Prediction 3689
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RS
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 7.17 | 1.23 | 1.56 | 2.06 | 3.65 | 14.01 | 28.67 | 45.59 | 73.12 |
2022-10-16 | 9.03 | 1.58 | 2.09 | 2.61 | 4.91 | 18.38 | 39.96 | 63.57 | 97.17 |
2022-10-23 | 10.73 | 2.01 | 2.61 | 3.71 | 5.79 | 20.47 | 39.97 | 65.98 | 83.52 |
2022-10-30 | 9.66 | 1.50 | 2.15 | 2.76 | 5.06 | 19.01 | 50.59 | 97.96 | 179.81 |
2022-11-06 | 18.99 | 3.19 | 4.28 | 5.14 | 9.63 | 36.97 | 78.41 | 119.70 | 192.21 |
2022-11-13 | 19.15 | 3.14 | 4.44 | 6.09 | 10.76 | 41.46 | 99.51 | 156.35 | 233.65 |
2022-11-20 | 21.28 | 3.57 | 4.41 | 6.05 | 11.11 | 45.09 | 93.50 | 160.79 | 223.62 |
2022-11-27 | 23.74 | 4.19 | 5.73 | 7.43 | 12.67 | 51.39 | 102.06 | 183.71 | 291.17 |
2022-12-04 | 89.14 | 11.01 | 13.80 | 19.18 | 41.42 | 196.41 | 548.41 | 909.20 | 1526.80 |
2022-12-11 | 36.44 | 5.98 | 8.34 | 10.95 | 19.96 | 69.51 | 138.97 | 249.50 | 444.70 |
2022-12-18 | 60.71 | 9.34 | 13.47 | 19.51 | 31.80 | 133.64 | 346.35 | 728.04 | 1288.99 |
2022-12-25 | 26.76 | 4.62 | 5.54 | 7.32 | 13.45 | 59.67 | 125.53 | 229.38 | 506.85 |
2023-01-01 | 90.73 | 18.93 | 23.28 | 27.02 | 44.37 | 181.17 | 398.33 | 651.10 | 781.90 |
2023-01-08 | 159.78 | 27.66 | 30.16 | 39.75 | 72.47 | 323.45 | 754.62 | 1759.32 | 3075.18 |
2023-01-15 | 117.68 | 19.57 | 23.93 | 32.75 | 55.88 | 223.88 | 570.86 | 1157.11 | 2154.33 |
2023-01-22 | 202.53 | 38.03 | 47.09 | 62.20 | 104.78 | 468.35 | 998.54 | 1749.40 | 3292.70 |
2023-01-29 | 220.25 | 50.65 | 56.66 | 71.85 | 122.03 | 511.21 | 1054.49 | 2223.89 | 3926.17 |
2023-02-05 | 372.61 | 74.55 | 86.70 | 115.21 | 199.71 | 851.62 | 2001.20 | 3861.25 | 8483.41 |
2023-02-12 | 432.26 | 60.91 | 85.50 | 115.31 | 208.32 | 943.11 | 2440.65 | 3642.84 | 5872.44 |
2023-02-19 | 417.64 | 77.83 | 100.55 | 147.27 | 229.36 | 830.85 | 1854.56 | 3029.83 | 4224.74 |
2023-02-26 | 641.64 | 144.21 | 177.26 | 231.69 | 366.32 | 1342.67 | 2757.07 | 4376.61 | 7304.93 |
2023-03-05 | 761.08 | 196.47 | 248.11 | 283.43 | 439.96 | 1279.32 | 2604.21 | 3655.17 | 5172.20 |
2023-03-12 | 865.54 | 248.70 | 292.14 | 388.15 | 564.04 | 1467.76 | 2494.01 | 4471.40 | 6605.54 |
2023-03-19 | 867.43 | 254.98 | 293.06 | 394.26 | 542.47 | 1397.04 | 2252.64 | 3195.72 | 4789.27 |
2023-03-26 | 1031.25 | 384.36 | 425.84 | 513.13 | 690.58 | 1593.90 | 2333.33 | 3224.41 | 4557.80 |
2023-04-02 | 1070.72 | 401.53 | 453.98 | 516.57 | 728.83 | 1579.00 | 2493.71 | 3748.25 | 4778.62 |
2023-04-09 | 1079.51 | 381.24 | 465.08 | 537.42 | 773.67 | 1579.15 | 2532.50 | 3298.24 | 4568.85 |
2023-04-16 | 1242.75 | 434.71 | 520.91 | 617.16 | 867.33 | 1870.49 | 3017.48 | 4593.24 | 5371.37 |
2023-04-23 | 1021.84 | 374.16 | 432.54 | 539.78 | 767.25 | 1472.67 | 2147.96 | 2812.55 | 3519.06 |
2023-04-30 | 1136.95 | 374.53 | 454.12 | 540.19 | 755.11 | 1696.68 | 2535.25 | 3199.67 | 3738.13 |
2023-05-07 | 701.97 | 277.66 | 309.79 | 349.38 | 459.25 | 1042.59 | 1527.16 | 1960.87 | 2948.28 |
2023-05-14 | 682.06 | 227.86 | 250.19 | 312.86 | 446.61 | 1159.50 | 2050.90 | 3035.71 | 3887.59 |
2023-05-21 | 394.07 | 121.09 | 135.98 | 165.11 | 259.48 | 664.40 | 1256.57 | 1918.69 | 2965.82 |
2023-05-28 | 248.59 | 79.97 | 95.96 | 114.70 | 162.61 | 400.86 | 730.00 | 1046.44 | 1426.12 |
2023-06-04 | 166.84 | 51.46 | 56.79 | 72.79 | 105.67 | 283.31 | 519.62 | 739.98 | 964.97 |
2023-06-11 | 129.54 | 32.73 | 38.00 | 51.10 | 78.11 | 226.65 | 397.64 | 557.99 | 982.08 |
2023-06-18 | 114.55 | 28.20 | 35.15 | 44.93 | 65.35 | 193.60 | 329.55 | 453.94 | 569.80 |
2023-06-25 | 95.25 | 24.15 | 30.19 | 38.32 | 59.03 | 193.84 | 323.47 | 542.40 | 774.49 |
2023-07-02 | 66.88 | 19.66 | 22.13 | 27.05 | 38.09 | 113.64 | 196.69 | 334.89 | 521.30 |
2023-07-09 | 109.95 | 17.90 | 22.93 | 31.73 | 53.18 | 221.59 | 518.45 | 922.81 | 1832.63 |
2023-07-16 | 115.77 | 16.86 | 21.70 | 28.64 | 50.69 | 283.53 | 785.48 | 1768.89 | 3835.89 |
2023-07-23 | 35.58 | 8.72 | 10.46 | 13.08 | 20.50 | 67.69 | 112.04 | 207.07 | 281.91 |
2023-07-30 | 24.22 | 6.34 | 7.50 | 9.88 | 15.20 | 38.71 | 68.87 | 114.15 | 163.62 |
2023-08-06 | 16.90 | 4.07 | 4.94 | 6.16 | 9.96 | 31.29 | 66.07 | 99.61 | 157.61 |
2023-08-13 | 27.62 | 4.20 | 5.34 | 6.72 | 11.43 | 56.38 | 132.49 | 207.87 | 402.99 |
2023-08-20 | 23.14 | 3.99 | 5.15 | 6.39 | 12.05 | 45.76 | 97.00 | 158.65 | 205.68 |
2023-08-27 | 8.95 | 2.16 | 2.80 | 3.64 | 5.48 | 19.63 | 38.61 | 63.28 | 89.99 |
2023-09-03 | 6.72 | 1.43 | 1.88 | 2.44 | 4.15 | 12.18 | 21.71 | 31.40 | 52.28 |
2023-09-10 | 10.06 | 2.04 | 2.49 | 3.27 | 5.57 | 17.81 | 31.81 | 46.04 | 108.05 |
2023-09-17 | 9.57 | 2.00 | 2.36 | 3.08 | 5.25 | 19.05 | 37.17 | 54.00 | 83.52 |
2023-09-24 | 8.03 | 1.65 | 2.16 | 3.03 | 4.73 | 15.50 | 31.16 | 48.50 | 78.41 |
2023-10-01 | 7.20 | 1.51 | 2.05 | 2.72 | 3.93 | 13.23 | 25.86 | 39.91 | 55.60 |