Prediction 3717
Model | Dengue oracle - M2 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | PiauĂ |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in PI
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 74.00 | 18.22 | 21.65 | 27.47 | 44.44 | 145.18 | 280.10 | 417.92 | 580.97 |
2023-10-15 | 72.97 | 19.79 | 23.52 | 30.04 | 45.21 | 144.35 | 235.34 | 346.45 | 405.01 |
2023-10-22 | 75.73 | 19.53 | 23.14 | 29.71 | 45.41 | 134.01 | 230.55 | 301.65 | 366.95 |
2023-10-29 | 95.97 | 22.27 | 27.96 | 35.92 | 55.21 | 165.59 | 311.73 | 474.04 | 662.63 |
2023-11-05 | 80.02 | 23.52 | 27.15 | 32.39 | 46.60 | 127.26 | 212.54 | 330.36 | 390.37 |
2023-11-12 | 73.80 | 21.56 | 26.08 | 30.04 | 45.66 | 124.13 | 195.01 | 249.12 | 292.80 |
2023-11-19 | 69.21 | 16.18 | 20.15 | 26.96 | 40.25 | 108.95 | 177.88 | 242.13 | 291.55 |
2023-11-26 | 59.32 | 16.45 | 19.60 | 25.05 | 37.60 | 104.79 | 181.09 | 241.79 | 305.83 |
2023-12-03 | 70.28 | 19.11 | 23.71 | 30.19 | 42.34 | 119.38 | 194.95 | 249.76 | 300.58 |
2023-12-10 | 55.56 | 15.49 | 18.70 | 24.18 | 35.84 | 94.44 | 143.94 | 189.24 | 252.65 |
2023-12-17 | 37.47 | 10.69 | 12.49 | 15.33 | 22.59 | 66.88 | 117.75 | 168.36 | 196.68 |
2023-12-24 | 21.55 | 4.48 | 5.59 | 7.57 | 11.83 | 41.08 | 82.05 | 114.20 | 184.30 |
2023-12-31 | 66.46 | 20.42 | 22.33 | 27.46 | 40.54 | 108.10 | 183.34 | 268.76 | 366.37 |
2024-01-07 | 82.65 | 22.29 | 27.20 | 33.71 | 50.15 | 140.14 | 243.50 | 339.41 | 453.90 |
2024-01-14 | 100.27 | 28.45 | 32.70 | 41.50 | 59.77 | 174.68 | 300.41 | 408.11 | 603.06 |
2024-01-21 | 126.39 | 36.87 | 46.01 | 56.56 | 85.98 | 217.55 | 372.89 | 523.94 | 781.47 |
2024-01-28 | 157.65 | 39.76 | 45.05 | 57.88 | 97.85 | 259.43 | 427.66 | 572.14 | 710.76 |
2024-02-04 | 190.35 | 50.75 | 59.01 | 79.56 | 114.60 | 327.96 | 569.83 | 848.62 | 1148.76 |
2024-02-11 | 219.92 | 57.95 | 72.43 | 91.33 | 133.27 | 365.94 | 638.07 | 851.20 | 1100.98 |
2024-02-18 | 227.76 | 63.11 | 84.12 | 105.47 | 150.13 | 367.22 | 608.40 | 891.54 | 1196.70 |
2024-02-25 | 283.76 | 91.92 | 102.97 | 123.79 | 183.14 | 479.31 | 826.70 | 1105.23 | 1395.31 |
2024-03-03 | 359.88 | 99.80 | 122.44 | 160.52 | 239.67 | 562.55 | 882.81 | 1316.33 | 1701.10 |
2024-03-10 | 411.20 | 113.31 | 146.42 | 189.62 | 270.54 | 635.80 | 1008.63 | 1352.28 | 1705.12 |
2024-03-17 | 425.50 | 121.31 | 144.45 | 183.56 | 271.13 | 695.82 | 1195.74 | 1689.10 | 2035.19 |
2024-03-24 | 445.88 | 159.28 | 180.98 | 215.37 | 306.33 | 696.35 | 1092.46 | 1545.81 | 1862.37 |
2024-03-31 | 544.21 | 176.40 | 218.64 | 268.38 | 363.15 | 806.96 | 1298.00 | 1838.85 | 2163.27 |
2024-04-07 | 595.16 | 216.81 | 243.10 | 281.60 | 380.86 | 880.17 | 1320.21 | 1716.58 | 1991.93 |
2024-04-14 | 631.65 | 253.31 | 296.86 | 329.19 | 458.47 | 1052.04 | 1491.93 | 2239.76 | 2426.24 |
2024-04-21 | 778.99 | 269.96 | 303.15 | 361.87 | 507.38 | 1145.72 | 1776.36 | 2239.22 | 2446.75 |
2024-04-28 | 868.77 | 329.85 | 377.49 | 442.01 | 585.81 | 1307.58 | 1966.82 | 2483.71 | 3081.63 |
2024-05-05 | 892.53 | 329.60 | 392.18 | 449.23 | 580.57 | 1276.62 | 1983.28 | 2451.64 | 3093.47 |
2024-05-12 | 939.17 | 359.52 | 421.03 | 479.54 | 643.12 | 1409.72 | 2102.95 | 2733.03 | 3580.81 |
2024-05-19 | 850.81 | 316.84 | 369.88 | 439.46 | 600.56 | 1340.02 | 1870.69 | 2567.10 | 3229.34 |
2024-05-26 | 794.28 | 296.24 | 345.17 | 401.72 | 553.23 | 1156.21 | 1641.62 | 2030.09 | 2391.71 |
2024-06-02 | 683.14 | 263.91 | 323.70 | 357.24 | 472.62 | 1062.71 | 1723.15 | 2269.07 | 2698.22 |
2024-06-09 | 618.41 | 226.85 | 257.26 | 321.51 | 443.92 | 880.17 | 1312.13 | 1880.31 | 2554.63 |
2024-06-16 | 584.26 | 182.91 | 220.52 | 288.04 | 385.27 | 860.32 | 1378.14 | 1882.67 | 2516.56 |
2024-06-23 | 506.24 | 188.37 | 223.94 | 261.37 | 343.29 | 712.52 | 1169.17 | 1557.83 | 1994.76 |
2024-06-30 | 542.40 | 174.93 | 203.22 | 251.12 | 361.36 | 846.62 | 1437.59 | 1859.20 | 2375.66 |
2024-07-07 | 475.75 | 157.34 | 180.79 | 228.44 | 317.53 | 685.06 | 1012.83 | 1450.99 | 1677.03 |
2024-07-14 | 398.07 | 141.46 | 167.97 | 209.66 | 284.69 | 602.31 | 888.53 | 1163.22 | 1551.14 |
2024-07-21 | 353.30 | 106.61 | 127.23 | 161.47 | 232.41 | 628.34 | 976.66 | 1407.20 | 1886.97 |
2024-07-28 | 311.68 | 105.62 | 126.01 | 143.51 | 197.48 | 549.22 | 946.18 | 1319.82 | 1777.41 |
2024-08-04 | 281.28 | 81.90 | 98.50 | 126.89 | 181.57 | 439.76 | 705.70 | 957.83 | 1229.44 |
2024-08-11 | 234.80 | 79.23 | 92.81 | 106.85 | 151.13 | 389.54 | 646.79 | 832.13 | 1081.28 |
2024-08-18 | 217.39 | 73.95 | 84.43 | 100.29 | 147.15 | 362.17 | 557.61 | 755.77 | 1011.80 |
2024-08-25 | 164.95 | 50.44 | 62.52 | 74.78 | 106.40 | 273.45 | 454.49 | 617.62 | 865.03 |
2024-09-01 | 158.06 | 46.36 | 53.77 | 67.87 | 100.46 | 255.73 | 400.82 | 512.61 | 735.29 |
2024-09-08 | 141.46 | 43.27 | 57.13 | 65.89 | 93.77 | 235.69 | 393.35 | 515.61 | 685.00 |
2024-09-15 | 138.85 | 36.06 | 47.38 | 54.98 | 90.66 | 227.37 | 357.17 | 499.93 | 618.10 |
2024-09-22 | 109.16 | 34.24 | 41.68 | 50.58 | 71.10 | 179.82 | 280.57 | 382.97 | 465.09 |
2024-09-29 | 105.17 | 31.26 | 38.25 | 48.18 | 70.22 | 165.39 | 270.71 | 385.67 | 476.99 |