Prediction 3707

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 117.78 20.30 26.21 35.18 62.58 204.83 426.80 705.92 1010.53
2022-10-16 113.73 17.96 25.63 35.51 56.59 208.30 474.82 659.35 911.95
2022-10-23 102.05 14.17 18.36 27.77 47.17 203.08 404.58 761.84 1307.06
2022-10-30 91.60 14.81 19.75 27.13 48.35 187.72 406.64 549.94 911.70
2022-11-06 113.28 21.63 24.71 32.46 52.88 242.62 478.59 710.59 914.13
2022-11-13 101.13 17.07 21.90 30.23 51.22 192.96 404.36 692.36 1014.74
2022-11-20 74.57 13.81 18.99 24.63 38.47 174.54 346.28 572.98 850.26
2022-11-27 74.85 14.50 18.58 28.28 40.93 147.19 304.53 501.27 769.76
2022-12-04 77.02 14.03 19.11 25.23 42.73 142.37 266.64 375.26 574.01
2022-12-11 74.41 11.51 16.52 22.82 36.83 160.71 322.31 453.65 617.49
2022-12-18 44.05 7.91 10.99 13.80 24.80 83.43 162.03 273.28 444.10
2022-12-25 27.44 3.07 4.47 6.61 12.59 69.53 144.81 205.41 412.01
2023-01-01 72.70 15.46 20.84 26.96 44.39 163.17 327.24 496.37 824.45
2023-01-08 106.74 21.49 25.60 34.81 58.59 216.10 496.12 720.08 1188.24
2023-01-15 110.23 22.51 27.64 39.28 62.76 213.85 403.47 578.07 977.84
2023-01-22 128.15 24.52 32.80 39.98 68.21 240.67 524.52 938.02 1260.83
2023-01-29 139.75 25.94 33.20 43.28 75.55 283.82 545.80 943.97 1464.56
2023-02-05 168.02 31.25 40.66 55.46 90.92 305.76 590.71 928.19 1427.38
2023-02-12 198.40 38.94 52.42 70.13 118.08 361.72 722.69 1030.42 1343.67
2023-02-19 206.75 45.03 56.66 75.09 114.77 367.92 758.00 1312.28 1689.00
2023-02-26 310.64 65.87 81.94 100.88 171.11 584.97 1243.60 1885.66 3417.88
2023-03-05 312.14 61.60 81.94 105.85 164.70 582.82 1070.36 1697.75 2313.11
2023-03-12 422.80 69.96 101.69 134.20 222.35 824.07 1598.09 2376.84 3757.01
2023-03-19 440.18 84.38 110.65 146.10 244.51 850.36 1832.34 2981.52 4542.48
2023-03-26 428.68 81.56 118.26 156.49 235.92 823.37 1661.35 2420.53 2937.86
2023-04-02 547.65 103.06 136.47 185.59 287.26 1113.81 2015.46 2944.39 3897.68
2023-04-09 651.32 143.08 180.15 233.12 361.38 1142.07 2036.16 3233.19 4386.35
2023-04-16 786.65 141.90 199.46 254.71 434.44 1452.23 2618.20 3807.79 6053.49
2023-04-23 770.76 166.58 212.37 288.40 483.06 1355.43 2495.29 3632.71 5287.63
2023-04-30 885.67 205.22 234.79 318.38 533.12 1655.60 3335.70 5018.69 6395.62
2023-05-07 1082.43 247.73 281.19 352.42 572.32 2022.73 3751.22 6278.02 8801.46
2023-05-14 1030.32 199.98 271.59 378.52 581.55 1864.64 3561.82 5515.46 9192.63
2023-05-21 889.90 182.29 234.35 305.44 524.03 1720.37 3150.81 5613.91 7283.53
2023-05-28 1077.08 203.03 266.49 352.55 613.73 1803.79 3709.70 5723.82 12804.01
2023-06-04 793.97 169.19 208.02 302.61 456.05 1559.70 3401.90 5751.33 9244.84
2023-06-11 694.53 161.83 211.50 273.63 398.40 1272.17 2795.80 4526.85 6190.46
2023-06-18 670.09 139.49 170.74 233.21 387.75 1246.43 2307.17 3353.67 6253.16
2023-06-25 577.15 133.77 158.36 207.58 311.48 1115.99 2175.28 2758.09 3442.00
2023-07-02 590.09 111.45 156.87 211.46 332.15 1022.62 1768.81 2677.45 4699.15
2023-07-09 519.11 103.28 132.43 180.24 290.25 1077.50 1979.47 3353.11 5890.86
2023-07-16 395.70 83.67 108.05 149.58 227.26 712.86 1463.50 2006.28 2850.75
2023-07-23 371.06 83.12 99.18 125.42 206.30 674.05 1349.76 2258.40 3176.41
2023-07-30 342.82 68.24 90.30 109.84 178.14 674.18 1354.98 2245.42 3575.86
2023-08-06 320.55 58.69 82.36 106.56 168.48 635.32 1340.67 2529.63 3885.90
2023-08-13 302.17 48.96 69.53 87.90 156.33 596.15 1246.99 1941.84 2954.60
2023-08-20 241.85 43.48 59.64 75.87 130.15 455.05 1001.83 1422.15 2201.55
2023-08-27 225.34 33.20 46.83 66.11 112.74 413.78 729.82 1278.35 1972.15
2023-09-03 207.70 39.34 48.41 64.15 109.38 395.18 852.01 1322.64 1885.38
2023-09-10 167.15 33.82 38.86 53.72 90.77 320.55 609.71 923.71 1613.30
2023-09-17 176.61 26.95 38.74 57.17 96.42 322.58 659.65 1041.38 1460.68
2023-09-24 139.84 21.91 32.25 42.45 77.69 261.88 489.98 786.41 1248.15
2023-10-01 153.66 22.47 33.03 49.52 77.71 296.17 533.85 865.06 1085.96
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