Prediction 3711

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 253.22 74.16 88.29 108.60 168.67 392.55 612.13 801.13 923.08
2023-10-15 241.39 89.41 104.30 119.18 160.37 377.59 525.88 630.71 737.35
2023-10-22 259.75 83.37 92.75 122.24 166.52 425.61 604.14 767.95 964.55
2023-10-29 274.41 67.67 90.80 115.65 177.30 448.87 757.28 929.48 1339.20
2023-11-05 218.61 81.92 88.74 104.65 151.21 343.11 519.45 733.09 844.49
2023-11-12 175.48 60.93 73.43 87.01 122.13 273.28 429.92 607.79 771.75
2023-11-19 188.05 61.73 69.38 84.79 122.87 294.70 467.05 665.64 950.83
2023-11-26 170.63 54.86 65.95 82.18 110.35 263.83 446.90 561.99 745.30
2023-12-03 191.20 58.33 69.85 84.95 120.63 286.87 451.25 586.78 747.74
2023-12-10 150.88 55.11 60.20 71.93 100.05 224.93 356.90 462.96 575.77
2023-12-17 106.37 36.65 42.91 50.79 71.54 187.03 306.64 449.23 588.45
2023-12-24 58.80 16.39 19.99 25.77 35.74 104.51 165.86 206.82 274.62
2023-12-31 167.72 58.51 67.66 80.30 110.19 251.95 382.91 481.57 548.54
2024-01-07 197.41 71.39 82.89 97.49 136.39 307.85 462.04 572.70 810.44
2024-01-14 232.99 73.56 85.96 107.57 149.59 342.85 506.62 614.16 777.14
2024-01-21 277.36 95.63 118.18 141.76 197.07 429.26 647.91 806.30 969.16
2024-01-28 360.58 108.25 148.96 183.01 249.42 565.92 887.24 1169.15 1415.05
2024-02-04 465.60 150.17 184.78 217.91 312.26 701.39 1108.53 1391.52 1659.29
2024-02-11 529.80 177.07 202.07 248.61 349.84 807.55 1269.02 1710.34 2142.27
2024-02-18 560.93 200.60 236.76 294.42 400.34 831.56 1267.87 1542.97 1879.64
2024-02-25 608.83 215.56 260.13 311.86 430.26 888.08 1302.93 1772.46 2290.21
2024-03-03 734.75 285.91 320.20 392.36 522.20 1102.72 1605.83 2238.08 2882.81
2024-03-10 993.06 376.54 400.16 473.98 643.08 1522.36 2102.43 2498.68 3085.82
2024-03-17 917.09 376.07 441.86 497.68 638.69 1374.44 1946.49 2447.31 2944.56
2024-03-24 1011.51 396.40 456.58 519.39 704.93 1488.84 2032.45 2547.12 3623.59
2024-03-31 1206.48 484.06 596.21 702.86 897.05 1790.34 2484.53 3135.57 3991.55
2024-04-07 1339.09 566.27 607.45 718.48 981.32 1884.04 2765.61 3479.17 4446.73
2024-04-14 1532.18 665.75 739.87 858.19 1141.63 2137.23 3079.84 3639.25 4025.13
2024-04-21 2045.62 777.48 929.06 1119.87 1546.67 3018.42 4208.57 5356.22 6857.96
2024-04-28 2432.59 1042.77 1152.30 1325.11 1763.24 3473.08 4498.36 5636.37 6955.26
2024-05-05 2469.14 1053.18 1207.84 1420.41 1870.14 3631.08 5031.83 6609.47 7579.49
2024-05-12 2686.74 1107.53 1314.86 1467.68 1865.81 3745.94 4867.98 6063.20 7029.25
2024-05-19 2573.08 1024.73 1178.51 1334.66 1830.22 3553.60 4737.61 5850.72 6780.36
2024-05-26 2436.40 1088.96 1212.56 1391.73 1801.74 3453.23 4673.37 6025.78 7402.21
2024-06-02 2203.80 914.29 1063.49 1191.35 1670.84 3251.64 4478.80 5346.43 6199.21
2024-06-09 2022.00 844.45 921.39 1062.14 1434.14 2906.88 3857.94 5108.59 5998.89
2024-06-16 1720.25 679.11 778.40 920.10 1210.15 2376.19 3365.01 4367.14 5388.29
2024-06-23 1654.35 676.02 772.90 884.66 1241.99 2400.18 3312.44 4037.02 5246.80
2024-06-30 1632.89 678.88 734.18 861.17 1132.14 2538.15 3824.20 4707.47 5672.27
2024-07-07 1648.65 563.38 657.80 808.34 1116.78 2319.76 3367.10 4146.83 5168.64
2024-07-14 1443.02 523.60 601.45 747.16 1008.94 2119.01 3017.65 4005.49 5030.31
2024-07-21 1332.44 403.16 499.58 579.81 827.47 2028.04 3328.13 4828.70 5438.12
2024-07-28 1194.63 406.93 472.46 568.73 783.62 1833.20 2674.17 3686.40 4195.45
2024-08-04 992.45 366.39 416.56 483.50 677.55 1470.00 2250.91 2869.37 3544.62
2024-08-11 976.49 280.32 330.09 414.76 639.19 1458.06 2231.28 3024.12 4444.56
2024-08-18 785.52 263.07 311.07 368.27 521.69 1217.30 1673.52 2139.05 2701.69
2024-08-25 599.88 200.59 226.34 273.83 414.14 970.89 1413.16 1854.88 2318.79
2024-09-01 629.74 191.73 236.41 279.60 390.43 967.97 1448.21 1743.89 2575.76
2024-09-08 537.81 166.11 203.36 262.39 356.99 794.93 1281.19 1615.76 2012.12
2024-09-15 531.41 163.83 190.00 237.32 347.75 834.12 1364.61 1731.23 2344.45
2024-09-22 392.28 142.86 166.54 194.51 273.72 589.55 836.32 1026.22 1158.13
2024-09-29 383.62 124.76 147.01 168.00 246.10 591.98 899.93 1205.33 1686.97
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