Prediction 3709

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in CE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 187.44 45.07 55.63 77.48 109.52 311.05 458.07 574.79 762.24
2024-10-13 179.48 48.71 58.58 73.86 108.76 300.06 485.21 563.52 666.78
2024-10-20 149.35 45.24 53.84 62.81 91.01 246.21 407.68 509.46 637.52
2024-10-27 139.39 32.34 42.18 52.86 79.93 235.39 398.31 490.00 612.08
2024-11-03 150.71 41.21 47.77 60.96 90.87 252.24 397.80 507.22 617.14
2024-11-10 122.27 31.31 36.42 50.83 73.76 200.31 310.19 449.78 557.13
2024-11-17 115.06 29.77 37.47 46.27 71.86 177.87 277.76 348.38 441.75
2024-11-24 113.18 26.90 33.65 45.17 67.37 181.68 317.86 437.33 545.06
2024-12-01 111.28 24.47 31.41 42.18 64.76 175.43 307.38 425.27 576.09
2024-12-08 95.05 26.73 31.85 37.87 59.05 166.88 261.73 354.57 436.46
2024-12-15 82.02 16.10 20.43 26.30 45.74 155.73 248.62 400.10 511.65
2024-12-22 57.25 12.14 14.72 19.46 32.99 105.61 192.20 284.86 354.46
2024-12-29 117.01 26.59 35.46 44.28 71.17 187.88 309.92 417.01 498.65
2025-01-05 114.93 30.37 35.62 45.53 69.95 190.92 334.24 468.68 649.80
2025-01-12 136.44 37.70 46.43 55.94 87.48 215.12 320.36 435.91 593.66
2025-01-19 134.51 36.96 42.44 53.80 83.90 208.92 353.66 471.84 576.19
2025-01-26 158.54 37.58 50.82 64.73 94.88 257.68 460.93 608.61 784.00
2025-02-02 184.92 55.44 63.10 78.16 119.93 321.11 542.24 725.14 892.00
2025-02-09 230.86 62.34 77.89 90.41 134.83 399.13 605.32 865.06 1273.83
2025-02-16 228.71 46.01 63.69 83.51 135.23 380.32 659.69 991.89 1343.52
2025-02-23 278.93 74.12 86.81 113.32 160.88 480.00 732.41 1095.30 1543.85
2025-03-02 301.98 72.08 93.68 122.51 181.41 518.55 899.33 1219.44 1771.89
2025-03-09 354.13 86.31 104.04 137.70 214.86 588.77 987.50 1395.29 2050.83
2025-03-16 351.84 100.92 118.89 153.66 233.33 550.87 899.55 1144.98 1521.94
2025-03-23 345.88 98.35 118.91 158.12 219.25 556.34 891.92 1203.71 1552.55
2025-03-30 500.70 149.74 190.59 238.37 334.84 777.33 1123.82 1498.98 1923.02
2025-04-06 578.91 178.95 217.47 265.12 371.41 874.40 1351.62 1793.36 2308.74
2025-04-13 609.92 168.81 205.06 262.16 377.06 930.47 1571.79 2013.37 2682.03
2025-04-20 691.17 191.85 250.34 325.56 446.86 1068.70 1668.69 2218.10 2684.77
2025-04-27 812.54 290.22 359.23 425.32 540.35 1265.39 1952.76 2495.69 2986.79
2025-05-04 943.16 287.80 348.80 422.98 611.05 1382.86 2104.35 2781.00 3369.94
2025-05-11 846.44 288.05 347.07 411.80 596.83 1368.02 2121.15 3020.19 3669.25
2025-05-18 857.35 290.84 349.70 442.13 600.79 1225.28 1861.85 2378.96 2849.67
2025-05-25 972.78 322.53 388.59 501.51 665.38 1563.05 2531.17 3213.40 4316.58
2025-06-01 942.13 328.10 358.89 446.88 617.70 1408.55 1979.13 2491.52 3133.69
2025-06-08 865.63 297.29 350.75 406.51 558.48 1288.69 1921.11 2499.19 2925.76
2025-06-15 762.56 227.50 300.89 369.23 509.98 1245.28 1905.53 2473.85 3120.46
2025-06-22 781.18 259.02 306.52 377.16 528.62 1203.78 1633.79 1962.74 2338.55
2025-06-29 725.07 264.08 312.91 367.90 498.58 1116.96 1569.28 2171.42 2705.80
2025-07-06 771.98 275.08 303.80 338.04 501.68 1145.82 1777.77 2385.76 3224.23
2025-07-13 652.34 208.06 245.57 322.13 464.22 990.30 1514.03 2117.90 2639.13
2025-07-20 602.64 183.70 231.85 274.09 412.43 920.30 1356.34 1755.04 2230.19
2025-07-27 609.43 180.38 216.53 268.53 394.90 972.59 1436.52 1769.58 2364.05
2025-08-03 576.35 192.49 224.26 269.33 389.98 921.66 1343.09 1717.71 2316.58
2025-08-10 524.34 155.52 172.83 224.03 316.16 813.23 1138.72 1472.13 1928.33
2025-08-17 452.09 129.69 150.64 188.19 283.71 750.96 1078.12 1412.30 1676.62
2025-08-24 414.97 112.35 133.43 173.05 265.39 628.62 931.40 1296.27 1780.33
2025-08-31 392.00 105.74 123.54 159.45 241.37 634.95 1019.95 1474.45 1791.73
2025-09-07 333.12 87.59 103.52 126.13 199.89 518.30 843.52 1142.47 1475.06
2025-09-14 299.98 73.26 92.94 121.51 188.09 495.03 778.04 1186.18 1370.05
2025-09-21 269.84 71.41 82.35 109.48 166.08 480.28 774.71 984.24 1170.90
2025-09-28 255.53 58.96 78.69 97.54 153.88 440.24 763.81 1046.86 1187.34
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