Prediction 3718

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M2
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PI


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 55.24 11.73 14.22 21.38 33.97 95.35 165.33 216.80 284.07
2024-10-13 53.62 14.80 17.21 21.02 30.51 91.16 134.07 178.60 248.35
2024-10-20 45.20 13.98 15.78 19.04 27.39 85.28 134.05 211.54 241.50
2024-10-27 43.83 10.90 13.83 17.16 26.08 75.11 119.96 176.52 224.03
2024-11-03 48.85 12.66 15.25 18.81 28.65 82.98 132.51 189.74 247.27
2024-11-10 41.62 10.17 12.91 16.21 24.93 77.48 128.36 187.62 241.02
2024-11-17 39.80 11.10 13.41 16.51 24.29 66.98 121.03 164.20 207.77
2024-11-24 34.85 8.72 9.95 13.43 21.14 58.52 89.03 124.19 165.47
2024-12-01 41.13 11.35 13.02 15.62 25.85 70.92 108.66 150.04 214.26
2024-12-08 31.75 7.08 8.90 11.38 19.02 55.21 87.18 123.53 191.94
2024-12-15 27.30 4.85 6.51 9.37 15.41 53.14 90.92 126.63 158.99
2024-12-22 23.65 4.92 5.78 7.68 13.42 40.40 77.00 112.52 155.37
2024-12-29 42.34 10.16 12.13 16.42 24.95 73.25 126.92 183.43 229.10
2025-01-05 50.27 13.68 16.43 20.65 30.34 84.11 134.39 188.07 222.96
2025-01-12 56.45 17.15 19.11 24.24 35.27 101.40 184.01 259.21 353.23
2025-01-19 54.95 16.21 19.49 23.99 34.75 98.74 174.53 229.03 303.07
2025-01-26 80.58 16.29 21.72 30.61 47.22 139.21 245.38 353.74 425.82
2025-02-02 85.93 22.30 26.55 37.13 56.57 145.36 258.55 339.79 417.70
2025-02-09 95.96 24.98 34.23 40.99 59.58 152.38 264.36 347.42 489.70
2025-02-16 92.90 22.54 25.07 33.50 52.19 162.86 291.08 409.58 534.70
2025-02-23 105.67 29.52 36.01 47.84 70.59 190.77 364.63 549.05 844.64
2025-03-02 125.07 35.90 41.90 53.83 80.98 227.75 386.92 512.53 840.44
2025-03-09 170.10 47.75 58.00 72.52 105.09 290.18 453.43 589.99 872.58
2025-03-16 147.43 48.25 55.13 68.94 99.91 235.13 345.56 463.29 596.39
2025-03-23 139.14 49.53 55.90 66.10 91.99 208.90 337.93 426.64 597.39
2025-03-30 206.25 62.67 81.58 104.59 145.41 352.59 566.08 750.79 1142.22
2025-04-06 237.56 74.81 88.11 110.38 152.42 376.71 613.37 791.97 1046.57
2025-04-13 265.57 95.84 114.94 133.98 176.49 413.34 613.40 806.57 1044.23
2025-04-20 322.70 89.84 116.02 141.43 201.38 483.00 751.55 989.42 1215.34
2025-04-27 347.66 125.90 141.15 172.76 232.18 513.42 762.08 1059.12 1280.24
2025-05-04 360.06 116.94 140.37 172.96 257.37 575.08 949.80 1165.80 1652.15
2025-05-11 337.88 117.33 136.03 176.19 242.06 481.09 738.83 933.21 1195.80
2025-05-18 303.60 118.95 140.66 162.28 212.99 467.49 769.65 999.94 1336.25
2025-05-25 345.61 127.39 148.23 173.30 235.18 510.77 803.21 1055.10 1328.73
2025-06-01 346.83 120.50 144.83 167.97 237.49 527.56 841.27 1060.36 1273.08
2025-06-08 318.72 106.38 123.07 160.56 236.25 457.51 732.23 990.78 1196.77
2025-06-15 259.23 92.90 106.31 136.98 186.68 383.59 600.15 771.77 928.64
2025-06-22 269.09 93.09 112.18 136.18 184.09 405.71 591.94 726.63 869.62
2025-06-29 279.28 99.68 112.64 130.93 184.92 418.99 574.20 719.15 1130.06
2025-07-06 243.22 71.78 91.43 111.65 161.28 365.55 563.75 701.00 942.78
2025-07-13 225.46 81.96 97.12 109.10 154.57 339.12 532.21 668.13 885.66
2025-07-20 191.00 66.35 80.71 96.73 133.17 298.32 441.99 547.27 670.95
2025-07-27 178.93 57.95 67.89 85.14 116.42 273.01 405.26 491.83 615.99
2025-08-03 168.63 47.05 57.04 72.25 104.72 269.86 386.59 478.68 532.01
2025-08-10 144.08 44.47 52.59 67.44 97.34 238.28 375.45 492.60 552.07
2025-08-17 134.94 36.80 44.29 59.73 87.85 201.85 320.70 392.10 568.34
2025-08-24 106.91 32.68 38.33 48.04 67.81 176.07 283.05 381.27 491.23
2025-08-31 109.17 28.61 33.65 46.20 67.35 167.81 264.51 386.03 527.29
2025-09-07 95.38 25.08 30.27 40.48 60.95 156.03 247.48 303.05 391.72
2025-09-14 90.44 26.56 34.70 40.35 56.51 141.92 229.18 290.98 408.91
2025-09-21 76.67 20.99 27.53 33.47 50.16 131.38 215.34 277.19 318.93
2025-09-28 80.28 21.18 24.93 32.21 48.78 135.67 241.93 320.05 427.08
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