Prediction 3702

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in ES


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 133.47 32.20 39.56 50.97 81.52 222.72 414.41 584.09 819.73
2023-10-15 107.84 25.01 30.59 42.24 64.00 166.14 294.99 376.68 512.78
2023-10-22 126.21 33.25 41.24 53.25 77.75 217.76 355.71 509.20 700.82
2023-10-29 153.62 39.97 47.09 59.97 97.83 236.84 393.98 600.66 675.38
2023-11-05 173.29 42.62 57.38 69.35 105.37 292.41 477.26 624.32 776.21
2023-11-12 208.83 63.72 78.23 92.87 135.44 323.75 487.68 709.52 895.43
2023-11-19 188.92 52.76 72.11 87.47 122.78 289.47 460.81 616.53 794.61
2023-11-26 205.37 48.73 63.78 81.51 126.62 339.09 511.47 735.07 926.28
2023-12-03 253.37 66.78 84.53 109.64 155.29 404.28 656.21 852.69 1048.00
2023-12-10 261.09 71.08 80.93 105.58 160.13 419.90 739.10 960.20 1201.78
2023-12-17 232.99 49.69 73.06 93.46 141.87 421.19 685.30 907.00 1201.53
2023-12-24 225.92 55.57 66.72 84.01 131.31 373.64 662.30 935.40 1347.59
2023-12-31 643.77 137.49 182.88 234.82 394.07 1167.68 2141.72 3432.23 4140.05
2024-01-07 792.24 176.03 233.22 310.65 504.72 1521.17 2770.45 4211.16 6327.60
2024-01-14 1179.39 276.59 343.51 461.28 693.91 2109.67 4032.03 5369.70 7624.92
2024-01-21 1368.89 311.78 433.00 525.01 845.36 2503.18 4175.85 5373.36 7203.44
2024-01-28 1383.62 420.08 505.78 619.86 897.18 2199.74 3841.21 4980.06 7033.48
2024-02-04 1954.92 504.27 577.31 728.16 1198.70 2957.03 4575.50 6639.23 8294.13
2024-02-11 1828.98 528.43 616.28 752.65 1167.09 2958.71 4756.10 6599.56 7796.67
2024-02-18 1569.63 592.69 658.68 764.98 1068.50 2203.49 3210.90 4204.88 5303.54
2024-02-25 1698.16 673.77 760.59 937.42 1217.96 2460.02 3401.07 4361.14 5926.94
2024-03-03 1723.10 741.72 822.83 984.02 1273.80 2434.03 3359.30 4046.10 4701.39
2024-03-10 1724.00 719.39 887.87 1012.77 1309.51 2340.37 3104.28 3667.15 4292.71
2024-03-17 1379.67 589.41 667.92 764.04 983.48 1798.53 2424.45 2963.63 3504.43
2024-03-24 1289.59 548.29 631.21 727.85 946.55 1727.54 2383.39 3055.38 3574.46
2024-03-31 1484.72 609.18 704.29 797.32 1078.57 2032.79 2765.01 3123.56 4174.50
2024-04-07 1434.72 589.34 629.38 728.31 992.88 2139.32 2891.70 3519.34 4102.20
2024-04-14 1604.02 607.50 711.60 845.44 1144.95 2303.00 3514.82 4271.61 5121.74
2024-04-21 1395.89 481.16 558.75 675.20 979.19 2013.62 2607.19 3376.51 4376.48
2024-04-28 1186.55 476.73 544.43 627.27 834.99 1716.37 2536.98 3110.89 3746.95
2024-05-05 1027.28 413.49 453.93 517.18 743.81 1602.90 2264.52 2675.29 3267.73
2024-05-12 970.32 367.38 405.00 503.79 666.51 1389.74 1960.10 2464.52 3730.05
2024-05-19 654.60 231.48 286.70 328.72 437.28 1047.18 1495.56 1949.48 2671.57
2024-05-26 646.81 164.15 219.07 278.90 427.31 1027.48 1525.51 2117.03 2906.29
2024-06-02 455.93 138.78 165.44 198.27 304.25 674.08 1112.31 1489.07 2366.38
2024-06-09 380.72 133.15 151.70 189.41 267.13 575.10 909.80 1197.91 1949.69
2024-06-16 335.60 100.10 111.66 136.05 211.90 553.37 906.18 1290.41 1650.97
2024-06-23 242.47 76.20 88.25 103.77 155.48 398.67 617.52 804.19 1059.52
2024-06-30 224.19 47.28 61.25 82.85 129.91 406.91 702.36 957.30 1210.67
2024-07-07 172.08 46.21 51.97 66.60 101.31 296.71 495.61 709.16 1019.96
2024-07-14 191.77 56.00 71.65 83.48 122.03 317.20 479.69 588.63 738.56
2024-07-21 149.19 37.86 48.32 60.74 91.07 244.48 401.68 562.56 931.98
2024-07-28 113.53 26.46 34.19 43.59 68.18 182.08 309.30 462.64 570.56
2024-08-04 95.77 23.14 30.15 41.36 58.31 168.60 289.31 398.65 438.46
2024-08-11 86.39 20.06 27.32 33.30 51.50 135.60 224.59 284.51 324.35
2024-08-18 81.34 20.89 25.17 32.92 50.11 142.13 217.92 304.58 368.52
2024-08-25 74.44 17.91 20.82 27.69 41.93 125.46 213.50 280.47 365.23
2024-09-01 84.02 17.46 21.41 26.89 45.83 152.77 259.05 397.36 570.55
2024-09-08 59.53 12.46 15.88 19.92 30.77 106.74 195.99 292.14 395.11
2024-09-15 62.99 15.19 17.33 23.20 37.88 120.41 198.90 306.95 389.08
2024-09-22 73.56 17.79 21.84 27.97 43.76 111.81 177.62 251.33 333.83
2024-09-29 56.70 14.95 18.72 23.57 35.57 97.12 158.49 229.86 338.86
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