Prediction 3703

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in ES


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 80.02 21.21 24.87 31.93 48.68 134.74 226.31 314.28 373.83
2024-10-13 91.16 27.21 32.01 39.08 57.34 156.76 236.57 289.87 377.56
2024-10-20 80.26 24.55 28.56 35.42 51.68 121.19 198.79 282.77 372.88
2024-10-27 86.81 25.77 30.89 37.33 55.91 135.52 223.62 297.98 366.40
2024-11-03 103.46 30.15 35.50 44.58 69.10 166.59 237.95 300.96 403.70
2024-11-10 115.08 35.95 41.09 53.38 76.10 170.77 258.52 318.95 378.31
2024-11-17 117.92 36.72 42.25 56.65 75.54 186.56 297.74 367.06 413.97
2024-11-24 146.52 50.37 57.25 67.30 93.78 204.56 314.17 394.14 494.06
2024-12-01 158.23 46.49 53.74 70.85 101.19 259.10 377.80 479.42 550.76
2024-12-08 214.56 63.04 79.38 95.83 145.28 329.57 502.20 643.14 777.65
2024-12-15 182.56 49.52 61.60 80.08 120.45 291.11 426.14 590.25 767.20
2024-12-22 155.51 46.07 60.70 74.72 105.60 248.18 398.59 543.61 684.32
2024-12-29 354.98 116.52 133.96 167.15 238.06 560.30 876.96 1068.21 1281.40
2025-01-05 531.68 170.46 208.40 265.67 359.46 784.88 1205.30 1658.59 2068.42
2025-01-12 755.87 244.16 293.07 356.28 521.54 1155.72 1781.40 2733.99 4029.29
2025-01-19 1046.93 364.59 425.25 510.94 708.81 1641.80 2335.09 3082.20 3754.61
2025-01-26 1325.18 412.17 467.69 557.47 834.82 1979.27 2913.03 3782.80 4966.03
2025-02-02 1594.55 519.10 606.66 763.18 1071.73 2460.98 3630.26 4620.23 5710.46
2025-02-09 1769.17 663.22 756.48 938.86 1290.15 2546.79 3680.25 4439.95 5543.39
2025-02-16 1585.42 662.86 774.05 904.42 1185.81 2250.48 3148.81 4068.64 4707.76
2025-02-23 1772.62 793.38 896.61 1036.36 1311.06 2462.49 3277.05 3694.41 4157.89
2025-03-02 1782.01 810.12 929.96 1058.49 1362.55 2518.04 3419.98 4100.81 5343.83
2025-03-09 1814.56 821.35 907.87 1074.69 1400.21 2508.91 3339.43 3973.20 4455.61
2025-03-16 1576.56 664.63 744.46 843.32 1113.79 2235.42 2831.41 3565.21 4340.86
2025-03-23 1525.16 560.07 750.16 858.93 1114.08 2099.50 3001.93 3600.18 4330.22
2025-03-30 1588.85 729.57 802.79 958.37 1213.59 2223.53 2983.18 3530.39 3997.86
2025-04-06 1575.67 689.21 770.20 884.95 1163.22 2201.00 3106.92 3569.64 4054.53
2025-04-13 1684.10 784.54 839.70 998.63 1275.87 2175.23 2936.54 3678.24 4270.80
2025-04-20 1515.55 609.55 766.73 853.62 1118.14 2012.26 2730.76 3457.13 3797.02
2025-04-27 1309.80 570.98 661.72 749.66 968.24 1710.75 2155.49 2684.88 3171.66
2025-05-04 1140.22 518.61 558.74 634.37 837.15 1569.49 2064.72 2350.34 2571.38
2025-05-11 1000.51 433.91 481.66 588.76 764.53 1311.93 1758.28 2192.77 2396.47
2025-05-18 707.94 308.75 338.43 389.30 523.30 927.25 1284.36 1490.47 1770.07
2025-05-25 539.96 222.52 251.17 299.52 391.52 731.63 966.67 1109.72 1283.17
2025-06-01 451.47 199.68 211.20 254.54 327.19 623.53 857.75 1056.66 1259.46
2025-06-08 356.86 168.83 185.24 215.22 277.24 508.80 689.79 825.85 1014.33
2025-06-15 342.96 137.83 150.74 181.21 250.52 502.91 696.48 869.47 958.23
2025-06-22 252.84 99.55 117.38 140.22 186.98 359.31 463.99 556.04 633.69
2025-06-29 220.71 76.51 91.85 111.04 153.39 307.14 454.13 562.10 700.37
2025-07-06 181.10 61.52 70.25 83.44 118.98 273.29 406.56 546.45 803.72
2025-07-13 150.78 54.20 59.73 75.05 106.10 226.97 328.53 416.58 483.79
2025-07-20 130.36 36.82 45.46 61.45 86.53 190.39 288.51 383.99 492.65
2025-07-27 113.21 32.04 41.52 49.04 74.79 168.82 276.23 345.77 463.55
2025-08-03 96.39 29.17 34.24 41.53 61.96 148.38 215.84 281.11 407.52
2025-08-10 94.80 29.11 34.70 42.35 60.73 164.71 250.27 312.23 393.60
2025-08-17 80.94 19.64 23.35 30.57 50.27 132.17 206.83 282.96 409.50
2025-08-24 69.02 17.64 21.03 28.15 41.76 113.26 190.37 278.10 364.48
2025-08-31 74.58 20.00 24.12 29.89 46.64 115.61 204.83 285.06 358.59
2025-09-07 63.76 18.89 22.20 28.44 38.41 109.66 191.99 275.13 363.35
2025-09-14 64.37 14.36 17.85 23.00 37.82 109.39 174.07 245.36 303.07
2025-09-21 72.19 17.21 21.98 28.35 45.17 124.24 218.37 295.47 391.32
2025-09-28 60.77 17.64 22.15 26.11 38.86 101.40 175.21 239.44 327.98
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