Prediction 3716

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PI


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 42.74 10.48 12.73 16.47 26.14 74.42 135.80 229.54 338.80
2022-10-16 47.06 11.36 13.40 17.58 27.66 86.65 166.23 219.23 302.96
2022-10-23 35.23 9.26 11.05 14.31 21.81 76.47 141.06 183.97 260.76
2022-10-30 36.16 9.33 11.34 14.56 21.66 72.03 137.61 196.03 234.65
2022-11-06 45.11 10.43 13.31 17.89 27.28 81.78 143.29 267.62 391.17
2022-11-13 38.90 9.26 11.79 16.47 24.10 66.37 132.97 212.89 298.53
2022-11-20 31.80 8.04 9.81 13.01 19.54 53.44 98.29 157.95 298.34
2022-11-27 30.29 7.89 9.74 11.88 17.77 53.03 91.19 136.77 211.57
2022-12-04 28.46 8.87 10.25 12.91 18.79 48.10 84.20 116.39 159.40
2022-12-11 31.89 7.51 8.90 11.56 18.70 57.03 109.47 203.42 287.22
2022-12-18 16.19 4.63 5.43 7.07 10.10 29.29 51.21 73.28 100.92
2022-12-25 11.28 2.22 2.85 3.53 6.04 21.96 51.09 80.95 121.20
2023-01-01 31.89 7.95 9.44 12.84 19.80 54.80 109.19 157.09 219.90
2023-01-08 42.43 10.34 13.00 16.67 25.95 76.01 136.85 196.09 285.64
2023-01-15 45.08 13.15 16.37 19.66 26.21 75.08 155.08 255.52 413.32
2023-01-22 47.52 13.16 15.58 21.32 29.85 81.15 156.35 240.74 348.07
2023-01-29 56.19 16.44 19.03 23.21 34.22 100.72 196.60 315.58 453.25
2023-02-05 64.78 17.67 21.69 26.23 41.52 118.74 230.46 290.89 392.05
2023-02-12 81.94 25.83 29.37 35.43 54.24 152.00 235.87 350.71 505.09
2023-02-19 83.24 24.30 28.12 34.97 51.97 142.56 235.51 340.02 538.90
2023-02-26 118.38 36.67 41.70 48.81 75.86 200.30 344.89 548.25 771.02
2023-03-05 138.48 37.94 46.37 54.76 81.72 240.78 402.35 584.57 807.14
2023-03-12 165.58 47.40 56.74 68.11 101.71 277.04 460.77 660.39 1304.66
2023-03-19 172.80 56.96 62.57 81.39 119.10 342.42 581.09 877.95 1422.43
2023-03-26 186.29 54.34 61.28 76.41 116.15 301.35 527.92 854.24 1197.31
2023-04-02 210.45 64.18 79.04 95.93 137.52 374.00 626.91 894.03 1104.92
2023-04-09 272.24 85.13 103.20 121.78 172.00 413.28 712.39 1085.91 1446.28
2023-04-16 305.31 96.37 115.14 146.15 201.17 531.97 890.11 1269.33 1928.20
2023-04-23 319.14 103.19 123.59 149.54 206.62 496.75 894.63 1330.83 1564.90
2023-04-30 368.99 124.12 145.01 174.12 239.95 610.45 960.29 1506.30 2196.06
2023-05-07 468.93 132.37 166.30 197.55 290.84 766.55 1314.13 1802.56 2764.33
2023-05-14 438.39 136.19 152.67 181.31 277.47 739.83 1262.29 1869.20 2461.87
2023-05-21 408.31 132.52 155.85 189.06 262.24 641.26 1140.44 1607.96 2526.63
2023-05-28 423.47 112.16 150.85 193.15 261.32 713.89 1163.65 1700.90 2755.67
2023-06-04 333.10 93.09 116.87 141.08 212.93 520.69 856.59 1297.36 1828.38
2023-06-11 298.98 93.34 113.75 141.91 196.57 500.03 844.17 1133.08 1620.22
2023-06-18 275.66 76.16 90.37 121.85 176.07 475.14 858.01 1235.61 1771.38
2023-06-25 229.04 77.89 94.30 108.17 150.44 340.25 587.35 734.40 1088.35
2023-07-02 227.05 69.88 82.20 100.32 149.80 362.71 570.14 880.14 1172.34
2023-07-09 211.38 67.97 80.11 100.36 139.09 352.03 587.86 905.78 1305.12
2023-07-16 177.24 55.15 63.97 75.08 112.45 303.21 606.03 886.60 1271.36
2023-07-23 134.09 51.98 56.39 64.83 93.77 216.50 379.28 542.85 837.32
2023-07-30 137.37 36.11 45.92 59.53 83.38 231.16 410.84 580.33 736.89
2023-08-06 131.25 37.64 45.71 57.00 80.87 221.37 438.72 628.79 967.66
2023-08-13 127.78 36.75 44.73 53.89 80.52 219.36 405.24 576.19 721.19
2023-08-20 96.80 27.74 35.20 42.40 62.62 159.12 305.11 459.81 593.00
2023-08-27 95.16 21.50 26.73 34.47 51.01 161.12 308.76 558.07 732.81
2023-09-03 77.63 19.47 23.66 29.73 45.81 138.38 257.68 417.63 637.56
2023-09-10 68.07 16.84 20.25 27.04 41.51 117.90 230.15 389.67 614.11
2023-09-17 63.38 18.24 21.27 26.27 38.29 109.74 175.77 266.54 409.99
2023-09-24 55.23 15.07 17.63 22.04 34.04 102.59 169.51 272.64 366.85
2023-10-01 59.01 14.94 18.24 23.25 37.18 107.39 181.92 300.38 439.17
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