Prediction 3705

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in BA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 393.20 181.46 197.28 229.82 293.93 510.35 699.94 834.88 977.07
2023-10-15 339.27 169.12 189.37 220.82 268.68 439.37 554.78 650.27 793.86
2023-10-22 351.37 180.11 196.97 216.73 271.26 460.02 587.46 728.98 946.80
2023-10-29 396.76 195.88 212.31 245.23 302.84 527.63 671.83 957.07 1239.55
2023-11-05 324.21 155.59 172.58 200.38 251.64 417.88 528.59 616.15 944.28
2023-11-12 283.86 144.86 154.68 172.73 222.30 362.70 505.71 585.54 739.34
2023-11-19 275.92 135.28 148.62 168.75 212.56 367.37 461.14 555.41 650.80
2023-11-26 244.07 128.08 142.19 156.96 194.66 305.99 416.94 505.54 631.09
2023-12-03 278.30 145.43 164.73 179.19 221.72 357.86 519.45 624.12 711.61
2023-12-10 225.33 114.51 125.90 142.63 178.84 292.06 380.59 445.58 552.62
2023-12-17 153.08 67.80 80.51 97.00 117.80 203.87 268.30 360.10 425.29
2023-12-24 102.99 47.99 52.31 58.27 77.43 137.32 185.68 227.37 315.10
2023-12-31 281.14 146.26 159.28 173.67 223.90 375.57 484.21 590.34 765.31
2024-01-07 333.38 169.23 202.47 216.98 261.96 426.93 604.92 733.41 849.91
2024-01-14 389.16 205.09 226.17 250.63 302.82 539.19 736.49 913.14 1055.20
2024-01-21 525.36 260.75 286.76 327.61 403.46 692.08 935.27 1094.07 1293.65
2024-01-28 686.45 319.67 375.81 429.13 532.37 919.36 1260.95 1477.76 1802.26
2024-02-04 840.11 379.37 422.01 500.55 621.92 1179.54 1726.83 2271.70 2900.54
2024-02-11 919.30 447.69 490.71 546.00 686.32 1254.98 1679.19 2233.00 2835.75
2024-02-18 974.63 476.31 552.54 619.05 738.69 1311.02 1903.26 2155.27 2569.23
2024-02-25 1139.07 606.12 667.09 740.42 877.78 1470.59 1954.99 2464.44 3379.55
2024-03-03 1327.84 681.92 733.38 823.09 1039.86 1716.07 2464.19 3039.43 3702.93
2024-03-10 1646.08 870.42 935.72 1055.06 1279.24 2155.48 2890.69 3527.96 4213.98
2024-03-17 1700.70 900.59 969.68 1086.81 1327.15 2217.63 2808.32 3419.98 3889.79
2024-03-24 1733.48 897.68 1001.24 1116.27 1337.77 2239.31 2860.27 3365.34 4465.54
2024-03-31 2134.87 1131.61 1261.83 1391.83 1710.79 2732.52 3645.41 4500.60 5267.58
2024-04-07 2290.76 1263.46 1361.44 1542.47 1805.90 2847.26 3551.33 4208.22 4673.24
2024-04-14 2504.33 1444.20 1566.27 1753.45 2019.70 3237.09 3845.19 4705.90 5676.25
2024-04-21 3065.62 1646.00 1796.70 2104.59 2478.61 3818.53 4840.80 5976.56 7297.63
2024-04-28 3492.03 1955.83 2126.63 2342.72 2843.14 4437.25 5595.01 6897.16 7595.72
2024-05-05 3628.07 2050.46 2211.29 2453.32 2904.97 4570.50 5832.98 6939.31 8381.04
2024-05-12 3755.40 2253.98 2444.18 2660.02 3130.86 4999.97 6281.59 7428.38 8874.81
2024-05-19 3744.30 1961.44 2124.02 2383.00 3022.18 4684.71 5882.94 6813.99 7627.83
2024-05-26 3427.75 2067.99 2174.28 2351.07 2800.74 4378.95 5625.89 6643.67 7776.50
2024-06-02 3116.34 1700.81 1870.86 2108.97 2549.99 3928.71 5102.79 6291.07 7178.55
2024-06-09 2851.35 1661.09 1824.30 1961.47 2331.01 3566.93 4514.86 5193.68 5828.33
2024-06-16 2333.62 1321.92 1471.96 1635.73 1896.57 2905.39 3752.95 4598.10 5942.69
2024-06-23 2222.11 1252.14 1339.86 1450.75 1788.37 2805.32 3594.37 4337.90 4901.82
2024-06-30 2291.01 1177.12 1306.68 1467.34 1841.60 3043.37 3973.19 4670.26 5205.96
2024-07-07 2039.12 1107.34 1232.24 1398.54 1646.34 2652.25 3330.82 3988.94 4483.23
2024-07-14 1749.42 965.24 1065.81 1140.49 1342.65 2297.91 3099.44 3632.99 4316.08
2024-07-21 1749.38 802.11 911.86 1055.62 1350.62 2367.96 3577.97 4689.04 5637.25
2024-07-28 1475.68 806.40 872.68 1005.53 1206.26 1998.67 2827.76 3332.86 4228.65
2024-08-04 1310.48 699.41 770.89 859.69 1040.32 1736.20 2318.13 3161.25 3849.41
2024-08-11 1190.04 565.52 616.05 696.31 912.13 1589.48 2112.87 2683.86 3164.50
2024-08-18 1016.53 507.47 549.46 638.83 781.05 1331.26 1861.68 2283.12 2798.85
2024-08-25 815.02 409.23 458.58 501.81 622.78 1088.27 1433.35 1744.97 2196.55
2024-09-01 764.84 396.64 433.56 482.29 599.44 1009.39 1329.59 1593.85 1791.37
2024-09-08 667.09 321.48 360.11 431.34 531.42 962.38 1332.98 1718.83 2233.18
2024-09-15 679.36 319.18 353.82 408.04 513.49 963.62 1389.69 1915.16 2473.03
2024-09-22 511.15 277.32 301.41 329.92 396.73 666.28 903.09 1132.17 1500.35
2024-09-29 488.18 254.15 274.89 307.68 380.43 643.76 886.04 1074.41 1322.86
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