Prediction 3704

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in BA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 170.50 67.22 74.47 89.38 119.10 242.71 352.17 467.87 601.54
2022-10-16 185.06 74.78 85.71 98.21 128.41 263.22 394.91 499.27 697.62
2022-10-23 192.03 73.61 80.72 99.14 132.57 292.81 491.31 692.95 872.02
2022-10-30 155.16 69.42 74.59 87.72 117.03 228.60 314.64 417.23 562.48
2022-11-06 198.77 81.54 91.71 107.43 142.17 306.08 459.66 626.65 850.60
2022-11-13 177.15 78.74 87.75 97.13 127.26 261.43 372.42 515.39 754.04
2022-11-20 143.21 55.95 66.76 75.11 102.52 208.18 301.33 401.82 524.20
2022-11-27 135.20 51.71 58.57 70.30 94.20 200.87 291.70 425.44 585.40
2022-12-04 115.22 54.36 60.95 69.07 87.50 158.63 227.88 286.73 345.84
2022-12-11 140.64 52.68 61.61 72.24 97.93 217.51 326.86 452.38 593.12
2022-12-18 61.63 24.59 28.17 31.96 44.29 88.76 130.22 166.13 224.36
2022-12-25 46.27 15.57 18.75 22.24 30.38 66.58 97.60 143.73 197.25
2023-01-01 135.17 53.90 65.05 74.03 100.16 191.01 274.93 341.50 420.75
2023-01-08 190.42 83.13 97.44 111.88 142.69 272.93 383.34 465.50 653.14
2023-01-15 181.25 78.37 88.62 103.41 133.43 243.58 366.80 486.57 685.82
2023-01-22 222.84 97.62 111.65 128.65 167.28 315.62 482.83 621.76 756.26
2023-01-29 227.71 90.03 107.35 131.91 168.77 318.54 436.19 528.35 660.88
2023-02-05 291.27 120.90 136.28 158.26 206.74 419.69 606.05 766.89 994.04
2023-02-12 364.42 161.16 181.31 218.64 270.58 506.73 729.38 918.53 1191.50
2023-02-19 362.50 161.98 177.32 201.99 259.38 477.68 676.25 840.78 1052.92
2023-02-26 521.69 234.88 268.55 301.23 374.51 718.17 950.92 1169.89 1456.60
2023-03-05 612.62 262.84 293.52 347.56 446.00 838.63 1298.83 1744.35 2427.80
2023-03-12 704.25 337.97 376.55 438.55 537.86 1005.16 1373.03 1815.16 2188.39
2023-03-19 910.77 409.13 443.93 509.78 661.40 1248.98 1724.48 2258.29 2997.47
2023-03-26 861.61 371.15 441.38 507.71 643.67 1196.20 1744.37 2272.00 2837.92
2023-04-02 1088.04 453.71 506.27 627.01 785.55 1487.77 2243.75 2993.62 4083.46
2023-04-09 1254.01 543.66 617.73 694.28 900.40 1737.20 2426.14 2970.50 3470.00
2023-04-16 1439.92 660.36 716.42 826.85 1067.19 1963.89 2691.10 3436.78 4182.26
2023-04-23 1600.26 751.84 807.22 931.16 1219.24 2078.15 2928.86 3923.37 4483.69
2023-04-30 1796.83 906.64 977.76 1104.56 1371.36 2420.79 3096.40 4113.69 4994.77
2023-05-07 2181.42 1015.97 1113.60 1273.95 1684.09 2915.96 4233.69 5405.09 6541.59
2023-05-14 2165.82 908.94 1038.41 1226.96 1615.70 3000.20 4033.57 5044.86 7221.60
2023-05-21 2138.03 952.26 1080.91 1213.10 1590.70 3003.97 4189.41 5376.73 7557.07
2023-05-28 2256.38 987.47 1127.93 1293.92 1662.72 3173.39 4609.92 5744.96 7065.32
2023-06-04 1711.94 793.22 880.50 1017.47 1284.45 2391.68 3394.22 3972.97 5000.39
2023-06-11 1442.65 640.08 726.54 885.37 1080.75 2075.23 2844.55 3927.47 5066.67
2023-06-18 1260.67 600.75 655.14 747.90 962.09 1796.40 2427.07 2890.98 3846.80
2023-06-25 1007.66 467.68 548.48 621.42 787.54 1368.41 1756.15 2154.89 2572.83
2023-07-02 1013.06 500.53 551.38 610.83 767.90 1421.23 1952.87 2397.02 3287.02
2023-07-09 1041.59 466.63 515.59 592.54 757.23 1396.14 1956.48 2339.73 2836.33
2023-07-16 926.97 404.09 479.28 535.32 696.00 1250.19 1908.51 2460.25 3212.43
2023-07-23 686.01 304.81 342.85 400.47 506.86 952.36 1323.45 1608.58 1977.42
2023-07-30 644.97 282.07 325.09 372.37 475.45 909.29 1324.43 1719.51 2263.18
2023-08-06 622.75 262.52 291.52 345.19 452.96 888.21 1236.33 1460.99 2063.67
2023-08-13 573.58 233.97 266.67 304.91 406.67 815.96 1235.86 1507.39 2106.53
2023-08-20 486.32 209.51 241.35 273.15 346.77 705.32 1005.94 1226.18 1677.84
2023-08-27 430.79 146.69 185.96 231.98 314.60 636.04 857.68 1121.86 1532.94
2023-09-03 402.58 156.95 189.61 213.19 295.73 607.85 872.84 1137.45 1377.74
2023-09-10 301.00 123.23 136.76 169.74 212.75 439.04 645.28 942.51 1079.64
2023-09-17 287.88 111.57 135.09 151.88 206.78 430.39 606.10 740.20 945.02
2023-09-24 254.53 106.05 120.58 142.07 187.51 369.24 524.76 659.53 821.38
2023-10-01 312.04 124.78 140.80 152.32 207.62 441.05 635.18 871.92 1352.91
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