Prediction 3688

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 157.99 51.48 60.52 71.59 103.14 262.57 385.86 477.37 700.84
2024-10-13 195.38 73.86 85.50 100.66 132.52 300.48 504.32 760.62 974.42
2024-10-20 228.00 94.42 109.21 127.11 163.61 343.25 496.58 673.61 851.44
2024-10-27 192.39 80.35 92.71 105.24 137.42 276.80 401.50 501.85 650.81
2024-11-03 417.49 137.09 168.11 199.14 284.52 631.98 1005.89 1671.38 3291.41
2024-11-10 340.81 137.32 156.72 184.36 246.93 537.48 811.73 1238.34 1713.35
2024-11-17 306.35 133.32 153.76 173.13 226.56 422.43 629.43 892.63 1063.55
2024-11-24 529.24 247.20 273.17 318.19 400.84 755.75 1042.35 1220.80 1614.31
2024-12-01 597.20 208.38 261.85 306.58 405.93 863.79 1366.53 1812.00 2422.58
2024-12-08 850.75 352.95 388.97 461.76 619.97 1225.05 1963.30 2622.00 3432.99
2024-12-15 655.90 308.69 334.61 401.62 511.59 876.47 1175.40 1433.85 1682.20
2024-12-22 625.11 287.76 318.97 369.58 473.67 837.73 1165.06 1447.44 1763.72
2024-12-29 862.81 374.64 440.28 503.71 637.51 1195.74 1687.67 2134.24 2456.42
2025-01-05 675.83 279.28 311.99 386.10 496.72 946.17 1389.86 1782.39 2312.35
2025-01-12 875.00 416.49 442.16 515.68 649.36 1198.76 1654.61 2052.47 2490.23
2025-01-19 1215.12 592.60 673.32 736.09 928.52 1638.14 2081.73 2533.56 3066.72
2025-01-26 1639.49 831.93 926.53 1040.38 1271.65 2130.59 2686.94 3054.27 3560.28
2025-02-02 2216.80 1197.52 1270.64 1442.39 1811.65 2770.22 3571.72 4239.94 4936.17
2025-02-09 3177.86 2039.51 2127.15 2288.90 2678.09 3926.00 4525.71 5186.02 5653.50
2025-02-16 4634.65 2927.69 3189.46 3461.97 3943.00 5509.43 6374.91 6963.15 7775.73
2025-02-23 5981.02 4034.47 4405.83 4628.99 5274.44 6803.43 7780.62 8391.23 9044.81
2025-03-02 7282.31 4962.33 5274.03 5702.66 6424.31 8251.13 9318.13 10180.93 11147.12
2025-03-09 8766.74 6237.47 6547.36 6934.48 7820.17 9974.10 11126.80 11808.93 12619.91
2025-03-16 10796.87 7593.49 8132.34 8688.86 9594.22 12421.65 14196.00 15234.95 16149.57
2025-03-23 15468.69 11847.76 12293.51 12843.58 14178.78 17076.92 18709.26 20067.48 21101.26
2025-03-30 15530.33 11820.85 12283.72 13032.61 14175.96 17171.14 18719.54 20119.48 20904.45
2025-04-06 17123.56 13284.65 13680.56 14264.60 15568.78 18742.72 20555.67 22235.04 23832.91
2025-04-13 18710.40 14577.78 15425.41 15881.29 17285.16 20488.55 22311.10 23321.90 24415.91
2025-04-20 18449.38 14027.44 14622.98 15607.13 17024.16 20069.79 22002.80 23730.39 24812.86
2025-04-27 15281.19 11874.32 12231.62 12807.25 13911.31 16610.65 18029.60 19045.57 19794.57
2025-05-04 13267.70 10175.70 10558.84 11047.10 12071.93 14607.91 16042.18 16861.30 17994.65
2025-05-11 10729.55 7946.94 8265.61 8691.18 9589.11 12035.88 13154.36 13853.68 14609.22
2025-05-18 5762.48 4171.84 4332.53 4566.34 5201.85 6498.44 7630.27 8247.51 8812.62
2025-05-25 4690.45 3599.12 3751.56 3968.59 4262.85 5291.50 5974.39 6444.01 7055.63
2025-06-01 3996.94 2897.77 3019.38 3240.50 3546.12 4530.22 5144.65 5499.55 5729.59
2025-06-08 2801.76 1885.59 2049.70 2171.62 2432.56 3275.74 3741.30 3973.14 4375.53
2025-06-15 2727.46 1875.21 1995.84 2116.96 2389.12 3063.68 3548.28 3748.94 4134.72
2025-06-22 1961.52 1289.57 1362.93 1454.35 1672.95 2262.57 2675.77 2892.81 3266.62
2025-06-29 1227.72 744.99 810.30 872.31 1023.39 1514.44 1833.20 2140.62 2495.38
2025-07-06 915.50 553.78 583.43 646.87 762.74 1138.22 1386.13 1568.52 1739.48
2025-07-13 846.15 443.32 483.59 548.03 649.94 1136.82 1539.05 2083.47 2697.47
2025-07-20 536.90 268.97 304.68 339.19 414.06 712.60 953.53 1194.73 1704.28
2025-07-27 606.85 304.28 340.08 380.87 478.15 805.78 1049.57 1247.10 1338.97
2025-08-03 295.47 115.39 130.66 155.12 212.57 425.43 647.71 888.98 1090.84
2025-08-10 357.32 118.32 140.75 170.05 240.02 559.69 869.52 1118.56 1339.84
2025-08-17 294.28 126.93 142.06 168.51 213.89 452.97 666.04 946.65 1183.70
2025-08-24 295.57 88.19 111.14 131.89 192.65 501.64 801.98 1147.83 2028.11
2025-08-31 243.98 97.73 111.68 127.97 171.53 337.64 562.80 821.81 1183.58
2025-09-07 328.20 138.18 154.11 177.82 234.95 461.29 630.54 771.74 1014.31
2025-09-14 196.35 75.45 83.96 101.31 134.01 299.72 442.03 617.85 818.09
2025-09-21 181.14 72.94 77.43 90.76 126.49 269.33 383.55 517.75 696.86
2025-09-28 246.07 100.62 111.21 133.40 177.86 346.41 505.42 657.28 866.15
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