Prediction 3713

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PB


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 57.79 17.54 22.29 28.53 38.94 86.55 131.11 188.04 256.73
2022-10-16 57.84 18.95 22.35 27.54 40.00 94.39 137.54 176.56 223.64
2022-10-23 62.63 19.58 21.48 27.21 39.94 98.69 153.89 200.25 281.22
2022-10-30 54.92 16.97 20.04 25.03 36.10 84.93 132.20 185.22 239.83
2022-11-06 63.41 22.51 25.60 30.67 41.53 102.29 169.38 243.80 374.43
2022-11-13 60.03 20.52 24.40 31.25 42.10 88.73 149.17 224.13 277.03
2022-11-20 47.93 15.81 19.27 22.75 32.51 73.87 119.67 163.14 198.93
2022-11-27 43.57 16.01 17.83 21.18 28.75 66.08 97.50 121.86 146.44
2022-12-04 40.07 15.33 17.12 20.25 26.85 57.66 83.55 109.88 122.28
2022-12-11 44.09 14.19 16.43 19.35 28.60 71.33 117.19 169.07 213.94
2022-12-18 20.89 7.07 8.03 9.81 14.12 31.98 49.20 64.92 97.21
2022-12-25 16.02 4.17 5.36 6.66 9.51 26.52 41.25 63.45 82.30
2023-01-01 44.94 15.87 18.28 21.36 30.34 68.30 108.44 135.05 190.23
2023-01-08 67.88 22.56 25.18 31.32 43.43 108.63 176.90 236.90 281.36
2023-01-15 63.92 20.44 24.80 32.32 44.17 92.53 143.05 179.63 230.85
2023-01-22 77.01 22.99 29.07 36.38 50.89 110.80 178.00 229.74 274.14
2023-01-29 77.01 27.67 32.67 39.04 52.79 113.99 164.56 233.65 291.71
2023-02-05 95.15 36.71 41.94 48.78 65.32 139.96 206.73 265.88 328.86
2023-02-12 119.52 44.84 55.74 66.31 86.95 166.44 254.07 305.42 450.93
2023-02-19 122.30 45.23 54.04 63.59 84.14 177.69 262.61 396.30 499.94
2023-02-26 178.81 65.07 71.54 87.43 118.02 250.77 337.93 463.97 605.63
2023-03-05 194.99 73.89 90.71 106.84 137.50 302.74 479.00 595.20 735.00
2023-03-12 239.08 91.08 103.96 125.96 170.35 368.17 536.30 638.34 844.22
2023-03-19 274.40 89.82 107.48 129.11 183.45 443.19 662.24 924.64 1210.54
2023-03-26 277.59 103.34 122.13 145.55 197.35 407.69 585.34 840.26 1156.11
2023-04-02 360.38 132.72 156.69 179.59 251.09 519.06 759.14 930.66 1073.91
2023-04-09 408.50 166.55 180.59 209.21 282.10 601.86 859.30 1087.32 1335.46
2023-04-16 497.94 205.34 227.16 271.62 351.17 760.15 1042.53 1287.67 1761.87
2023-04-23 525.64 214.20 254.12 297.99 380.39 793.59 1159.86 1466.25 1894.80
2023-04-30 589.16 261.50 286.44 335.23 447.88 859.15 1155.08 1395.04 1862.63
2023-05-07 764.07 281.72 327.83 393.49 534.81 1080.15 1620.92 1983.49 2570.84
2023-05-14 725.39 290.54 337.24 404.82 535.33 1030.10 1614.60 2099.77 2725.05
2023-05-21 760.72 263.24 316.04 356.55 489.53 1103.28 1619.90 2223.15 3469.78
2023-05-28 702.49 243.48 321.07 374.35 515.44 1001.37 1581.45 2225.37 2790.50
2023-06-04 565.35 204.66 232.05 297.65 391.05 804.87 1152.30 1438.19 1680.81
2023-06-11 501.27 189.61 224.54 262.68 355.53 756.82 1135.76 1440.19 1719.46
2023-06-18 451.31 173.84 199.63 237.98 320.81 629.95 895.93 1229.17 1646.31
2023-06-25 339.40 142.22 159.54 190.92 249.35 478.62 662.90 859.38 1095.10
2023-07-02 340.09 131.51 154.31 186.55 246.54 487.20 710.50 889.86 1100.36
2023-07-09 340.83 125.54 142.47 179.33 239.22 486.57 711.01 994.88 1398.90
2023-07-16 297.98 113.62 132.29 157.09 208.79 432.36 602.77 766.63 997.62
2023-07-23 235.15 82.89 101.03 128.00 161.64 355.13 461.84 617.79 869.10
2023-07-30 206.05 84.36 95.82 110.85 146.17 329.01 477.50 633.65 807.86
2023-08-06 225.00 82.95 92.07 110.74 146.62 342.00 527.19 689.49 868.53
2023-08-13 205.18 69.51 81.52 96.08 134.68 317.72 507.21 700.54 1005.99
2023-08-20 166.30 52.14 63.05 79.31 113.57 249.25 391.66 494.70 644.08
2023-08-27 149.72 47.38 54.47 69.29 94.35 231.43 356.07 445.79 559.38
2023-09-03 130.15 47.80 51.81 61.87 83.46 207.54 340.17 509.82 840.69
2023-09-10 104.28 34.51 40.86 49.41 69.05 151.22 221.87 318.42 415.46
2023-09-17 97.66 37.00 39.69 46.72 65.39 148.57 244.93 321.69 377.61
2023-09-24 88.93 30.18 32.85 42.01 58.99 135.62 210.08 304.02 348.16
2023-10-01 97.04 33.28 36.63 45.43 64.47 161.70 244.69 370.19 517.51
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