Prediction 3701

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in ES


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 7.76 0.45 0.74 1.26 2.99 18.80 47.89 83.11 135.06
2022-10-16 10.97 0.81 1.31 2.13 4.61 26.85 70.12 123.50 193.78
2022-10-23 9.61 0.56 0.84 1.30 3.65 23.16 56.25 115.89 162.71
2022-10-30 8.89 0.71 1.06 1.76 3.74 22.58 52.19 95.67 151.48
2022-11-06 7.18 0.75 1.10 1.73 3.43 15.88 38.98 60.30 81.50
2022-11-13 8.83 0.80 1.16 2.07 3.78 19.40 44.71 85.65 135.11
2022-11-20 13.90 0.93 1.63 2.47 5.56 37.02 90.03 178.87 311.43
2022-11-27 11.46 1.45 2.04 2.95 5.58 27.04 52.21 84.76 120.76
2022-12-04 13.93 1.50 2.04 3.33 6.31 28.52 57.56 125.77 172.14
2022-12-11 23.53 1.84 2.68 4.95 10.64 57.77 123.50 205.01 298.68
2022-12-18 16.26 1.82 2.60 3.52 6.51 40.22 100.93 182.79 272.66
2022-12-25 13.34 0.89 1.31 2.09 4.91 36.10 89.88 164.63 291.57
2023-01-01 26.31 3.58 4.68 6.59 12.06 59.64 146.02 251.04 393.86
2023-01-08 34.97 3.83 5.08 7.94 15.67 93.61 199.26 311.15 493.35
2023-01-15 39.02 3.61 5.46 7.76 16.45 96.15 226.44 353.28 496.96
2023-01-22 66.87 5.88 9.22 13.74 26.42 147.04 335.87 522.42 944.26
2023-01-29 81.84 7.21 8.75 13.54 30.23 210.42 582.34 961.59 1450.50
2023-02-05 109.90 10.81 15.25 23.47 52.53 253.68 533.21 876.86 1517.20
2023-02-12 105.50 12.98 17.03 24.58 48.05 250.74 557.82 967.15 1626.28
2023-02-19 161.41 15.62 20.08 30.47 69.39 378.16 771.46 1205.48 1759.58
2023-02-26 153.51 20.38 27.65 40.96 70.88 380.17 846.73 1713.95 3317.37
2023-03-05 205.88 25.25 33.05 53.19 105.75 529.92 1160.49 1685.45 2864.43
2023-03-12 252.01 27.22 40.90 59.59 117.12 613.49 1261.11 2528.92 3334.16
2023-03-19 358.79 43.33 65.42 98.02 177.50 794.86 1664.09 3265.82 4338.48
2023-03-26 489.66 57.36 94.70 125.83 245.69 1062.45 2366.02 3800.73 8465.50
2023-04-02 574.23 81.23 105.39 151.41 288.13 1281.20 2749.52 4601.34 8325.05
2023-04-09 619.26 99.32 118.81 172.14 326.15 1422.66 2659.01 4066.29 6657.98
2023-04-16 743.87 102.34 160.78 211.48 394.29 1477.12 3186.09 5165.73 8140.98
2023-04-23 764.23 105.04 141.42 203.67 400.96 1767.66 4175.87 6879.86 10272.80
2023-04-30 762.44 112.91 142.48 214.48 389.27 1688.76 3538.52 5710.10 8042.56
2023-05-07 742.68 90.72 153.42 220.53 377.59 1797.50 3476.06 5397.52 9197.60
2023-05-14 539.33 94.39 128.25 167.82 280.50 1059.44 2121.06 3610.09 5574.12
2023-05-21 408.84 48.19 69.51 106.29 215.36 871.73 1727.47 2667.90 5345.49
2023-05-28 297.04 48.03 58.15 83.45 164.28 715.05 1538.60 2552.44 4129.73
2023-06-04 252.84 32.80 44.73 68.12 133.87 563.97 1274.00 2218.07 3316.47
2023-06-11 190.72 26.29 36.20 50.05 86.19 387.22 765.83 1266.71 2384.19
2023-06-18 124.31 13.71 17.39 29.96 59.85 226.17 461.24 744.94 1005.95
2023-06-25 86.35 11.45 17.29 24.56 41.62 202.40 412.80 687.54 1321.85
2023-07-02 54.10 8.90 10.89 14.83 27.32 132.90 290.76 485.96 787.10
2023-07-09 44.15 5.41 7.52 10.16 20.98 93.69 200.54 307.30 380.73
2023-07-16 25.05 3.50 4.67 6.56 12.90 49.00 113.82 167.61 264.09
2023-07-23 26.28 2.71 3.76 5.66 11.54 53.66 114.33 196.12 284.81
2023-07-30 17.32 2.38 2.95 4.91 8.88 38.95 74.51 134.44 227.91
2023-08-06 13.50 1.71 2.06 3.14 6.08 31.69 69.08 123.61 171.89
2023-08-13 11.49 1.04 1.51 2.38 5.19 26.86 69.62 143.22 293.53
2023-08-20 10.64 1.05 1.40 2.54 4.89 22.58 47.06 74.93 130.64
2023-08-27 7.93 0.86 1.22 2.02 3.70 18.78 48.87 72.22 130.10
2023-09-03 8.77 0.78 1.23 1.71 3.72 20.43 54.85 88.72 204.31
2023-09-10 12.62 1.23 1.94 3.20 6.05 25.93 64.88 104.08 140.02
2023-09-17 9.01 0.74 1.30 1.99 4.09 21.99 54.17 88.67 152.11
2023-09-24 11.06 1.14 1.70 2.50 5.32 26.17 64.45 101.37 157.11
2023-10-01 10.12 1.12 1.54 2.23 4.55 25.64 52.43 105.07 158.66
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