Prediction 3691

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 59.86 15.41 19.82 24.52 36.70 103.26 168.66 293.07 523.89
2024-10-13 85.20 23.89 29.48 38.91 56.67 134.36 265.87 381.73 588.13
2024-10-20 90.80 31.70 37.09 44.99 60.73 137.33 208.94 277.09 341.23
2024-10-27 69.90 22.54 27.66 32.85 44.72 114.15 162.50 230.07 305.13
2024-11-03 168.88 45.06 59.35 72.12 105.59 300.68 572.27 851.13 1283.56
2024-11-10 156.06 45.28 56.40 65.62 97.61 251.73 429.25 601.64 798.57
2024-11-17 118.45 40.98 47.44 59.19 83.99 178.61 277.59 355.15 481.08
2024-11-24 194.90 65.13 78.01 95.80 129.34 291.78 441.96 563.54 701.80
2024-12-01 218.33 80.76 92.95 110.43 154.40 340.78 511.65 734.62 985.00
2024-12-08 371.26 117.16 146.60 170.37 247.04 580.70 942.50 1246.66 1874.15
2024-12-15 256.44 112.51 122.42 140.28 190.62 376.63 567.39 696.58 897.05
2024-12-22 218.39 67.02 84.92 98.68 139.42 356.34 620.01 838.28 961.98
2024-12-29 286.59 70.92 85.81 105.47 156.20 515.42 949.21 1417.24 1892.31
2025-01-05 218.38 68.14 75.89 94.41 132.63 377.19 716.51 1061.56 1588.10
2025-01-12 298.78 78.82 98.61 121.63 182.81 551.82 927.44 1361.23 1640.66
2025-01-19 406.53 128.36 148.96 178.26 260.88 665.00 1158.91 1794.44 2374.30
2025-01-26 603.08 211.00 239.23 281.89 403.15 906.29 1325.75 1800.52 2201.83
2025-02-02 861.77 291.71 347.53 400.77 581.95 1229.40 1819.88 2280.35 2803.19
2025-02-09 1263.44 470.13 584.85 719.71 932.01 1747.61 2342.29 2768.94 3303.37
2025-02-16 1795.39 741.52 858.60 1034.04 1300.87 2377.07 3143.33 3833.34 4323.20
2025-02-23 2319.40 1135.58 1262.68 1471.69 1853.24 2839.91 3556.18 3993.10 4577.51
2025-03-02 2813.45 1339.69 1514.49 1815.70 2246.92 3543.48 4261.38 4781.79 5142.69
2025-03-09 3249.97 1611.13 1757.99 2057.32 2603.54 4071.93 4950.57 5669.87 6362.57
2025-03-16 3930.27 1958.36 2264.14 2564.41 3177.61 4754.81 5705.62 6407.14 6835.86
2025-03-23 5834.87 3337.78 3801.76 4356.99 5023.18 6607.70 7705.69 8458.79 8977.48
2025-03-30 5836.83 3501.16 3736.56 4454.46 5103.48 6734.25 7478.89 8192.89 8948.47
2025-04-06 6419.90 4118.66 4589.38 4963.65 5605.04 7254.69 8104.02 8784.66 9317.32
2025-04-13 7132.36 4816.22 5199.89 5540.39 6314.68 8065.51 9041.28 9650.28 10210.33
2025-04-20 6803.16 4566.99 4847.05 5303.98 6054.48 7729.37 8673.27 9387.84 10015.43
2025-04-27 5816.44 3893.20 4286.07 4542.74 5126.21 6627.71 7527.20 8253.77 8665.51
2025-05-04 5030.42 3335.29 3497.14 3783.27 4356.36 5634.52 6368.46 7048.30 7397.98
2025-05-11 3943.65 2789.83 2929.73 3141.64 3515.28 4540.88 5172.37 5604.36 6334.07
2025-05-18 2048.91 1300.21 1379.44 1483.40 1741.77 2455.40 2878.48 3343.11 3534.52
2025-05-25 1698.79 1171.77 1254.73 1325.20 1491.88 1968.74 2261.69 2484.56 2641.65
2025-06-01 1379.26 790.23 848.73 954.40 1139.44 1625.75 1975.85 2186.27 2416.80
2025-06-08 948.88 563.71 615.39 665.00 792.32 1162.45 1401.20 1565.44 1692.92
2025-06-15 924.43 530.04 562.11 648.67 768.98 1147.39 1396.99 1576.10 1757.37
2025-06-22 717.56 374.04 426.42 485.63 587.00 927.17 1116.18 1308.29 1503.85
2025-06-29 448.15 253.62 267.37 290.69 362.17 571.36 736.82 876.75 951.24
2025-07-06 329.37 154.50 170.15 197.27 248.99 426.04 558.40 681.65 812.88
2025-07-13 313.85 123.25 149.58 173.96 224.34 422.83 573.04 737.43 883.73
2025-07-20 187.67 75.12 85.98 106.38 132.77 281.51 408.47 505.11 602.74
2025-07-27 187.55 69.22 84.01 99.39 134.30 291.67 454.41 599.15 699.55
2025-08-03 109.84 34.14 40.44 50.13 70.46 173.55 294.16 375.09 481.52
2025-08-10 113.40 34.10 39.30 50.51 70.96 189.68 321.30 520.12 693.41
2025-08-17 121.20 37.09 45.79 54.33 76.20 193.59 299.69 413.59 576.63
2025-08-24 113.16 25.30 32.21 42.61 67.21 192.12 319.90 568.30 790.59
2025-08-31 88.45 30.41 34.69 42.22 60.27 146.29 244.68 335.26 456.88
2025-09-07 119.29 45.03 50.60 62.71 84.47 173.78 257.01 315.78 400.29
2025-09-14 75.50 22.46 27.64 34.39 49.19 118.83 200.30 288.53 372.23
2025-09-21 73.86 23.89 27.57 33.30 47.22 113.22 193.83 260.42 331.98
2025-09-28 93.59 33.49 36.52 46.18 62.93 144.40 215.95 273.52 363.32
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