Prediction 3696
| Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 1044.83 | 611.77 | 659.65 | 716.09 | 872.31 | 1349.98 | 1776.29 | 2055.76 | 2712.68 |
| 2023-10-15 | 1029.05 | 581.59 | 620.73 | 677.64 | 808.00 | 1313.44 | 1734.55 | 2141.92 | 2686.78 |
| 2023-10-22 | 1000.23 | 577.10 | 631.54 | 692.91 | 807.15 | 1225.68 | 1555.08 | 1980.63 | 2272.28 |
| 2023-10-29 | 1021.69 | 585.19 | 627.12 | 675.96 | 811.77 | 1243.71 | 1649.21 | 1963.86 | 2260.47 |
| 2023-11-05 | 1237.53 | 696.58 | 776.76 | 834.80 | 990.46 | 1583.65 | 2163.02 | 2529.26 | 2854.60 |
| 2023-11-12 | 1158.59 | 692.87 | 769.22 | 827.66 | 963.18 | 1432.43 | 1702.08 | 2095.51 | 2555.71 |
| 2023-11-19 | 1374.00 | 821.53 | 864.13 | 939.29 | 1140.69 | 1709.77 | 2161.28 | 2440.37 | 2907.75 |
| 2023-11-26 | 1536.36 | 885.26 | 953.73 | 1079.21 | 1262.36 | 1935.63 | 2440.59 | 2724.14 | 3240.87 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1908.53 | 1106.60 | 1211.47 | 1361.84 | 1585.98 | 2432.34 | 3073.82 | 3780.48 | 4414.14 |
| 2023-12-10 | 2126.87 | 1164.15 | 1249.57 | 1466.76 | 1706.80 | 2662.63 | 3444.02 | 4253.89 | 5345.94 |
| 2023-12-17 | 2098.27 | 1132.24 | 1215.55 | 1379.87 | 1647.30 | 2766.31 | 3825.00 | 4970.63 | 6559.48 |
| 2023-12-24 | 2210.76 | 1107.24 | 1230.48 | 1384.51 | 1732.60 | 2963.46 | 4380.85 | 5544.65 | 7005.66 |
| 2023-12-31 | 6123.07 | 3212.37 | 3528.34 | 4017.12 | 4914.53 | 8070.68 | 11026.93 | 15307.82 | 20240.99 |
| 2024-01-07 | 8248.90 | 4375.32 | 4865.77 | 5383.35 | 6549.93 | 11059.57 | 15719.71 | 19584.33 | 23913.50 |
| 2024-01-14 | 10637.86 | 5443.07 | 5945.31 | 6830.82 | 8131.72 | 15145.28 | 20632.04 | 28807.35 | 37026.38 |
| 2024-01-21 | 12216.18 | 6632.38 | 7361.06 | 7927.29 | 9544.14 | 16278.30 | 23714.82 | 32761.44 | 45650.23 |
| 2024-01-28 | 13712.78 | 8223.72 | 8619.27 | 9425.20 | 11211.51 | 18162.06 | 26125.99 | 33100.09 | 43181.92 |
| 2024-02-04 | 17521.07 | 9913.02 | 10832.34 | 11861.35 | 14626.32 | 22563.91 | 28976.96 | 35523.60 | 43236.55 |
| 2024-02-11 | 17080.25 | 10224.11 | 10888.99 | 12035.82 | 14086.14 | 21872.91 | 28158.53 | 33588.79 | 40853.61 |
| 2024-02-18 | 17402.03 | 10638.49 | 11534.71 | 12535.50 | 14597.85 | 21020.02 | 25987.34 | 31252.59 | 38432.70 |
| 2024-02-25 | 19384.13 | 12282.50 | 13465.41 | 14612.76 | 16593.14 | 23425.91 | 27819.67 | 31151.70 | 35651.45 |
| 2024-03-03 | 20685.40 | 14283.38 | 14898.80 | 16005.81 | 18082.29 | 24008.98 | 28638.92 | 31466.79 | 36441.70 |
| 2024-03-10 | 22678.70 | 15963.24 | 16609.32 | 17960.92 | 19824.63 | 26530.68 | 30325.61 | 32773.26 | 37342.32 |
| 2024-03-17 | 24702.78 | 17839.24 | 18824.32 | 20006.08 | 21964.07 | 28563.42 | 32876.36 | 37936.38 | 40060.23 |
| 2024-03-24 | 24619.26 | 17493.12 | 18648.12 | 19674.99 | 22005.84 | 28303.49 | 33705.35 | 37017.86 | 42902.74 |
| 2024-03-31 | 26736.13 | 20065.92 | 20982.03 | 21936.52 | 23919.74 | 30256.43 | 34237.63 | 37675.63 | 39948.21 |
| 2024-04-07 | 28987.11 | 21014.53 | 21772.60 | 22992.52 | 25025.36 | 33017.04 | 37231.82 | 39912.04 | 42354.13 |
| 2024-04-14 | 28890.49 | 20889.76 | 21703.32 | 22804.61 | 25583.02 | 32780.64 | 38714.07 | 42070.55 | 48068.01 |
| 2024-04-21 | 26548.25 | 19864.13 | 20466.92 | 21651.18 | 23695.28 | 30905.04 | 36029.10 | 39377.19 | 42677.20 |
| 2024-04-28 | 27186.51 | 18953.32 | 19980.50 | 21437.77 | 23824.32 | 31343.97 | 36625.07 | 39705.16 | 42476.16 |
| 2024-05-05 | 25688.94 | 18538.63 | 19234.54 | 20478.92 | 22565.08 | 30368.86 | 36071.49 | 40983.27 | 46980.21 |
| 2024-05-12 | 23083.99 | 15823.62 | 16790.40 | 17742.87 | 20089.79 | 27176.26 | 31257.97 | 33117.23 | 36415.57 |
| 2024-05-19 | 16449.28 | 10673.32 | 11506.14 | 12279.22 | 14012.11 | 19471.71 | 22993.48 | 25438.62 | 30092.77 |
| 2024-05-26 | 12765.90 | 8732.44 | 9166.42 | 9699.87 | 10894.90 | 15380.03 | 18950.58 | 21730.37 | 25362.58 |
| 2024-06-02 | 10474.04 | 7016.60 | 7265.32 | 7607.16 | 8801.98 | 12601.56 | 15496.20 | 17888.23 | 21514.75 |
| 2024-06-09 | 7905.61 | 5296.25 | 5566.41 | 5942.04 | 6825.38 | 9602.70 | 11440.86 | 13374.74 | 15057.71 |
| 2024-06-16 | 6588.13 | 4173.76 | 4451.52 | 4840.12 | 5436.81 | 7993.73 | 10227.60 | 11604.16 | 13407.56 |
| 2024-06-23 | 5054.21 | 3074.63 | 3234.41 | 3607.38 | 4149.03 | 6383.67 | 7902.40 | 10076.61 | 12650.90 |
| 2024-06-30 | 3880.99 | 2225.31 | 2418.22 | 2620.70 | 3098.68 | 4851.03 | 6504.77 | 8136.06 | 9119.92 |
| 2024-07-07 | 2878.90 | 1644.62 | 1772.83 | 1947.91 | 2320.39 | 3682.62 | 5056.89 | 6340.01 | 8594.22 |
| 2024-07-14 | 2354.40 | 1443.06 | 1594.75 | 1698.53 | 1967.37 | 3030.18 | 4113.28 | 5157.86 | 6165.49 |
| 2024-07-21 | 2105.36 | 1256.44 | 1349.59 | 1476.20 | 1732.53 | 2719.06 | 3576.56 | 4564.35 | 5196.00 |
| 2024-07-28 | 1706.22 | 969.69 | 1014.99 | 1114.53 | 1348.85 | 2198.24 | 2956.25 | 3876.17 | 5130.36 |
| 2024-08-04 | 1593.53 | 876.28 | 978.87 | 1108.37 | 1316.57 | 2124.18 | 2889.62 | 3696.65 | 4708.12 |
| 2024-08-11 | 1524.99 | 817.65 | 912.83 | 1007.23 | 1210.65 | 1972.24 | 2818.49 | 3423.14 | 4106.06 |
| 2024-08-18 | 1176.98 | 664.95 | 712.12 | 802.99 | 949.34 | 1539.91 | 2083.82 | 2726.50 | 3091.32 |
| 2024-08-25 | 1115.63 | 631.95 | 685.85 | 763.64 | 891.15 | 1492.92 | 1953.02 | 2283.71 | 3184.26 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1152.76 | 664.77 | 719.39 | 786.75 | 920.91 | 1480.03 | 1965.84 | 2258.71 | 2675.62 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1169.39 | 639.85 | 681.07 | 763.51 | 933.99 | 1625.08 | 2307.95 | 3089.84 | 3647.98 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1274.06 | 703.12 | 761.91 | 820.99 | 989.81 | 1670.13 | 2191.69 | 2742.32 | 3122.26 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1132.57 | 625.38 | 671.80 | 752.69 | 901.53 | 1408.57 | 1851.40 | 2263.44 | 2764.97 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1195.48 | 663.73 | 714.77 | 787.95 | 972.69 | 1518.08 | 1902.31 | 2303.76 | 2671.32 |
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