Prediction 3697

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in MG


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 641.49 402.32 429.07 466.62 533.57 765.26 950.34 1096.08 1293.14
2024-10-13 776.31 482.63 534.17 569.90 653.89 948.02 1182.66 1386.68 1717.59
2024-10-20 643.12 423.62 440.30 478.45 546.92 794.69 988.29 1150.65 1271.87
2024-10-27 619.72 399.12 418.74 454.65 519.47 735.92 975.68 1078.87 1241.18
2024-11-03 733.46 478.07 508.29 550.66 632.63 925.20 1135.50 1325.09 1704.67
2024-11-10 692.21 469.00 500.04 533.56 604.95 826.21 998.78 1114.01 1261.76
2024-11-17 779.24 518.82 549.36 576.60 660.70 920.39 1187.24 1395.17 1781.70
2024-11-24 926.55 627.60 651.31 697.15 793.41 1147.33 1396.39 1595.64 1904.83
2024-12-01 1056.64 720.31 764.01 801.01 907.53 1223.58 1520.57 1731.23 1951.51
2024-12-08 1406.49 917.90 962.72 1039.34 1181.50 1699.46 2051.80 2306.77 2807.22
2024-12-15 1229.80 752.22 808.34 874.60 1004.56 1522.49 2020.37 2317.15 2705.86
2024-12-22 1112.16 660.88 703.53 780.70 920.53 1388.73 1835.46 2363.68 2836.39
2024-12-29 2238.03 1357.34 1466.41 1565.93 1855.97 2811.97 3399.41 4047.51 5257.64
2025-01-05 2960.17 1888.01 2010.20 2201.62 2534.38 3655.53 4427.57 5015.21 5790.17
2025-01-12 4500.44 2663.83 2802.99 3001.73 3632.23 5548.85 7212.45 8179.98 8993.60
2025-01-19 5661.41 3542.20 3728.77 3992.34 4608.98 7003.72 9150.86 11299.20 13595.52
2025-01-26 6229.82 3724.70 3984.15 4403.20 5245.20 7484.10 9668.57 11228.73 13147.36
2025-02-02 7647.87 4469.83 4813.80 5451.50 6468.67 9549.36 12185.84 15156.65 18370.52
2025-02-09 8674.12 5390.48 5749.71 6224.35 7139.83 10891.06 13292.73 15977.09 19280.82
2025-02-16 8605.31 5612.09 5982.53 6450.95 7292.30 10688.05 13639.97 16584.94 19323.18
2025-02-23 10111.10 6305.90 6725.38 7334.95 8417.35 11812.06 15530.26 18368.67 22374.19
2025-03-02 10043.07 6749.66 7103.08 7476.99 8568.58 12283.79 15107.70 17673.92 21275.90
2025-03-09 10869.44 7311.96 7666.56 8128.63 9220.03 13385.31 16747.70 19058.67 22510.94
2025-03-16 9458.24 6036.61 6308.99 6849.94 8156.04 11369.43 14751.83 17351.67 19728.31
2025-03-23 10166.77 6550.81 7038.05 7658.94 8618.09 12838.01 16144.00 18820.04 22742.92
2025-03-30 10666.91 7142.87 7518.02 7959.55 9101.58 13164.69 16329.25 19452.51 23221.93
2025-04-06 11401.25 7535.31 7906.78 8612.51 9777.85 13683.76 17395.80 19924.76 24637.64
2025-04-13 11843.71 8043.99 8468.81 9154.06 10205.32 14201.45 17177.02 21115.26 24096.14
2025-04-20 10123.82 7320.63 7637.01 7844.34 8814.07 12265.92 14720.11 18442.48 21391.55
2025-04-27 9459.68 6047.08 6579.29 7114.01 7982.89 11334.52 13894.13 15889.30 20176.79
2025-05-04 8872.49 5987.62 6218.10 6698.15 7611.35 10676.45 12656.03 14393.93 15990.76
2025-05-11 7407.97 4977.46 5230.88 5506.38 6265.32 8827.45 10248.98 11780.80 13642.18
2025-05-18 5217.01 3450.90 3653.52 3864.06 4383.79 6434.17 7987.51 9709.24 12254.54
2025-05-25 4077.29 2771.48 2913.95 3086.01 3568.97 4918.93 6270.37 7414.10 8762.65
2025-06-01 3461.65 2376.06 2461.89 2608.14 2945.68 4167.20 5201.24 6174.57 6884.11
2025-06-08 2960.20 1917.79 2050.94 2171.80 2516.16 3587.89 4308.70 5210.64 6078.93
2025-06-15 2502.43 1640.43 1738.05 1877.00 2152.55 3120.93 3711.69 4291.72 5418.31
2025-06-22 1997.59 1312.03 1373.01 1465.41 1697.29 2403.33 3137.19 3634.58 4159.98
2025-06-29 1665.79 1024.89 1095.49 1174.30 1397.58 1973.61 2413.44 2646.86 2989.65
2025-07-06 1471.13 957.19 1005.85 1083.48 1219.74 1870.42 2322.38 2739.54 3453.85
2025-07-13 1153.73 727.04 788.30 844.00 981.34 1384.11 1746.47 2024.12 2287.60
2025-07-20 1090.32 703.54 746.84 801.04 917.64 1351.02 1593.39 1858.43 2216.13
2025-07-27 882.38 549.03 610.74 640.95 732.09 1077.50 1300.24 1568.17 1827.29
2025-08-03 747.76 479.89 514.99 548.40 624.53 911.69 1142.62 1354.12 1603.72
2025-08-10 820.88 514.44 551.76 590.39 689.70 1023.05 1347.57 1587.74 1901.66
2025-08-17 721.90 437.10 467.01 504.03 583.39 912.61 1257.23 1517.10 1974.60
2025-08-24 665.43 383.34 413.54 456.98 540.56 851.83 1135.38 1348.92 1686.78
2025-08-31 661.05 384.52 411.17 446.56 530.14 846.35 1087.08 1333.03 1577.60
2025-09-07 659.25 384.94 415.79 456.61 533.36 845.34 1154.07 1369.06 1587.88
2025-09-14 663.74 382.62 416.06 462.43 547.36 844.00 1112.42 1293.39 2010.69
2025-09-21 733.82 414.32 454.29 496.39 591.32 937.64 1202.79 1594.42 1951.49
2025-09-28 673.65 402.05 427.35 466.02 562.34 859.21 1183.19 1535.34 1691.33
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