Prediction 3694

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 1804.21 1082.75 1159.90 1273.32 1526.78 2196.42 2689.59 3242.22 3598.99
2024-10-13 1793.99 1150.50 1226.48 1332.77 1522.66 2160.56 2550.07 2990.46 3579.03
2024-10-20 1675.82 1067.00 1147.11 1229.22 1404.20 1987.44 2428.71 2769.97 3308.16
2024-10-27 1916.20 1253.64 1309.03 1410.43 1606.15 2241.45 2711.38 3014.20 3396.00
2024-11-03 2143.85 1398.31 1465.76 1569.58 1808.21 2570.77 3148.10 3653.70 3999.02
2024-11-10 2117.38 1383.73 1471.28 1605.83 1830.52 2449.02 2981.70 3221.64 3383.98
2024-11-17 2354.62 1495.84 1691.14 1779.26 2013.40 2795.18 3390.74 3777.04 4297.94
2024-11-24 2836.56 1888.26 2005.24 2184.94 2462.70 3457.02 4101.43 4748.02 5293.46
2024-12-01 3310.52 2084.06 2252.72 2407.64 2773.26 3970.18 4937.37 5852.24 6517.70
2024-12-08 4041.71 2770.05 2862.38 3047.08 3394.15 4832.68 5776.18 6504.52 7128.48
2024-12-15 3356.77 2225.32 2338.90 2509.66 2869.68 4098.82 4792.33 5597.82 6089.35
2024-12-22 3307.36 2133.20 2237.43 2430.22 2831.40 3937.15 4840.81 5569.66 6338.05
2024-12-29 7061.99 4604.87 5036.41 5302.34 5914.81 8456.14 10004.24 10737.36 13363.23
2025-01-05 10560.71 6632.87 7071.80 7699.54 8958.12 12666.97 15179.77 16544.16 19215.99
2025-01-12 15403.72 10096.82 10613.12 11438.18 13223.67 18865.94 23351.32 25065.88 30452.57
2025-01-19 19319.59 13040.70 13750.93 14386.65 16656.14 22778.39 26300.20 30482.26 32850.28
2025-01-26 21761.86 15404.66 16149.60 17334.40 19112.56 25416.41 30145.88 33143.14 37530.45
2025-02-02 26004.07 17966.44 18995.11 20249.44 22401.39 29861.43 33714.31 39147.21 41289.20
2025-02-09 26047.17 19000.47 19778.87 20884.37 23140.29 30235.62 35077.99 38734.66 43116.75
2025-02-16 22244.81 16554.83 17476.25 18362.79 19976.74 25525.42 29766.61 31980.25 33893.25
2025-02-23 23197.40 16591.48 17505.30 18409.16 20429.58 26113.85 30172.14 33203.62 36496.11
2025-03-02 21903.11 16382.64 17187.56 18004.41 19459.12 24592.01 28257.74 29970.65 33088.95
2025-03-09 20456.41 15242.25 15587.41 16653.99 18226.08 22948.96 26370.27 28234.63 30018.34
2025-03-16 17032.83 12184.96 12882.28 13554.11 15081.48 19646.91 22022.92 23776.74 25121.24
2025-03-23 17609.91 12212.26 12928.10 13955.32 15491.10 20065.20 23792.75 25431.54 26728.77
2025-03-30 17487.38 12535.66 13343.93 14047.41 15280.69 20268.03 23498.83 25916.46 29515.78
2025-04-06 16811.65 11903.06 12589.60 13396.59 14753.49 19511.43 22981.81 25365.91 28158.07
2025-04-13 16777.35 12184.15 12725.27 13544.35 14865.72 19306.04 22388.22 25041.85 28944.47
2025-04-20 14572.76 11063.60 11341.68 11918.58 13068.77 16371.54 18966.59 20309.77 21747.91
2025-04-27 13336.86 9876.97 10199.53 10822.89 11928.88 15254.12 17678.13 19042.61 20646.35
2025-05-04 11729.24 8669.61 9135.23 9741.69 10569.31 13301.42 15340.02 17054.09 17764.71
2025-05-11 9637.25 7026.15 7260.97 7773.48 8594.52 10867.59 12314.50 13447.19 14756.93
2025-05-18 6825.42 4827.92 5150.45 5476.77 6075.12 7886.02 9249.22 10392.24 11454.21
2025-05-25 5400.68 3911.65 4128.97 4335.93 4824.31 6020.33 6901.25 7664.97 8863.31
2025-06-01 4483.68 3240.17 3404.38 3556.06 3894.85 5300.88 6201.98 6769.01 7380.10
2025-06-08 4094.98 2893.83 3046.10 3228.21 3624.42 4711.86 5293.59 6159.88 7625.22
2025-06-15 3754.18 2703.28 2831.11 3041.03 3373.01 4269.65 4903.12 5410.85 6093.34
2025-06-22 3013.93 2207.36 2308.27 2413.42 2673.59 3472.83 4064.15 4547.09 4992.35
2025-06-29 2522.93 1718.28 1782.45 1924.72 2210.06 2910.42 3374.04 3755.84 4412.33
2025-07-06 2261.65 1528.00 1622.09 1726.38 1952.87 2646.27 3131.44 3410.46 4241.84
2025-07-13 1870.38 1297.76 1392.46 1487.46 1657.71 2172.92 2604.86 2902.77 3044.56
2025-07-20 1788.97 1225.58 1304.84 1390.33 1551.97 2109.96 2452.99 2833.92 3267.98
2025-07-27 1589.54 1060.72 1131.88 1220.54 1363.17 1879.60 2162.48 2444.29 3053.16
2025-08-03 1312.65 835.21 875.02 951.31 1098.42 1605.33 1985.66 2174.91 2434.29
2025-08-10 1396.80 915.65 978.37 1039.55 1190.50 1651.97 1950.65 2149.34 2723.40
2025-08-17 1171.26 735.92 789.64 853.56 984.48 1470.88 1928.29 2335.49 2807.33
2025-08-24 1093.24 658.84 726.36 784.93 914.94 1322.71 1674.33 2079.78 2583.16
2025-08-31 1041.36 663.87 707.43 775.34 891.90 1284.83 1607.13 1902.40 2300.13
2025-09-07 985.51 617.49 652.89 706.97 824.92 1244.80 1533.18 1749.06 2112.54
2025-09-14 966.20 559.70 608.10 664.70 788.03 1216.33 1574.06 1888.94 2367.26
2025-09-21 1157.01 692.71 730.48 802.41 942.25 1394.57 1825.34 2224.59 2622.60
2025-09-28 955.34 595.36 634.93 689.09 819.89 1218.33 1526.37 1855.88 2236.47
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