Prediction 3693

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 1206.63 717.73 781.75 842.29 991.67 1475.43 1878.07 2236.60 2587.69
2023-10-15 1184.36 680.52 731.15 805.58 959.86 1479.45 1962.23 2332.52 2758.89
2023-10-22 1182.99 722.64 767.35 846.77 966.23 1475.15 1836.53 2184.54 2556.84
2023-10-29 1180.30 704.54 752.62 827.63 981.85 1491.44 1770.41 2137.09 2584.46
2023-11-05 1393.10 786.55 860.16 958.21 1138.26 1834.18 2274.38 2722.66 3305.28
2023-11-12 1427.22 891.80 958.63 1045.35 1200.33 1783.61 2250.07 2597.49 3020.39
2023-11-19 1670.01 957.44 1040.01 1176.04 1368.78 2048.02 2505.51 2868.88 3237.78
2023-11-26 1948.81 1055.09 1173.16 1343.19 1573.47 2419.16 3141.28 3685.95 4352.78
2023-12-03 2407.29 1385.68 1477.06 1649.25 1974.44 2975.57 3846.51 4374.15 4987.42
2023-12-10 2636.06 1555.56 1656.17 1846.71 2202.21 3324.93 4189.72 4779.95 5548.02
2023-12-17 2609.33 1407.52 1539.34 1712.44 2063.82 3358.21 4970.02 6708.60 8504.71
2023-12-24 2884.07 1487.81 1615.83 1850.47 2306.46 3863.74 5199.12 6864.09 8110.95
2023-12-31 7341.58 3859.51 4149.22 4587.64 5801.18 9477.75 12537.41 15672.88 20493.39
2024-01-07 9554.10 5084.46 5555.15 6002.37 7280.32 12536.06 16944.85 21819.36 27788.64
2024-01-14 12791.01 6204.37 6717.79 7667.54 9428.88 17443.01 25154.08 32262.43 36174.65
2024-01-21 14684.08 7951.39 8834.83 9901.24 11751.62 19961.70 25595.10 32950.19 44697.44
2024-01-28 17958.12 9749.00 10933.18 11938.74 14269.63 21877.12 29426.35 35235.38 43180.51
2024-02-04 20069.09 12001.17 12714.30 14057.48 16446.03 26233.01 32208.37 39314.17 44627.52
2024-02-11 20315.99 11917.45 12762.94 14205.16 16799.56 25173.61 31685.70 35687.90 40800.42
2024-02-18 21291.11 13684.87 14768.12 15741.30 18160.76 25356.46 30958.02 35866.00 38713.56
2024-02-25 23992.51 15617.63 16641.65 17898.22 20603.73 27965.96 32527.08 36321.60 39731.06
2024-03-03 25667.56 18006.65 18901.52 20386.10 22451.10 29604.57 34231.37 37836.46 40644.05
2024-03-10 28288.77 20779.86 21860.83 23259.63 25649.75 32526.57 36659.08 40242.12 42645.26
2024-03-17 33419.95 24432.20 25604.90 27073.26 29612.76 37521.53 41850.45 44594.30 46925.48
2024-03-24 34810.40 25753.53 26835.50 28393.59 30921.54 38290.85 42423.16 45318.72 48006.56
2024-03-31 37636.29 27708.14 29705.05 31838.78 34206.27 41794.30 46446.45 49494.64 50878.72
2024-04-07 40888.54 31180.94 32211.85 33686.38 36733.61 45072.36 49596.75 52747.71 55828.83
2024-04-14 42454.11 33039.16 34223.34 35577.78 38553.64 47526.31 52295.62 54550.48 58293.58
2024-04-21 42561.32 32038.86 33116.31 35404.89 38091.12 47052.00 52244.08 55700.57 59908.59
2024-04-28 42938.43 32249.06 33968.47 35182.18 38726.25 47174.80 52761.48 56054.28 58383.03
2024-05-05 42888.13 32056.92 33146.04 35028.48 38120.40 47487.76 52445.61 55831.45 59765.53
2024-05-12 39374.50 30072.40 31397.75 32713.09 34883.21 44524.46 49128.29 52940.18 57565.80
2024-05-19 30284.40 21569.86 22536.94 24097.20 26643.47 34193.13 38490.87 40986.86 43268.82
2024-05-26 22910.56 17107.41 18034.93 19224.36 20718.90 26122.11 29705.80 32408.07 34500.68
2024-06-02 18173.96 13141.35 13643.49 14544.11 16009.48 20847.58 23833.55 26165.24 28586.20
2024-06-09 13723.20 9969.70 10312.46 10902.29 11972.34 15962.23 18488.97 20099.46 21910.94
2024-06-16 11715.80 7649.79 7997.50 8652.50 9938.78 13429.60 16269.53 18677.58 21366.76
2024-06-23 8894.93 5724.64 6068.49 6642.47 7548.33 10627.32 13460.72 15383.48 17046.41
2024-06-30 6699.79 4159.75 4405.42 4823.97 5503.28 8071.32 10285.33 11998.79 13705.82
2024-07-07 4875.31 3081.68 3243.31 3480.89 4067.37 6047.85 7603.43 9163.08 10847.42
2024-07-14 3814.47 2393.03 2526.13 2706.70 3139.67 4672.24 5911.88 6925.98 8215.76
2024-07-21 3426.20 2030.43 2171.86 2377.29 2834.47 4207.89 5326.50 6365.35 7793.04
2024-07-28 2692.31 1560.82 1671.87 1827.24 2188.61 3418.31 4152.45 5247.30 5740.13
2024-08-04 2555.87 1413.74 1556.63 1701.39 2033.49 3250.64 4381.25 5227.06 6009.17
2024-08-11 2274.24 1278.36 1395.53 1531.01 1825.84 2926.07 3820.78 4847.10 5822.36
2024-08-18 1760.13 1072.20 1144.39 1232.92 1477.41 2154.35 2816.45 3298.08 4174.25
2024-08-25 1645.95 968.86 1052.29 1154.63 1322.98 2031.78 2607.14 3065.13 3756.87
2024-09-01 1641.57 958.41 1065.43 1166.36 1356.14 2013.34 2526.56 2738.09 3223.36
2024-09-08 1858.59 1064.25 1175.20 1268.93 1524.77 2361.87 3171.95 3783.34 4344.20
2024-09-15 1857.02 1094.48 1163.71 1271.51 1473.43 2343.53 3058.95 3698.51 4070.40
2024-09-22 1533.64 933.00 996.41 1109.99 1294.86 1876.70 2477.81 2834.76 3505.05
2024-09-29 1775.06 1055.63 1134.70 1236.27 1440.73 2223.15 2871.45 3438.77 3994.60
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