Prediction 3700

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RJ


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 88.52 37.92 43.61 49.28 65.25 138.24 192.92 226.23 274.02
2024-10-13 111.20 42.98 50.50 58.91 79.47 161.00 238.36 277.42 376.66
2024-10-20 100.19 35.43 41.61 51.56 69.43 143.24 204.74 267.87 345.93
2024-10-27 93.77 37.63 41.80 48.75 68.39 137.84 188.94 250.14 338.84
2024-11-03 108.51 39.61 43.91 54.38 74.82 162.74 247.48 311.54 459.10
2024-11-10 113.45 46.13 52.46 62.99 80.01 160.25 230.87 276.01 341.19
2024-11-17 122.04 46.61 52.48 62.79 88.98 168.64 236.90 318.97 418.61
2024-11-24 148.97 52.59 61.64 75.70 107.28 222.33 347.23 451.61 561.77
2024-12-01 170.88 67.55 72.91 83.99 123.33 235.53 315.29 379.86 524.95
2024-12-08 201.84 78.31 88.93 109.63 141.14 286.22 399.69 502.23 656.67
2024-12-15 192.64 65.72 77.25 94.08 129.90 279.21 421.30 537.60 650.63
2024-12-22 167.33 54.86 69.31 84.95 113.87 247.32 383.95 519.10 687.03
2024-12-29 308.80 111.24 133.22 161.09 221.75 448.48 679.59 989.99 1176.45
2025-01-05 445.67 161.90 183.50 228.32 324.93 658.02 981.03 1203.87 1508.78
2025-01-12 612.45 200.15 231.04 291.19 416.84 950.30 1424.86 1827.34 2447.63
2025-01-19 844.78 283.21 331.56 416.65 562.44 1248.61 1834.01 2441.43 2864.33
2025-01-26 906.29 318.84 379.40 455.72 632.64 1322.01 1876.46 2466.71 3151.77
2025-02-02 1096.17 382.99 416.75 517.89 743.91 1643.93 2390.41 3029.24 3757.95
2025-02-09 1234.96 469.25 554.39 681.23 895.97 1800.04 2603.82 3398.49 4408.06
2025-02-16 1241.74 466.03 554.63 632.87 888.23 1769.48 2670.86 3281.39 3926.71
2025-02-23 1351.62 541.86 644.02 743.01 1010.17 1875.97 2592.80 3186.18 4074.81
2025-03-02 1333.00 535.32 627.08 728.10 1006.61 1791.25 2473.10 3337.36 3947.41
2025-03-09 1428.61 651.53 734.61 853.93 1051.72 1962.10 2699.31 3264.73 3965.87
2025-03-16 1270.97 553.74 640.06 739.98 968.76 1740.52 2375.42 2964.27 3417.60
2025-03-23 1358.70 537.01 628.54 725.50 995.67 1850.24 2394.02 2977.75 3463.20
2025-03-30 1435.71 569.93 661.03 767.85 1028.37 1925.27 2582.04 3065.86 3649.56
2025-04-06 1419.04 591.88 677.24 786.45 1071.77 1969.73 2571.54 3285.86 3832.64
2025-04-13 1463.35 670.66 716.82 828.40 1122.22 1918.39 2567.57 3198.53 3591.77
2025-04-20 1276.97 576.75 684.01 793.05 991.54 1671.99 2200.75 2839.80 3162.14
2025-04-27 1180.33 556.60 629.12 709.73 910.25 1620.51 2263.31 2655.84 3022.96
2025-05-04 1118.76 498.85 566.86 637.63 837.56 1406.04 1824.86 2265.17 2741.41
2025-05-11 930.14 449.10 511.44 568.23 709.60 1198.65 1522.37 1832.10 2150.89
2025-05-18 621.94 279.16 314.47 364.04 478.88 869.85 1224.03 1454.99 1905.80
2025-05-25 507.05 224.71 257.65 293.74 383.04 679.04 893.15 1085.67 1258.71
2025-06-01 415.58 187.93 211.00 236.58 310.66 572.91 798.19 965.32 1133.70
2025-06-08 362.54 153.57 175.53 206.26 278.14 487.37 655.45 820.90 951.32
2025-06-15 330.06 145.52 160.94 185.55 244.17 457.92 614.64 710.13 843.73
2025-06-22 255.01 116.61 124.88 150.71 194.12 367.78 496.41 624.32 816.07
2025-06-29 219.57 95.03 105.98 123.37 163.98 316.97 436.41 606.79 828.09
2025-07-06 190.11 71.65 80.82 96.07 131.77 276.42 407.00 479.94 660.28
2025-07-13 151.37 60.61 68.92 83.84 108.75 213.89 306.17 383.09 450.83
2025-07-20 143.01 54.87 63.18 80.14 100.93 203.58 325.02 409.72 476.95
2025-07-27 120.55 42.32 49.38 58.15 81.12 171.70 242.95 349.08 435.77
2025-08-03 112.26 37.29 43.44 51.74 71.51 174.32 249.92 369.27 552.25
2025-08-10 109.99 37.61 43.43 49.31 69.62 163.16 259.26 347.20 425.45
2025-08-17 90.45 28.82 36.55 45.26 61.56 139.88 225.36 320.96 432.76
2025-08-24 83.85 28.27 32.79 39.26 54.76 124.28 189.95 251.16 323.48
2025-08-31 78.91 25.97 32.20 39.32 56.68 121.99 185.83 286.71 408.46
2025-09-07 82.57 26.71 31.26 37.58 55.47 132.32 211.38 281.88 415.72
2025-09-14 86.22 25.92 31.26 37.20 56.84 138.52 229.79 318.53 440.73
2025-09-21 92.01 28.42 34.61 44.22 58.41 147.72 238.78 386.20 505.54
2025-09-28 91.01 27.15 32.59 41.14 59.03 140.07 233.99 312.95 486.40
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