Prediction 3690

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 27.55 8.69 10.34 12.33 18.47 53.51 94.89 149.96 199.48
2023-10-15 144.98 44.42 51.35 61.02 93.48 245.29 482.18 673.76 1070.02
2023-10-22 27.75 7.42 8.75 11.15 18.48 50.81 93.91 134.31 193.92
2023-10-29 49.15 14.03 16.85 21.24 29.84 95.43 170.00 316.49 456.43
2023-11-05 67.78 21.41 23.87 29.91 43.07 111.84 196.44 261.73 347.43
2023-11-12 258.07 58.45 72.27 92.11 145.19 523.95 1332.02 2030.14 3180.04
2023-11-19 116.26 28.78 34.09 43.83 68.80 223.07 462.05 660.91 874.80
2023-11-26 74.79 24.35 27.42 32.26 47.62 127.27 219.12 311.22 422.92
2023-12-03 306.08 98.84 114.76 138.79 196.53 518.11 900.87 1335.13 1880.72
2023-12-10 233.57 83.63 95.35 115.02 158.24 368.21 601.53 818.06 969.64
2023-12-17 239.63 83.88 96.03 111.43 162.48 387.72 649.63 874.86 1130.19
2023-12-24 120.85 38.49 43.34 56.29 80.80 200.77 376.40 484.12 720.55
2023-12-31 148.09 40.45 47.76 58.68 91.84 288.39 589.92 931.22 1565.85
2024-01-07 214.96 69.40 78.62 96.77 144.44 324.41 558.00 858.38 1360.59
2024-01-14 152.38 43.84 54.04 67.09 96.77 262.32 444.39 916.81 1298.00
2024-01-21 191.12 63.33 74.45 90.48 124.73 344.07 643.62 988.79 1537.78
2024-01-28 207.13 71.64 84.14 103.68 142.04 337.96 545.32 833.06 1014.93
2024-02-04 257.01 94.68 110.84 133.42 180.91 374.80 537.79 641.11 906.71
2024-02-11 366.54 168.39 187.42 219.08 274.85 508.58 682.90 857.31 1048.81
2024-02-18 527.00 253.74 277.58 314.22 407.61 712.97 1029.92 1246.31 1485.86
2024-02-25 879.41 480.37 511.54 565.14 693.80 1116.58 1430.81 1763.88 2186.73
2024-03-03 1528.00 793.22 864.08 943.61 1179.51 1931.43 2467.03 2986.49 3268.37
2024-03-10 2085.02 1146.99 1233.07 1366.69 1647.49 2563.80 3259.55 3729.51 4639.75
2024-03-17 3056.30 1687.83 1925.14 2095.31 2466.82 3698.34 4736.08 5338.45 5895.56
2024-03-24 4489.76 2945.26 3097.43 3327.35 3834.05 5192.25 6099.99 6739.70 7364.21
2024-03-31 5147.35 3354.36 3622.29 3942.33 4435.74 6010.00 6983.80 7812.03 8446.48
2024-04-07 5837.07 4270.59 4513.19 4733.75 5257.76 6505.33 7317.28 7784.08 8338.28
2024-04-14 5656.71 4277.15 4424.34 4631.28 5073.41 6429.49 7357.54 7806.91 8360.23
2024-04-21 5841.64 4365.57 4541.15 4698.02 5178.24 6635.58 7412.52 7781.24 8542.38
2024-04-28 5847.50 4371.77 4540.59 4822.17 5274.11 6642.95 7467.25 8006.05 8641.26
2024-05-05 5408.57 3687.35 3984.80 4273.34 4785.00 6256.39 7100.53 7568.35 8082.94
2024-05-12 4362.27 3016.67 3204.97 3491.48 3879.36 4951.87 5636.62 6179.35 6618.18
2024-05-19 3396.44 2140.37 2335.05 2541.67 2968.71 4093.22 4748.94 5211.98 5582.95
2024-05-26 2571.13 1782.17 1922.60 2052.46 2275.70 2892.11 3271.69 3480.53 3738.67
2024-06-02 1612.10 1121.70 1152.55 1260.63 1412.70 1830.70 2085.61 2242.06 2429.43
2024-06-09 1626.20 1021.27 1100.67 1198.90 1381.34 1932.85 2327.49 2676.79 2967.80
2024-06-16 754.11 370.91 419.98 473.22 594.11 985.95 1317.58 1544.39 1778.90
2024-06-23 723.21 355.71 405.72 459.08 581.45 913.16 1152.91 1331.49 1549.28
2024-06-30 637.93 345.62 366.55 407.83 489.27 806.87 1038.46 1182.71 1331.91
2024-07-07 321.04 144.68 162.03 187.49 237.76 426.28 542.01 673.61 841.31
2024-07-14 222.93 96.79 111.89 127.63 165.98 303.48 423.75 541.54 651.37
2024-07-21 213.12 86.48 100.43 118.46 152.50 298.58 428.01 539.32 638.49
2024-07-28 175.72 86.09 92.40 108.32 137.47 242.30 348.37 432.38 563.47
2024-08-04 201.59 61.01 75.44 88.31 127.10 329.26 635.88 869.08 1169.51
2024-08-11 181.70 59.10 74.10 85.69 119.62 286.14 511.39 752.44 936.41
2024-08-18 77.58 27.30 33.57 38.99 52.43 121.78 197.91 311.49 491.19
2024-08-25 91.85 31.65 36.64 43.79 60.68 152.94 252.33 347.01 498.36
2024-09-01 79.60 23.38 27.42 35.51 53.19 140.11 239.28 334.66 483.59
2024-09-08 92.23 32.55 38.17 46.47 62.93 151.02 250.32 323.52 474.83
2024-09-15 109.97 37.85 42.03 51.97 75.62 198.85 346.01 553.84 876.39
2024-09-22 131.44 37.31 44.67 55.36 79.02 214.95 370.14 534.57 864.20
2024-09-29 171.53 53.78 64.21 76.54 107.28 290.46 474.12 717.74 980.19
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