Prediction 3695

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MG


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 234.68 97.46 115.55 135.47 173.20 359.64 575.38 783.80 1142.76
2022-10-16 393.25 174.08 192.55 211.91 277.49 665.85 1140.37 1726.84 3416.61
2022-10-23 332.06 138.14 155.63 175.45 240.65 504.34 814.55 1214.40 1907.64
2022-10-30 277.24 132.03 146.22 164.79 214.80 394.98 614.89 1008.50 1168.02
2022-11-06 216.51 112.85 125.08 136.89 164.58 300.92 455.09 641.25 904.63
2022-11-13 262.31 125.66 138.98 161.52 205.69 354.30 556.07 783.00 983.46
2022-11-20 542.20 237.33 259.58 300.18 384.26 819.58 1353.15 1827.75 2654.92
2022-11-27 367.61 181.08 204.16 228.61 274.53 492.64 700.60 895.68 1097.41
2022-12-04 433.64 228.41 244.39 273.09 325.78 570.84 784.60 1024.28 1338.33
2022-12-11 733.91 329.93 371.18 416.36 547.86 1078.13 1646.41 2216.19 3027.67
2022-12-18 527.63 245.33 261.87 298.05 385.08 743.46 1120.24 1428.29 1812.41
2022-12-25 492.13 199.56 224.37 256.04 340.90 770.48 1307.41 1762.26 2411.57
2023-01-01 1002.29 453.35 521.75 583.95 748.05 1444.69 2265.99 2874.60 3771.21
2023-01-08 1233.50 599.96 641.73 748.63 886.74 1700.87 2448.57 3375.92 4631.81
2023-01-15 1649.02 720.91 819.98 955.69 1187.03 2465.25 3592.64 4815.24 5929.84
2023-01-22 2150.25 910.98 1083.44 1226.63 1546.65 2939.64 4308.53 5686.92 8199.61
2023-01-29 2937.90 1248.28 1523.08 1701.35 2160.31 4693.08 7251.84 9761.58 12385.17
2023-02-05 3959.07 1714.41 1908.04 2194.55 2756.15 5640.65 8243.10 12758.04 17968.37
2023-02-12 3660.19 1704.79 1864.58 2192.00 2748.21 4929.70 7230.08 10086.29 15323.21
2023-02-19 4457.96 1921.64 2208.19 2567.68 3331.65 6538.69 9592.49 13706.50 19207.09
2023-02-26 5070.57 2334.15 2655.55 3045.71 3723.86 7190.96 10194.75 16094.19 21164.58
2023-03-05 5686.57 2742.35 3053.88 3441.88 4246.74 7693.20 10828.63 14136.02 22235.12
2023-03-12 7427.03 3652.83 4045.64 4537.73 5685.02 10454.03 15965.50 20393.84 32636.87
2023-03-19 8150.19 4080.33 4637.06 5150.07 6235.72 11355.11 17533.23 26900.64 37190.77
2023-03-26 10995.90 5374.19 5859.15 6590.82 8166.60 15444.21 24450.64 34665.00 48291.20
2023-04-02 13802.35 6605.63 7376.51 8347.76 10479.88 20324.46 30325.90 43884.61 57976.96
2023-04-09 13467.52 6909.71 7844.69 8510.17 10282.28 17947.36 26755.64 33186.23 44618.41
2023-04-16 15575.84 7763.73 8491.25 9421.35 12003.55 21575.31 35112.59 44581.16 61131.89
2023-04-23 16985.35 8232.73 8984.95 9953.67 12568.48 26190.19 39685.97 49371.03 73695.35
2023-04-30 17524.26 8655.19 9329.12 10788.26 13317.43 24724.85 36697.49 49330.79 62788.02
2023-05-07 16173.08 8189.37 9099.13 9836.32 12346.64 22899.05 32835.59 40131.73 52993.98
2023-05-14 11999.60 5830.08 6443.78 7209.92 8912.27 16547.27 23345.02 32839.65 46981.40
2023-05-21 9463.62 4281.75 4805.44 5536.55 6971.94 12722.43 21720.11 29438.79 35963.04
2023-05-28 7710.62 3703.08 3942.39 4558.10 5645.83 11027.41 16311.16 22890.60 28651.22
2023-06-04 5957.09 2915.04 3068.45 3435.11 4452.44 8531.06 13442.54 17919.19 22222.80
2023-06-11 4194.09 2062.06 2266.56 2542.52 3156.74 5763.84 8206.17 11247.49 15574.76
2023-06-18 2581.00 1344.42 1451.64 1678.81 1975.65 3499.23 5142.44 6344.49 7664.31
2023-06-25 1973.68 995.91 1066.55 1186.52 1471.69 2693.87 3887.63 5095.70 6596.71
2023-07-02 1551.68 728.11 804.59 908.05 1153.66 2247.69 3458.49 4242.52 5115.69
2023-07-09 959.25 477.05 529.52 602.29 724.54 1369.55 2007.91 2439.08 3203.72
2023-07-16 601.18 322.09 353.06 385.68 465.99 814.37 1158.67 1592.78 2157.32
2023-07-23 573.70 279.01 309.99 355.23 441.33 841.64 1211.72 1741.45 2188.09
2023-07-30 436.14 212.85 238.48 273.29 334.11 616.27 853.85 1194.61 1435.60
2023-08-06 366.98 169.96 185.42 205.98 264.55 529.90 761.61 1023.14 1316.95
2023-08-13 335.51 138.05 154.44 186.88 240.36 476.75 758.53 932.27 1459.96
2023-08-20 276.37 130.51 144.75 162.17 203.97 395.59 619.84 827.43 1109.82
2023-08-27 243.71 114.90 126.99 146.13 185.57 364.25 513.98 739.68 1032.70
2023-09-03 282.21 115.19 139.87 157.26 201.37 425.08 656.27 933.66 1274.76
2023-09-10 308.86 144.13 155.91 182.65 222.25 444.24 649.59 885.21 1130.90
2023-09-17 253.61 127.20 144.25 161.08 196.01 341.35 505.96 690.08 1001.93
2023-09-24 289.56 137.38 149.39 168.31 216.41 409.76 686.84 894.46 1135.67
2023-10-01 281.67 134.38 145.86 160.77 215.62 403.61 623.31 858.97 1114.25
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