Prediction 3714

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PB


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 133.56 47.42 57.30 70.21 94.26 194.41 284.28 343.20 403.04
2023-10-15 137.53 50.79 58.30 72.84 97.03 193.65 259.73 301.70 373.99
2023-10-22 149.13 59.07 64.36 75.33 97.61 211.58 307.57 369.13 453.74
2023-10-29 162.86 58.11 67.33 78.19 110.03 233.84 335.01 429.20 532.06
2023-11-05 127.46 50.03 59.36 67.15 87.34 188.92 291.77 359.35 413.42
2023-11-12 125.29 43.17 52.69 63.81 87.74 176.31 245.61 309.79 385.87
2023-11-19 122.76 42.10 51.50 61.37 84.66 185.98 277.99 360.13 427.89
2023-11-26 112.27 39.80 47.77 56.06 74.91 163.93 240.80 301.28 362.89
2023-12-03 125.13 43.36 49.74 63.01 84.83 183.06 260.06 353.07 473.49
2023-12-10 92.87 35.88 41.28 49.70 67.06 140.49 218.20 274.60 349.82
2023-12-17 70.81 24.03 27.96 33.94 45.49 111.31 170.46 209.19 291.57
2023-12-24 39.69 10.94 14.07 17.26 26.03 60.82 90.80 125.63 157.22
2023-12-31 101.08 40.64 45.46 54.95 75.58 146.90 210.62 259.96 342.48
2024-01-07 125.05 50.34 57.72 69.11 89.36 184.38 255.78 325.58 386.80
2024-01-14 138.94 49.87 65.04 75.81 102.39 197.82 289.40 354.01 412.15
2024-01-21 159.70 63.30 71.68 92.80 120.33 236.16 347.75 421.57 504.05
2024-01-28 222.10 81.94 95.29 112.40 156.19 322.37 486.16 626.18 759.66
2024-02-04 254.29 100.71 118.85 143.95 182.47 382.68 577.88 851.90 1091.93
2024-02-11 351.36 149.45 173.05 196.87 248.37 476.27 711.90 905.76 1048.54
2024-02-18 326.28 133.90 150.10 173.12 232.96 477.07 687.53 891.69 1210.26
2024-02-25 378.09 159.60 180.66 211.26 270.65 523.06 709.12 873.47 1031.64
2024-03-03 456.66 195.21 214.06 258.20 328.53 627.56 883.49 1185.23 1524.33
2024-03-10 558.12 219.58 252.46 290.22 390.91 747.75 1013.70 1224.22 1528.75
2024-03-17 560.77 246.30 275.22 306.06 400.15 769.00 1022.88 1278.57 1707.32
2024-03-24 604.76 258.61 303.28 360.74 463.17 803.17 1117.09 1380.01 1663.00
2024-03-31 767.83 360.41 396.16 460.87 578.43 1014.91 1357.37 1679.39 2098.76
2024-04-07 821.68 375.45 420.57 487.33 612.68 1057.94 1423.07 1656.22 2001.54
2024-04-14 873.52 425.62 454.10 529.78 694.35 1189.04 1585.87 1859.27 2270.22
2024-04-21 1237.60 614.60 671.97 752.55 961.35 1703.51 2299.50 2847.69 3602.24
2024-04-28 1335.16 608.70 723.81 802.66 997.14 1793.59 2379.57 2798.49 3257.65
2024-05-05 1352.37 666.71 725.21 821.04 1060.30 1844.97 2447.59 2836.15 3239.31
2024-05-12 1441.63 736.14 814.96 907.51 1147.22 1981.18 2619.55 3195.17 3718.72
2024-05-19 1378.02 627.58 726.73 839.04 1092.39 1899.33 2442.23 3357.73 4004.11
2024-05-26 1324.60 664.35 719.05 845.65 1044.26 1733.60 2188.69 2640.30 2925.84
2024-06-02 1185.48 574.88 646.18 723.79 899.17 1535.49 2170.36 2443.74 2997.91
2024-06-09 1068.21 500.62 545.97 617.42 779.41 1458.51 1970.85 2193.31 2505.34
2024-06-16 919.38 381.63 449.24 516.45 677.08 1252.30 1663.75 2056.01 2465.41
2024-06-23 815.53 397.08 442.38 496.10 610.76 1127.83 1492.21 1829.98 2165.55
2024-06-30 864.62 371.17 417.63 496.56 642.13 1181.62 1572.99 1881.58 2298.08
2024-07-07 858.20 347.68 426.04 488.42 623.36 1145.10 1533.44 1788.15 2018.17
2024-07-14 732.94 294.13 349.45 400.29 528.70 1039.15 1414.67 1638.53 2017.10
2024-07-21 743.76 308.09 335.67 388.22 533.28 1040.88 1426.16 1831.79 2300.69
2024-07-28 585.87 254.42 283.53 319.68 421.60 815.01 1150.85 1350.84 1816.07
2024-08-04 497.65 211.89 235.01 270.15 353.36 675.67 903.62 1148.35 1491.41
2024-08-11 498.82 186.84 212.03 259.86 344.43 695.12 947.43 1228.58 1452.37
2024-08-18 406.39 159.80 190.11 214.80 289.73 577.19 806.36 1022.93 1237.71
2024-08-25 340.29 138.87 161.15 184.30 241.15 460.83 635.81 784.64 962.86
2024-09-01 301.02 122.09 140.99 167.20 219.69 409.56 579.71 714.09 866.05
2024-09-08 268.87 104.77 124.74 142.74 190.85 393.75 543.38 697.59 842.65
2024-09-15 286.87 103.93 127.40 152.38 208.39 405.87 582.22 711.00 818.84
2024-09-22 223.25 96.88 103.57 122.20 161.82 325.69 468.24 570.80 662.46
2024-09-29 202.30 78.83 91.15 108.68 143.74 299.41 456.12 616.67 743.61
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