Prediction 3698

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RJ


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 52.51 8.95 11.19 14.94 24.80 107.69 254.04 443.65 896.66
2022-10-16 82.28 11.79 15.83 22.23 39.46 187.30 398.35 801.90 1262.45
2022-10-23 59.12 7.05 9.50 15.70 30.71 131.80 278.18 520.70 867.14
2022-10-30 51.87 9.03 13.03 17.13 28.01 99.55 210.26 331.52 436.35
2022-11-06 44.87 7.86 10.30 14.53 26.15 78.03 139.39 224.48 325.63
2022-11-13 53.48 10.98 13.87 19.48 30.53 96.47 161.03 293.57 443.84
2022-11-20 121.73 15.73 22.61 32.14 54.85 233.54 548.80 890.54 1691.68
2022-11-27 74.38 16.05 19.59 28.54 44.62 126.68 235.07 364.14 496.67
2022-12-04 89.59 19.21 24.78 30.63 49.97 167.76 275.95 439.82 598.05
2022-12-11 133.80 23.28 31.90 43.50 72.88 265.76 567.41 892.47 1429.40
2022-12-18 102.10 20.34 25.05 32.21 49.86 215.56 451.81 883.15 1340.94
2022-12-25 86.11 12.20 16.64 23.08 44.62 204.29 426.35 673.04 1138.48
2023-01-01 192.98 37.27 41.86 61.23 105.35 363.12 685.28 1081.31 1798.84
2023-01-08 247.89 52.95 65.00 84.76 137.07 451.81 863.90 1384.05 1829.64
2023-01-15 301.10 54.89 71.94 90.91 149.80 580.44 1197.58 1678.51 2691.79
2023-01-22 360.21 55.46 84.69 121.44 209.29 683.03 1476.62 2347.26 4005.46
2023-01-29 488.15 86.23 108.21 144.81 249.11 1057.80 2020.50 3136.18 5822.39
2023-02-05 741.60 118.83 155.63 234.31 374.43 1563.73 3303.09 6050.88 10282.37
2023-02-12 767.11 152.85 188.52 257.95 416.69 1535.58 3506.95 5257.82 7025.14
2023-02-19 925.24 182.84 224.36 298.54 504.53 1717.83 4003.62 6348.18 8606.93
2023-02-26 1024.79 213.86 282.41 338.45 560.22 2027.40 3865.47 6091.83 8254.24
2023-03-05 1234.20 231.75 301.20 380.95 675.94 2332.43 3914.90 6526.12 8270.09
2023-03-12 1844.79 362.65 513.52 659.61 1018.11 3503.74 6670.50 10593.94 13304.77
2023-03-19 2118.76 502.92 623.61 788.60 1251.24 3680.72 6334.68 8802.85 13104.78
2023-03-26 2596.83 557.51 679.89 984.89 1610.14 4543.13 9370.94 15360.77 19934.71
2023-04-02 3792.76 871.90 1052.90 1253.88 1971.02 6620.82 12005.92 18590.08 23966.52
2023-04-09 3591.90 824.66 1018.42 1400.38 2136.89 6248.32 11270.57 15751.42 22522.80
2023-04-16 4035.52 1072.91 1239.80 1629.71 2376.29 6786.96 12179.13 18469.31 25918.86
2023-04-23 4674.70 976.20 1279.22 1769.97 2660.23 8681.94 17295.21 23360.42 34801.41
2023-04-30 4816.81 1021.99 1204.68 1656.65 2707.76 8301.03 14043.73 18917.98 28163.60
2023-05-07 4555.70 1234.64 1431.59 1758.60 2789.41 8446.26 14612.76 20433.91 30809.32
2023-05-14 3408.85 773.11 973.41 1221.63 1834.32 5569.19 10397.53 14700.11 20503.23
2023-05-21 2564.49 569.83 658.90 849.32 1564.06 4810.47 10088.22 17201.83 25806.54
2023-05-28 2115.35 464.85 581.52 751.16 1203.88 3714.50 6265.24 8565.74 12709.15
2023-06-04 1555.50 344.29 453.78 578.65 936.89 2862.99 5611.97 7575.31 10608.22
2023-06-11 1192.51 270.22 334.77 460.88 734.79 2090.31 4031.87 6270.41 7762.12
2023-06-18 680.92 146.49 184.56 254.73 394.37 1128.69 1914.64 3013.17 4824.30
2023-06-25 491.08 129.04 146.16 197.19 303.63 969.56 1674.10 2371.29 4302.69
2023-07-02 417.08 84.82 113.81 141.34 247.05 762.34 1350.41 2058.64 3128.15
2023-07-09 257.08 58.40 74.49 95.78 148.42 459.72 826.74 1244.88 1690.85
2023-07-16 170.64 37.14 44.92 61.61 96.26 306.43 545.99 835.89 1056.37
2023-07-23 145.79 32.11 38.73 56.80 89.12 258.36 478.62 705.06 1512.57
2023-07-30 109.39 22.42 26.61 38.71 62.30 212.68 451.61 639.63 847.56
2023-08-06 77.65 15.62 20.52 25.42 45.09 162.10 310.86 441.50 695.54
2023-08-13 74.98 14.29 19.68 26.47 42.80 148.38 286.19 427.71 656.45
2023-08-20 63.43 13.11 15.98 21.26 34.90 127.05 246.07 424.98 640.32
2023-08-27 57.42 12.21 15.97 20.91 33.11 112.32 211.19 294.75 398.73
2023-09-03 64.23 11.37 15.23 20.98 34.13 117.54 260.03 453.30 676.44
2023-09-10 72.37 14.78 18.06 22.29 39.09 137.63 285.67 589.22 1107.63
2023-09-17 60.52 12.57 15.35 19.54 32.53 120.55 230.55 411.19 585.15
2023-09-24 65.37 13.02 16.98 22.86 37.65 133.08 277.47 456.29 695.27
2023-10-01 64.29 12.87 16.40 22.34 37.10 116.88 236.56 379.47 556.81
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