Prediction 3715
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | ParaĆba |
Description:
Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PB
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 39.47 | 10.15 | 12.09 | 15.37 | 23.52 | 67.97 | 127.18 | 174.93 | 322.58 |
2024-10-13 | 29.54 | 8.95 | 10.17 | 12.31 | 18.83 | 51.81 | 78.14 | 128.27 | 188.20 |
2024-10-20 | 26.65 | 7.66 | 9.31 | 11.29 | 16.43 | 43.53 | 64.85 | 105.95 | 143.31 |
2024-10-27 | 28.33 | 7.10 | 8.81 | 10.86 | 16.33 | 47.31 | 86.64 | 130.24 | 157.97 |
2024-11-03 | 32.18 | 7.51 | 9.19 | 12.62 | 19.45 | 54.01 | 97.44 | 161.22 | 205.68 |
2024-11-10 | 26.14 | 6.77 | 8.46 | 10.77 | 17.01 | 46.40 | 81.16 | 126.71 | 152.26 |
2024-11-17 | 20.99 | 5.69 | 7.10 | 8.78 | 13.17 | 35.22 | 60.44 | 85.36 | 137.24 |
2024-11-24 | 18.66 | 5.94 | 6.86 | 8.14 | 11.95 | 30.71 | 48.97 | 69.23 | 91.14 |
2024-12-01 | 22.71 | 5.79 | 8.00 | 9.64 | 14.61 | 40.55 | 77.90 | 111.67 | 169.25 |
2024-12-08 | 16.96 | 4.34 | 5.52 | 7.25 | 10.42 | 28.15 | 49.41 | 69.65 | 93.76 |
2024-12-15 | 13.19 | 2.87 | 3.90 | 4.84 | 7.70 | 25.02 | 46.49 | 63.69 | 92.94 |
2024-12-22 | 16.09 | 3.86 | 5.03 | 6.25 | 9.39 | 29.03 | 57.52 | 85.31 | 147.47 |
2024-12-29 | 27.07 | 8.04 | 9.32 | 12.58 | 16.94 | 47.09 | 80.31 | 114.97 | 156.85 |
2025-01-05 | 35.06 | 11.09 | 12.86 | 16.97 | 24.26 | 58.13 | 97.90 | 143.02 | 170.64 |
2025-01-12 | 35.52 | 11.75 | 13.52 | 17.17 | 24.10 | 59.28 | 102.03 | 141.09 | 190.66 |
2025-01-19 | 35.42 | 11.32 | 13.86 | 16.68 | 24.56 | 56.53 | 87.31 | 132.51 | 181.51 |
2025-01-26 | 42.92 | 12.86 | 15.33 | 17.99 | 27.00 | 68.57 | 118.81 | 155.19 | 191.45 |
2025-02-02 | 53.06 | 18.11 | 19.83 | 23.04 | 33.89 | 82.38 | 131.19 | 180.64 | 215.27 |
2025-02-09 | 57.21 | 17.85 | 22.81 | 26.63 | 38.79 | 87.74 | 141.27 | 190.45 | 305.92 |
2025-02-16 | 58.89 | 17.13 | 20.56 | 25.37 | 37.53 | 94.34 | 154.99 | 224.65 | 318.40 |
2025-02-23 | 79.69 | 26.44 | 30.76 | 37.71 | 50.56 | 126.35 | 212.25 | 311.54 | 456.02 |
2025-03-02 | 80.69 | 25.43 | 30.46 | 37.14 | 53.06 | 126.91 | 204.06 | 276.02 | 410.18 |
2025-03-09 | 95.21 | 31.11 | 36.46 | 44.24 | 61.85 | 149.98 | 250.36 | 357.98 | 464.99 |
2025-03-16 | 82.67 | 27.60 | 33.82 | 41.21 | 57.86 | 111.31 | 156.44 | 214.42 | 322.41 |
2025-03-23 | 87.11 | 34.35 | 38.19 | 46.21 | 60.09 | 131.90 | 193.30 | 239.52 | 303.43 |
2025-03-30 | 151.35 | 49.84 | 62.11 | 75.74 | 100.01 | 229.84 | 358.12 | 476.57 | 756.73 |
2025-04-06 | 135.62 | 57.30 | 63.39 | 70.60 | 95.24 | 190.17 | 282.13 | 352.79 | 421.51 |
2025-04-13 | 169.90 | 60.67 | 68.97 | 86.36 | 115.05 | 245.06 | 362.14 | 451.74 | 595.14 |
2025-04-20 | 222.75 | 78.72 | 89.34 | 115.42 | 154.46 | 303.10 | 446.45 | 638.41 | 792.44 |
2025-04-27 | 240.99 | 86.11 | 106.72 | 125.15 | 174.51 | 365.31 | 506.66 | 665.17 | 933.45 |
2025-05-04 | 246.02 | 96.11 | 108.74 | 127.12 | 174.73 | 369.72 | 551.46 | 712.80 | 866.63 |
2025-05-11 | 216.77 | 85.31 | 99.47 | 115.00 | 160.09 | 321.51 | 450.53 | 546.91 | 669.38 |
2025-05-18 | 202.33 | 78.16 | 90.26 | 110.76 | 145.30 | 299.56 | 402.33 | 515.72 | 596.78 |
2025-05-25 | 227.55 | 91.20 | 101.02 | 117.60 | 160.66 | 323.92 | 445.19 | 568.69 | 716.41 |
2025-06-01 | 221.60 | 81.97 | 95.74 | 114.41 | 158.02 | 329.08 | 461.82 | 637.03 | 835.98 |
2025-06-08 | 187.82 | 79.66 | 89.54 | 103.56 | 132.72 | 261.56 | 352.30 | 457.15 | 594.60 |
2025-06-15 | 168.34 | 63.82 | 74.41 | 91.46 | 119.64 | 237.89 | 341.15 | 431.03 | 487.36 |
2025-06-22 | 164.34 | 66.91 | 72.14 | 85.97 | 115.99 | 250.63 | 383.51 | 442.60 | 607.25 |
2025-06-29 | 170.83 | 58.27 | 68.62 | 83.37 | 116.31 | 247.94 | 387.27 | 476.64 | 624.46 |
2025-07-06 | 166.07 | 50.53 | 64.19 | 80.63 | 109.09 | 245.17 | 390.86 | 472.41 | 565.78 |
2025-07-13 | 142.87 | 43.85 | 55.45 | 66.08 | 94.03 | 217.69 | 320.90 | 421.30 | 541.70 |
2025-07-20 | 115.87 | 40.81 | 46.02 | 55.69 | 80.12 | 191.02 | 310.46 | 434.10 | 569.17 |
2025-07-27 | 109.47 | 32.96 | 39.18 | 46.07 | 69.47 | 170.86 | 260.88 | 357.78 | 441.61 |
2025-08-03 | 111.63 | 36.18 | 42.25 | 49.78 | 72.25 | 187.26 | 295.15 | 380.98 | 494.27 |
2025-08-10 | 103.23 | 36.38 | 41.41 | 48.62 | 67.23 | 163.64 | 256.89 | 359.97 | 530.56 |
2025-08-17 | 88.26 | 28.51 | 34.32 | 39.79 | 58.20 | 137.62 | 215.79 | 283.87 | 340.55 |
2025-08-24 | 80.90 | 23.33 | 28.67 | 35.75 | 50.68 | 135.34 | 213.02 | 309.40 | 418.87 |
2025-08-31 | 74.81 | 17.49 | 23.97 | 31.45 | 47.37 | 138.07 | 235.32 | 344.13 | 477.28 |
2025-09-07 | 64.70 | 16.99 | 20.92 | 25.56 | 39.54 | 98.88 | 175.25 | 223.33 | 314.21 |
2025-09-14 | 57.40 | 17.13 | 22.29 | 27.43 | 38.78 | 91.18 | 155.27 | 202.71 | 279.63 |
2025-09-21 | 53.37 | 15.19 | 18.55 | 25.04 | 34.00 | 87.71 | 142.71 | 192.59 | 274.36 |
2025-09-28 | 54.23 | 16.01 | 18.84 | 22.87 | 32.72 | 91.46 | 167.29 | 243.88 | 303.30 |