Prediction 3692

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 461.44 200.13 227.99 265.21 347.02 650.22 922.44 1198.76 1765.77
2022-10-16 668.57 296.74 328.09 366.77 469.74 961.20 1502.07 2198.73 3994.06
2022-10-23 599.38 258.72 278.47 320.63 431.66 858.60 1335.14 1871.05 2994.91
2022-10-30 502.26 246.04 273.40 296.78 375.63 675.26 944.75 1236.42 1568.59
2022-11-06 427.10 215.78 235.65 265.52 324.75 556.32 712.19 878.15 1102.56
2022-11-13 474.02 239.04 273.09 299.40 382.66 642.24 880.56 1012.84 1182.13
2022-11-20 949.37 417.16 475.38 527.10 667.00 1426.72 2147.39 2745.21 4678.22
2022-11-27 728.06 338.74 376.78 452.15 563.05 974.30 1275.50 1739.19 2298.40
2022-12-04 805.32 409.95 460.28 512.80 644.84 1100.36 1521.66 1896.61 2284.84
2022-12-11 1225.43 604.52 670.37 733.53 943.65 1712.94 2558.96 3258.30 4460.69
2022-12-18 970.30 427.38 517.12 585.03 721.60 1249.30 1821.73 2278.25 2737.39
2022-12-25 881.80 349.94 396.51 462.22 639.57 1414.83 2064.58 3247.85 4853.35
2023-01-01 1841.15 862.06 970.80 1102.93 1368.67 2540.17 3505.86 4785.08 5538.23
2023-01-08 2365.69 1180.65 1272.62 1463.32 1799.11 3303.94 4679.22 6339.89 8097.44
2023-01-15 3296.40 1503.47 1627.33 1856.35 2509.04 4675.59 6590.43 8809.02 10902.03
2023-01-22 4062.56 1771.31 1967.25 2275.31 3013.89 6000.33 9001.51 11001.57 14369.45
2023-01-29 5524.12 2229.34 2632.61 3045.89 3963.84 7885.02 11033.53 14300.82 19787.53
2023-02-05 6807.69 3289.37 3557.73 4111.87 4988.47 10400.04 14971.66 20960.58 28343.34
2023-02-12 6716.18 3000.28 3503.48 4137.26 5060.51 9235.80 13311.46 17312.50 22604.88
2023-02-19 7349.01 3586.90 4033.03 4541.18 5649.92 10633.46 14654.05 21230.30 32062.11
2023-02-26 7931.22 3862.58 4333.79 4989.23 6234.63 10949.76 15511.07 19383.65 27308.71
2023-03-05 9013.24 4727.30 5130.68 5780.16 7013.85 11604.70 16045.85 20172.28 23945.85
2023-03-12 11809.74 5649.02 6035.98 7034.72 8978.16 16119.65 22696.86 29943.88 38880.58
2023-03-19 12937.17 6065.04 6935.97 7701.53 9780.81 16797.30 24236.71 31867.91 39499.73
2023-03-26 15283.13 7911.29 8818.95 9753.22 12248.94 19595.10 25523.50 32890.52 38070.65
2023-04-02 19043.69 9582.59 11088.35 12463.22 15102.85 25384.76 34012.86 42616.34 51593.80
2023-04-09 19284.43 10049.06 11076.92 12180.93 14747.64 25894.28 36598.32 42306.38 54846.56
2023-04-16 21674.70 11250.44 12192.35 13785.54 17046.42 27979.99 39549.44 53091.07 67946.30
2023-04-23 23934.50 12328.57 13119.61 14871.67 18381.27 32710.94 44931.78 53554.11 63320.89
2023-04-30 25335.57 12512.41 13658.68 15477.50 19300.84 34108.24 45953.40 57239.01 75731.13
2023-05-07 23594.94 12494.20 13261.21 14832.87 18110.20 32437.79 46678.88 59430.47 78850.44
2023-05-14 15679.65 8788.47 9429.45 10294.81 12661.95 21876.26 30266.88 37539.63 48305.42
2023-05-21 12999.25 6017.16 6609.68 7850.70 9673.67 17292.38 25179.90 31861.21 42506.73
2023-05-28 10029.09 5218.20 5639.53 6370.46 7846.72 13690.15 20687.19 25088.96 34373.41
2023-06-04 8349.27 4027.85 4470.18 5029.67 6146.00 11164.24 16720.79 22181.83 28379.57
2023-06-11 5833.84 2820.52 3297.17 3606.41 4396.63 8142.68 11514.06 15232.82 20288.28
2023-06-18 3830.34 2013.05 2254.26 2554.26 3005.71 5015.85 6801.37 8985.16 10905.31
2023-06-25 2876.03 1507.96 1747.22 1955.44 2287.25 3864.18 5248.78 6705.13 9058.61
2023-07-02 2089.28 1098.45 1184.60 1340.30 1630.70 2893.39 4291.60 5179.63 6088.78
2023-07-09 1429.82 733.13 800.76 901.37 1122.71 1908.28 2763.92 3465.21 4674.56
2023-07-16 951.47 494.80 538.55 622.23 753.19 1242.35 1634.48 1935.46 2304.65
2023-07-23 891.76 475.55 516.68 575.95 688.01 1187.34 1614.28 2023.06 2459.83
2023-07-30 699.73 351.21 384.81 436.82 543.55 934.81 1320.76 1754.78 2141.90
2023-08-06 598.95 284.90 315.13 359.30 460.27 811.77 1093.57 1449.51 1721.52
2023-08-13 527.38 230.38 255.70 292.92 384.38 703.62 1114.49 1431.36 1725.87
2023-08-20 439.38 224.69 245.74 268.18 332.50 657.42 886.67 1126.06 1558.53
2023-08-27 401.49 181.08 209.27 240.93 296.85 531.42 743.83 995.31 1427.17
2023-09-03 442.40 192.89 221.06 256.39 333.49 654.84 941.91 1176.05 1759.97
2023-09-10 484.16 236.12 262.79 289.75 357.48 654.21 900.29 1163.14 1526.77
2023-09-17 396.09 196.47 219.37 248.68 305.47 561.44 764.09 929.36 1225.64
2023-09-24 447.77 224.91 248.87 278.46 343.29 620.60 924.47 1331.96 1733.61
2023-10-01 445.32 217.28 242.31 269.75 342.48 601.09 867.15 1058.81 1459.31
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