Prediction 3708

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 477.64 165.12 195.73 231.88 329.19 686.78 962.54 1267.64 1620.61
2023-10-15 498.46 193.99 213.14 253.19 339.29 743.37 999.22 1211.47 1462.76
2023-10-22 446.57 155.38 183.04 229.86 294.72 663.46 1035.54 1510.27 1803.41
2023-10-29 414.11 139.22 161.67 198.82 270.18 673.49 1029.07 1435.94 1916.80
2023-11-05 358.80 118.45 134.10 166.53 235.57 538.70 826.50 1150.55 1593.70
2023-11-12 313.98 109.89 123.93 150.69 213.48 505.05 817.68 1070.13 1522.38
2023-11-19 297.58 105.15 120.72 154.54 206.10 484.59 820.97 1095.18 1330.81
2023-11-26 293.83 101.87 118.47 137.75 189.36 417.45 683.12 861.85 995.36
2023-12-03 311.86 117.45 130.87 151.89 214.57 472.45 701.10 989.99 1128.35
2023-12-10 255.45 92.19 108.69 133.99 176.69 393.03 637.28 838.64 1101.85
2023-12-17 191.58 50.66 67.60 84.70 126.29 303.04 468.66 736.27 929.42
2023-12-24 116.73 33.83 39.14 51.76 72.03 196.80 296.67 403.92 479.98
2023-12-31 242.67 93.26 111.59 131.36 166.51 351.68 540.84 742.42 920.95
2024-01-07 240.02 85.03 107.32 126.36 168.02 355.42 500.38 634.52 766.21
2024-01-14 283.28 105.18 120.64 146.34 189.58 399.02 565.93 712.96 860.68
2024-01-21 277.91 89.70 112.45 141.75 199.30 429.81 650.05 844.35 1042.31
2024-01-28 364.94 132.97 152.58 180.11 253.27 545.28 758.65 934.12 1194.93
2024-02-04 386.63 144.63 162.89 194.19 263.71 539.21 782.36 912.40 1069.69
2024-02-11 434.66 156.50 187.40 217.36 287.73 636.50 945.00 1154.95 1450.49
2024-02-18 490.06 169.48 191.14 235.00 311.89 723.04 1049.52 1255.32 1497.27
2024-02-25 517.84 200.34 234.74 275.70 372.88 762.62 1072.92 1584.74 1759.01
2024-03-03 623.54 217.37 272.48 324.24 433.32 930.30 1375.37 1833.35 2458.86
2024-03-10 749.91 269.14 327.31 375.90 537.91 1133.39 1627.30 2115.36 2871.24
2024-03-17 769.68 306.55 347.51 410.59 536.44 1097.43 1533.26 1977.65 2340.58
2024-03-24 806.04 318.16 346.79 409.74 583.30 1168.73 1695.04 2058.56 2778.28
2024-03-31 939.02 383.60 438.57 505.98 677.51 1302.20 1763.45 2206.53 2608.72
2024-04-07 1097.53 427.89 473.40 582.13 782.69 1672.88 2371.63 3107.18 3585.18
2024-04-14 1250.08 504.78 547.41 656.05 903.99 1894.45 2646.41 3582.17 4927.04
2024-04-21 1534.23 580.92 649.97 794.88 1058.16 2225.66 3041.03 3793.02 4589.59
2024-04-28 1799.90 673.22 754.41 879.43 1181.84 2659.61 3875.81 5079.78 6412.46
2024-05-05 1741.00 669.84 771.34 948.24 1255.07 2597.32 4118.55 5149.43 5949.94
2024-05-12 1932.53 690.67 794.36 950.48 1341.57 3058.05 4633.80 5958.29 7574.86
2024-05-19 2006.10 723.15 825.89 970.04 1295.07 2996.94 4559.02 5688.09 7164.90
2024-05-26 2145.24 710.95 849.44 1014.86 1370.86 3214.62 4923.01 6692.29 8726.07
2024-06-02 1995.93 629.50 736.22 949.21 1308.04 3232.52 4729.63 6638.48 9591.81
2024-06-09 1881.12 663.79 759.49 879.94 1240.43 2914.47 4604.56 5726.13 7842.02
2024-06-16 1815.24 618.36 708.39 839.37 1238.70 2705.71 3927.52 5221.51 6731.42
2024-06-23 1606.09 574.80 648.98 807.25 1188.25 2425.68 3683.91 4845.77 6342.26
2024-06-30 1546.33 518.49 595.42 750.66 1015.10 2413.21 3917.36 5074.68 7208.08
2024-07-07 1655.25 592.07 679.10 796.80 1105.56 2610.35 3730.63 4945.64 5829.01
2024-07-14 1391.95 517.71 593.67 709.07 928.74 2081.88 3282.61 4326.39 5901.72
2024-07-21 1214.12 402.29 502.57 584.60 863.66 1938.45 3021.71 4311.64 6146.58
2024-07-28 1210.67 442.41 511.66 627.47 828.31 1885.16 2897.69 4353.40 5268.22
2024-08-04 1048.47 357.30 423.28 527.37 723.93 1635.23 2339.50 3504.12 4725.05
2024-08-11 998.56 329.57 364.16 438.20 623.86 1669.84 2718.99 4177.87 5939.05
2024-08-18 821.40 257.22 326.62 406.34 571.05 1401.67 2252.71 2931.61 3859.30
2024-08-25 771.80 249.04 281.46 349.79 509.32 1197.54 1812.95 2595.20 3622.54
2024-09-01 656.47 187.52 222.01 292.69 439.50 1095.97 1714.74 2352.10 3291.76
2024-09-08 601.99 195.51 222.92 278.04 400.72 1038.99 1756.74 2172.37 2883.40
2024-09-15 596.68 169.67 200.60 255.44 377.46 926.25 1665.29 2393.37 3125.30
2024-09-22 509.08 156.88 189.38 248.58 347.99 796.68 1288.83 1630.25 1950.68
2024-09-29 419.24 138.57 156.82 187.47 262.95 660.02 1073.33 1805.66 2245.23
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