Prediction 3710

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 141.03 40.56 48.08 56.89 88.25 257.08 421.80 610.90 810.59
2022-10-16 144.32 33.59 43.84 57.44 80.25 243.58 404.46 544.55 694.25
2022-10-23 121.51 32.24 36.59 47.92 77.02 239.17 430.22 762.08 1052.33
2022-10-30 124.78 32.39 37.61 44.41 73.87 207.65 344.40 449.69 665.07
2022-11-06 145.85 35.43 44.70 62.33 88.90 261.09 455.91 601.65 898.49
2022-11-13 137.56 36.81 49.98 60.03 84.20 241.28 399.01 572.10 801.73
2022-11-20 108.08 26.41 31.66 41.06 64.66 194.46 334.45 462.47 564.65
2022-11-27 108.94 28.97 34.22 44.64 65.85 169.72 271.72 352.08 467.17
2022-12-04 93.30 29.61 33.64 41.90 60.91 135.80 221.60 282.62 396.28
2022-12-11 105.28 26.01 31.01 43.70 67.02 184.47 353.66 474.96 731.10
2022-12-18 50.57 12.94 15.62 19.54 30.06 96.82 151.29 221.32 304.21
2022-12-25 36.36 7.09 8.97 11.23 18.39 67.71 126.69 225.73 321.52
2023-01-01 102.85 27.32 32.16 41.87 63.88 183.20 349.90 436.18 574.88
2023-01-08 146.63 39.10 44.88 55.76 86.84 226.37 378.81 533.02 670.40
2023-01-15 145.32 41.84 49.99 63.87 91.42 241.76 388.91 521.82 651.12
2023-01-22 179.28 49.34 57.12 73.02 108.12 326.02 495.85 717.33 958.33
2023-01-29 182.47 48.83 60.49 75.30 110.88 304.04 481.33 670.04 881.37
2023-02-05 227.29 64.35 74.29 85.96 132.95 407.00 645.73 805.00 1173.20
2023-02-12 275.35 86.84 108.45 139.73 191.43 444.97 751.58 1033.63 1261.48
2023-02-19 277.12 80.15 94.90 118.64 177.10 460.19 759.94 1023.77 1387.77
2023-02-26 398.90 128.97 156.37 183.79 272.22 615.49 994.88 1438.70 2041.52
2023-03-05 459.46 142.24 161.70 202.62 291.70 778.01 1156.99 1673.42 2476.84
2023-03-12 547.95 171.85 207.00 254.96 362.66 921.98 1485.29 2151.45 3051.45
2023-03-19 672.87 210.47 230.96 289.00 404.03 1223.26 2132.74 2946.37 3984.28
2023-03-26 642.25 184.82 205.59 273.08 408.71 1081.95 1699.20 2267.28 3382.59
2023-04-02 745.67 236.77 265.59 344.05 486.12 1228.90 2082.40 2543.75 3042.05
2023-04-09 943.94 279.34 344.90 440.49 583.15 1448.59 2362.89 3100.41 3624.95
2023-04-16 1056.56 349.96 404.07 472.92 705.12 1578.00 2510.24 3260.63 4472.01
2023-04-23 1181.23 390.76 436.75 556.02 789.49 1886.98 3045.38 4368.95 5636.99
2023-04-30 1300.79 463.91 515.14 610.55 854.47 2055.30 3008.64 4231.75 5590.03
2023-05-07 1571.00 509.72 588.73 706.54 1060.73 2568.85 3864.84 4630.10 6109.96
2023-05-14 1463.88 464.45 550.01 662.11 935.87 2260.87 3859.27 4869.44 6982.38
2023-05-21 1480.65 497.21 549.38 648.77 1005.12 2467.79 3988.20 5380.52 7296.38
2023-05-28 1572.80 455.68 557.05 695.14 1016.85 2473.21 3792.20 4947.71 6947.93
2023-06-04 1250.54 417.69 465.27 546.41 767.07 1884.80 2792.61 3578.78 5234.01
2023-06-11 954.61 349.77 430.17 521.54 692.34 1480.07 2309.95 3132.93 4409.60
2023-06-18 932.03 317.60 360.51 433.09 632.53 1412.85 2334.88 2877.08 3893.35
2023-06-25 798.80 268.36 302.70 372.54 531.55 1175.57 1752.14 2268.63 2909.15
2023-07-02 798.85 243.92 290.43 353.53 501.39 1165.69 1748.52 2140.07 2645.07
2023-07-09 727.96 210.58 269.40 321.94 476.53 1183.64 1795.59 2450.14 3800.64
2023-07-16 657.00 206.59 242.16 301.20 440.34 945.80 1348.77 1689.36 2013.23
2023-07-23 514.54 161.72 190.61 233.21 343.46 807.64 1309.10 1668.25 2002.55
2023-07-30 479.65 156.70 179.67 218.81 307.90 770.83 1253.85 1654.08 2526.21
2023-08-06 471.87 137.08 157.29 203.61 288.99 771.39 1289.57 1791.75 2456.71
2023-08-13 430.56 130.66 155.71 188.39 269.14 674.59 1128.13 1587.59 2630.59
2023-08-20 355.41 101.11 122.70 152.77 223.65 571.81 946.69 1237.36 1472.41
2023-08-27 317.30 72.74 90.95 130.33 200.56 566.97 937.47 1385.26 2316.54
2023-09-03 289.24 80.58 90.84 122.27 178.74 498.28 793.72 1025.13 1395.57
2023-09-10 235.50 65.10 78.50 96.96 152.33 381.33 649.35 848.36 1115.56
2023-09-17 206.19 59.09 73.93 86.81 128.23 355.89 544.87 709.64 1056.55
2023-09-24 181.26 54.54 62.51 77.59 109.72 311.20 508.10 791.54 982.49
2023-10-01 203.56 50.99 70.53 84.77 120.52 348.26 592.20 820.64 1106.05
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