523.77 2882.82
2024-02-11 1063.22 485.55 522.90 614.41 781.38 1444.59 1994.41 2565.19 3413.46
2024-02-18 1267.92 648.27 693.54 775.26 982.79 1745.15 2412.70 2768.54 3340.56
2024-02-25 2402.98 1228.37 1360.50 1565.07 1918.42 3087.68 4071.56 5331.68 6272.47
2024-03-03 3669.31 2050.74 2173.18 2436.73 2937.30 4776.40 5825.84 6652.89 7952.55
2024-03-10 4874.09 2758.94 2986.91 3331.41 3959.65 5945.26 7881.74 9300.96 10999.06
2024-03-17 8001.09 5182.87 5503.53 6024.89 6813.55 9399.84 11209.50 12609.39 14140.09
2024-03-24 11714.65 7534.87 8043.17 8951.52 10189.69 13611.80 15736.33 17763.27 19280.17
2024-03-31 13774.77 9403.35 10313.35 10842.18 11985.77 15984.24 18664.06 21349.52 23976.48
2024-04-07 16255.82 11946.66 12654.13 13271.59 14627.94 18441.64 20879.73 22591.47 23824.96
2024-04-14 16676.43 11186.11 12011.88 12952.37 14461.98 19099.82 22247.70 24627.12 27619.60
2024-04-21 16899.06 12568.03 13130.62 13709.90 15004.81 18751.49 21206.37 23302.40 25261.19
2024-04-28 17603.08 12502.50 13114.47 13814.69 15595.36 20375.88 23955.74 26513.88 28775.39
2024-05-05 17079.47 11330.10 12087.97 13139.80 14686.93 19968.77 22597.71 25715.27 28295.82
2024-05-12 13548.01 9768.16 10151.18 10994.65 12081.61 15491.65 17881.89 19653.28 20808.00
2024-05-19 11432.64 7485.11 7979.72 8593.82 9839.82 13247.56 15555.72 16661.21 17525.35
2024-05-26 8168.00 5694.27 6008.42 6451.32 7235.78 9418.06 10626.66 11422.90 12345.43
2024-06-02 5145.71 3638.06 3826.63 4058.55 4536.73 5952.24 6856.36 7384.25 8267.68
2024-06-09 4983.10 3242.17 3444.62 3688.33 4280.64 5821.27 6739.85 7473.32 8298.05
2024-06-16 2287.95 1254.44 1359.81 1490.16 1876.43 2824.58 3671.37 4276.70 4873.60
2024-06-23 2208.03 1119.42 1242.38 1417.67 1736.16 2799.11 3863.78 4989.56 6659.63
2024-06-30 1595.81 868.23 927.22 1040.64 1225.17 2021.47 2625.39 3118.53 3698.52
2024-07-07 814.03 340.82 392.96 477.26 614.13 1136.30 1485.18 1779.00 2286.26
2024-07-14 478.02 208.77 248.46 268.69 345.02 677.14 968.72 1247.35 1631.29
2024-07-21 625.24 259.23 278.88 308.25 420.20 988.41 1605.61 2601.01 4102.41
2024-07-28 449.59 189.56 214.26 247.03 332.00 647.64 995.66 1360.36 1958.65
2024-08-04 592.21 190.59 227.96 282.26 399.48 941.19 1486.65 2214.55 3344.92
2024-08-11 487.30 188.35 220.07 265.73 336.60 706.52 1060.23 1642.84 2287.97
2024-08-18 170.21 58.75 74.35 85.29 120.69 273.90 431.66 607.98 800.52
2024-08-25 218.62 65.18 80.90 100.75 142.04 347.68 567.57 818.63 1233.80
2024-09-01 160.23 47.89 55.77 69.85 96.77 270.23 424.88 593.51 871.73
2024-09-08 271.42 83.50 95.23 116.07 164.22 440.20 741.43 1240.35 2011.79
2024-09-15 428.26 109.56 137.58 177.64 277.30 718.43 1304.94 2245.51 3402.78
2024-09-22 433.03 133.15 154.07 189.26 269.62 663.76 1108.90 1667.77 2169.96
2024-09-29 580.41 161.33 206.81 254.55 357.45 910.29 1614.73 2470.46 3485.25
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