Prediction 3712

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PE


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 162.28 48.99 60.73 74.09 102.69 263.06 412.08 524.32 689.94
2024-10-13 158.48 51.83 59.33 73.88 106.64 243.98 367.61 463.18 631.89
2024-10-20 131.10 44.00 50.66 61.29 86.77 212.87 325.92 444.74 559.26
2024-10-27 119.22 36.23 41.97 52.22 79.90 200.19 305.37 409.15 494.06
2024-11-03 137.72 39.10 49.79 60.26 88.63 213.81 325.48 443.19 606.16
2024-11-10 109.57 28.47 34.84 42.99 65.29 168.02 272.43 366.22 493.84
2024-11-17 102.19 34.58 40.13 46.52 66.97 157.86 234.44 327.64 475.26
2024-11-24 100.30 29.73 34.44 44.84 65.27 162.02 227.41 317.60 383.90
2024-12-01 103.46 30.64 36.94 46.80 66.14 161.08 249.46 335.50 434.58
2024-12-08 96.92 24.92 34.35 43.62 62.37 159.31 238.72 326.27 383.89
2024-12-15 69.86 19.02 22.21 28.04 40.63 114.28 181.76 263.19 325.82
2024-12-22 59.95 16.31 19.53 23.91 36.42 99.09 175.94 246.61 336.78
2024-12-29 102.88 35.91 39.39 48.52 68.63 174.95 265.54 335.79 448.99
2025-01-05 123.28 35.01 43.09 57.90 81.44 200.58 330.51 472.24 583.55
2025-01-12 128.23 44.08 55.23 67.15 90.46 187.75 286.90 376.21 460.42
2025-01-19 140.11 45.09 51.64 61.64 87.23 214.00 311.82 398.43 508.63
2025-01-26 164.86 49.88 58.37 74.85 109.96 256.89 376.49 490.75 622.07
2025-02-02 214.49 62.77 81.24 99.47 135.44 316.68 498.16 628.31 807.04
2025-02-09 214.99 76.68 87.25 106.55 150.27 320.73 472.33 613.02 787.97
2025-02-16 235.37 68.21 78.20 97.93 147.56 397.48 604.51 816.74 1065.96
2025-02-23 304.44 90.33 99.40 135.27 192.16 459.78 793.49 1157.13 1426.21
2025-03-02 326.11 110.29 125.59 144.70 205.89 506.36 804.89 1012.89 1243.88
2025-03-09 356.67 121.27 144.27 174.45 243.87 540.22 859.27 1179.62 1408.95
2025-03-16 374.90 134.75 159.39 188.54 252.63 531.33 772.18 986.31 1138.54
2025-03-23 378.42 154.87 171.22 205.18 268.02 517.10 712.53 878.82 1085.66
2025-03-30 576.87 214.16 247.37 287.97 405.92 839.68 1165.97 1478.43 1796.89
2025-04-06 605.49 210.30 248.12 295.63 426.06 818.12 1198.38 1434.03 1883.18
2025-04-13 653.11 240.89 278.00 347.80 468.41 911.94 1324.31 1621.11 1979.43
2025-04-20 777.27 280.44 321.35 390.31 538.89 1125.00 1592.61 2000.24 2224.75
2025-04-27 913.95 338.33 400.22 482.90 637.47 1397.90 1930.12 2449.07 3260.61
2025-05-04 1048.36 355.85 433.97 508.33 724.83 1507.89 2242.94 2891.47 3377.40
2025-05-11 943.97 374.42 402.60 456.75 654.01 1335.43 1985.24 2678.77 3302.96
2025-05-18 907.47 357.36 415.61 464.48 629.50 1326.40 1914.44 2411.54 2908.99
2025-05-25 959.00 309.20 402.37 492.18 681.42 1377.58 1914.41 2584.66 3080.11
2025-06-01 950.27 342.54 388.45 486.58 691.34 1465.09 2076.19 2849.46 3740.11
2025-06-08 825.98 334.13 363.67 429.35 564.99 1261.99 1811.60 2209.89 2714.78
2025-06-15 772.89 319.18 365.81 422.61 568.03 1104.65 1650.53 1950.47 2395.18
2025-06-22 765.02 286.40 315.89 372.18 535.65 1080.01 1550.89 1805.29 2386.03
2025-06-29 737.63 312.94 354.29 396.47 533.18 1042.42 1501.02 1877.59 2462.01
2025-07-06 786.35 269.41 306.80 390.29 536.88 1169.10 1714.84 2202.30 2762.24
2025-07-13 690.86 239.24 282.40 345.55 480.30 1023.83 1476.67 1872.05 2425.46
2025-07-20 590.70 247.80 271.30 320.42 434.95 964.38 1447.56 1821.97 2294.81
2025-07-27 540.29 193.78 241.11 291.62 388.96 857.60 1241.07 1423.73 1625.23
2025-08-03 538.89 185.15 221.49 258.65 352.33 788.63 1200.74 1474.88 1829.52
2025-08-10 488.92 162.85 185.86 218.94 318.35 786.78 1207.20 1531.55 1996.85
2025-08-17 416.22 134.11 162.31 192.32 278.90 630.45 934.98 1397.38 1842.14
2025-08-24 407.35 122.02 149.20 183.48 277.98 635.27 1122.17 1374.79 1603.71
2025-08-31 365.12 114.08 133.50 163.03 225.31 557.15 817.29 1181.29 1644.93
2025-09-07 301.43 91.42 104.33 134.41 196.21 504.61 831.70 1352.59 1772.95
2025-09-14 300.52 80.58 101.59 130.90 192.76 499.06 799.38 1041.77 1345.91
2025-09-21 261.65 76.11 96.00 121.04 173.20 423.39 669.86 874.88 1084.09
2025-09-28 259.83 83.39 89.74 113.94 173.27 422.78 687.96 958.01 1278.59
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